On free will. Isn’t there a spectrum of predictability? She will get up in the 
morning and have coffee, but I am less sure about her reaction to the front 
page of today’s New York Times. That spectrum of predictability (people will 
stay on the socially sanctioned side of the road when driving) is enough for 
society to hold together. (and we may be losing it)


I like Bergson’s view. A simple one cell organism responds to things in its 
environment, like light or ph and its reaction  predictable. As the organism 
gets more complex, the range of things it can respond to in the environment 
such as  shapes and tastes - and the range of responses,  increases - until the 
point where predictability is impossible. This is free will. Seems reasonable 
to me.

> On Jun 28, 2020, at 7:39 AM, Jochen Fromm <[email protected]> wrote:
> 
> The two questions are related. We cannot predict how someone else will act 
> and we don't know what it is like to be someone else because we don't know 
> the history of the other person. To use Nick's words we don't know the 
> personal slice of the world for this person, how it has experienced the world 
> so far.
> 
> If we could predict how someone else will act there would be no free will. If 
> we could experience what it is like to be someone else directly there would 
> be no hard problem of consciousness. 
> 
> I think intimate knowledge of someone allows you to predict how the person 
> will act to a certain degree. You could say two minds have merged into one. 
> The two persons still have free will, but they are "similar wills" so to 
> speak.
> 
> In the same way intimate knowledge of the history of person allows you to 
> experience the world as the person does, for example by seeing a movie about 
> the life of a person. Watching this movie you experience the same events that 
> the person has experienced.
> 
> In this sense being married for 25 or more years is like watching the same 
> movie, the movie of your life :-)
> 
> -J.
> 
> 
> -------- Original message --------
> From: Jochen Fromm <[email protected]>
> Date: 6/28/20 16:07 (GMT+01:00)
> To: The Friday Morning Applied Complexity Coffee Group <[email protected]>
> Subject: Re: [FRIAM] God
> 
> I am not sure I agree with the arguments from you Russ. You say "People 
> aren't the same, but they are similar - and human society functions because 
> we can predict to some extent what other people are likely to do [...]. We 
> have also evolved the ability to 'put ourselves in somebody else's skin', 
> taking into account the obvious external differences."
> 
> But we cannot predict what someone else will do, only if we know the person 
> really well - for instance if it is your wife or husband for 30 years. In 
> whodunit films it becomes clear in the end why people have acted they way 
> they did, but only in hindsight. In hindsight we almost always can say why 
> people acted the way they did, but we cannot predict it beforehand. You say 
> hindsight is 20/20 for this in English, right?
> 
> We also haven't evolved the ability to "put ourselves in somebody else's 
> skin". It is not impossible, but can be very difficult and requires detailed 
> knowledge and imagination. This is the reason why Hollywood has invented 
> cinemas to show us how what it is like to be somebody else (the GoPro cameras 
> in modern days have the same function).
> 
> Therefore I tend to disagree with both statements. 
> 
> -J.
> 
> 
> 
> 
> -------- Original message --------
> From: Frank Wimberly <[email protected]>
> Date: 6/28/20 15:07 (GMT+01:00)
> To: The Friday Morning Applied Complexity Coffee Group <[email protected]>
> Subject: Re: [FRIAM] God
> 
> Russ,
> 
> Your views on these matters are very similar to my own.
> 
> Frank
> 
> 
> ---
> Frank C. Wimberly
> 140 Calle Ojo Feliz, 
> Santa Fe, NM 87505
> 
> 505 670-9918
> Santa Fe, NM
> 
> On Sun, Jun 28, 2020, 2:11 AM Russell Standish <[email protected] 
> <mailto:[email protected]>> wrote:
> Hi Nick - finally took a look at your paper. I didn't read it to the nth 
> detail, but from what I understand, your scepticism about "ejective 
> anthropmorphism" (nice term by the way) stands on two legs:
> 
> 1) What exactly is priveleged about introspection?
> 
> 2) That the process of ejective anthropomorphism starts from an
> identity between the target behaviour and the observers behaviour,
> which is structy false. The example being given of a dog scratching at
> a door to get in.
> 
> In response, I would say there is plenty of privelege in
> introspection. For example, proprioception is entirely priveleged -
> that information is simply now available to external observers.
> 
> In terms of the identity of target and observer behaviour, it doesn't
> need to be identical, but it does need to be analogical. The most
> important application of this skill is prediction of what other human
> beings do. People aren't the same, but they are similar - and human
> society functions because we can predict to some extent what other
> people are likely to do. I believe this is why self-awareness evoved
> in the first place. Something similar may have evolved in dogs, which
> are social pack animals. We have also evolved the ability to "put
> ourselves in somebody else's skin", taking into account the obvious
> external differences. So we can imagine being a dog, and wanting to
> get through a door, what would we do. We know we cannot stand up, and
> turn the door knob, because we don't have hands, so what would we do,
> given we only have paws. Scratching behaviour does seem a likely
> behaviour then. That, then is analogical.
> 
> So, I'm not exactly convinced :).
> 
> Cheers
> 
> On Sun, May 24, 2020 at 04:32:05PM -0600, [email protected] 
> <mailto:[email protected]> wrote:
> > Sorry Russ.  It was in a hyperlink: 
> > 
> > https://www.researchgate.net/publication/311349078_The_many_perils_of_ejecti
> >  
> > <https://www.researchgate.net/publication/311349078_The_many_perils_of_ejecti>
> > ve_anthropomorphism
> > 
> > Nicholas Thompson
> > Emeritus Professor of Ethology and Psychology
> > Clark University
> > [email protected] <mailto:[email protected]>
> > https://wordpress.clarku.edu/nthompson/ 
> > <https://wordpress.clarku.edu/nthompson/>
> >  
> > 
> > 
> > -----Original Message-----
> > From: Friam <[email protected] <mailto:[email protected]>> 
> > On Behalf Of Russell Standish
> > Sent: Sunday, May 24, 2020 4:27 PM
> > To: 'The Friday Morning Applied Complexity Coffee Group' <[email protected] 
> > <mailto:[email protected]>>
> > Subject: Re: [FRIAM] God
> > 
> > On Sat, May 23, 2020 at 09:59:37PM -0600, [email protected] 
> > <mailto:[email protected]> wrote:
> > > Hi Russ,
> > > 
> > >  
> > > 
> > > Hawking my wares again.  I am sorry but SOMEBODY has to read this 
> > > crap.  The argument of this paper is that the flow of inference is 
> > > actually in the other direction.  We model our view of ourselves on our
> > experience with others.
> > > 
> > 
> > What paper? What argument?
> > 
> > 
> > -- 
> > 
> > ----------------------------------------------------------------------------
> > Dr Russell Standish                    Phone 0425 253119 (mobile)
> > Principal, High Performance Coders     [email protected] 
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> ----------------------------------------------------------------------------
> Dr Russell Standish                    Phone 0425 253119 (mobile)
> Principal, High Performance Coders     [email protected] 
> <mailto:[email protected]>
>                       http://www.hpcoders.com.au <http://www.hpcoders.com.au/>
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