Thank you Glen!

Eric

> On Aug 12, 2021, at 12:06 AM, uǝlƃ ☤>$ <[email protected]> wrote:
> 
> Attached.
> 
> Missing Arkansas, Connecticut, Florida, Hawaii, Iowa, Kansas, Maryland, 
> Missouri, New York, Pennsylvania, West Virginia, Wyoming.
> 
> On 8/10/21 4:43 PM, David Eric Smith wrote:
>> I am sure it is just dieseling at this point, but I was pleased to see the 
>> following article:
>> https://www.nytimes.com/interactive/2021/08/10/us/covid-breakthrough-infections-vaccines.html
>>  
>> <https://www.nytimes.com/interactive/2021/08/10/us/covid-breakthrough-infections-vaccines.html>
>> (I usually get to these things late; y’all probably have read it already)
>> 
>> In reading the first table, on hospitalization and death fractions by 
>> vax/unvax, I was thinking “okay, now since we have vaccinated fractions by 
>> date, we could do a covariance plot, and of course could then do more 
>> involved multiple regressions on dummy variables as we could find them.”  
>> (No pun meant on “dummy variable”, though I am unable to miss it myself.  
>> Things like measures of hospital performance, coverage of masking rules or 
>> other public health measures, population density and gathering density, etc. 
>>  Some of these to be proxies for fraction exposed, which is hard to get at.)
>> 
>> But then that is just where the article goes.  It’s funny how a pair made of 
>> a careful writer and a lazy reader can be an unhelpful combination.  The 
>> text leading to the second table says "people who were not fully vaccinated 
>> were hospitalized with Covid-19 at least five times more often than fully 
>> vaccinated people, according to the analysis, and they died at least eight 
>> times more often.”  I remember the nice passage in John Paulos’s book 
>> “Innumeracy”, where (to make some point, which I now forget), he comments on 
>> why a sign over the highway “Entering New York, Population at least 6” is 
>> not particularly informative, though quite true.
>> 
>> Look then at the distribution of multipliers in the table.  For the “at 
>> least five times” column, the first six entries, alphabetically, are 75x, 
>> 17x, 47x, 68x, 22, 148x, 161x, and likewise for the “eight times” column. 
>> Ahh, if the American Public would only tolerate being shown a histogram 
>> giving the whole distribution at a glance….  Of course, if I were not lazy, 
>> I could find and download the data and make my own histogram.
>> 
>> But, credit to those authors.  Within the bounds of what is permitted to 
>> them, this is a useful data digest.
>> 
>> Eric
> 
> -- 
> ☤>$ uǝlƃ
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