A message from Yaneer:

In Memoriam: Thomas C. Schelling
December 13, 2016

Tom Schelling, master of the important idea in a complex world, passed
away, Tuesday, December 13, 2016. His work on mutual assured destruction
and on segregation showed he knew what the most important questions were
and had the ability to answer them. In each case we gained new insight as
well as essential aspects of dealing with important real world problems.

In the former, he identified the way we could survive nuclear confrontation
between the US and Soviet Union, showing the way to stability through
mutual assured destruction---whose recognition would provide not just
deterrence but calming assurance---an incredible force for peaceful
coexistence in a century of the massive conflicts in world wars and
political uncertainty that actions might be taken leading to global
destruction.

In the latter, he recognized the central insight of complex systems
science, the ability of individual agent choices to result in collective
behavior s. He understood that the connection between them might, and often
is, not clear to a casual observer, but yields to the right kind of
analysis. In this case, the choice of individuals who prefer to live near
others of the same type, manifests in the creation of segregated
communities.

Both of these contributions to our understanding reflect deep and important
questions, and remarkably clear and (in retrospect) simple answers. And the
answers were, and are, essential to our understanding of the world around
us and the challenges we are facing.

This spring when I learned of concerns about North Korea from the National
Security Council and the Defense Threat Reduction Agency, I spoke with Tom
to learn from his insights into this version of the nuclear confrontation.
He was clear and straightforward in his view that we should not be
concerned, and should not act with concern. After some thought about the
unique conditions of the North Korea confrontation, I unde rstood better
not only the reason for his statements but their wisdom---one of the
greatest destabilizing forces is the concern itself.

Perhaps we should formally define the difference between intelligent and
wise as the ability to include one's own words into the frame of analysis.

I am sure I still have much to learn from Tom and will be reading his
papers and books for years to come. Still, I will miss the chance to talk
with him.

There are many who have gained from his intellectual contributions, there
are few if any who have not benefitted from his wisdom. We are diminished
at his passing.

Yaneer Bar-Yam, New England Complex Systems Institute, Cambridge, MA

[image: New England Complex Systems Institute]

New England Complex Systems Institute
210 Broadway Suite 101
Cambridge, MA 02139
Phone: 617-547-4100 <(617)%20547-4100>
Fax: 617-661-7711 <(617)%20661-7711>
necsi.edu

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