Dear Wizards,
I commend to your attention a blog post from 538 in which Nate Silver talks with the guy who leads the University of Washington health metrics modeling operation. I understood barely one word in five, but the chief difference between them seems to be on the degree to which they rely on priors or curve fitting. You folks will, I predict, know what that means. Don't hesitate to explain it to me. https://podcasts.apple.com/us/podcast/model-talk-forecasting-the-toll-of-cov id-19/id1077418457?i=1000472325708 Nick Nicholas Thompson Emeritus Professor of Ethology and Psychology Clark University [email protected] <mailto:[email protected]> https://wordpress.clarku.edu/nthompson/
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