Now the deep learning kids have a model for nowcasting precipitation.
https://www.technologyreview.com/2021/09/29/1036331/deepminds-ai-predicts-almost-exactly-when-and-where-its-going-to-rain/ points to source https://www.nature.com/articles/s41586-021-03854-z They build a GAN (Generative Adversarial Network) that takes the last 20 minutes of weather radar (4 frames) and makes a probabilistic prediction of the next 90 minutes of radar (18 frames). Objectively and subjectively judged better than the existing ensemble methods. But not good enough on the extreme downpours, yet. -- rec --
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