EricC -

I think your points, especially about the limits of models, are spot on.   The "utility" caveat in the "models" assertion *does* capture what makes a "model right as a model", what makes a model "right" in your sense is it's utility.

The extra level of indirection explicated in your observation that we are not (only) modeling the artifact but the designer/maker of the artifact is also  useful.

As I am wont to do, I have a couple of my own anecdotal experiences to share:

1. I muck around with (repair or modify) most everything I use in my
   life.  It is a habit that serves me well sometimes but not
   always...  I *implicitly* have a model of what these artifacts were
   designed to do, though sometimes I discover I'm simply "using them
   wrong" when I think they are malfunctioning or are "poorly
   designed".   I rarely *personally* try to figure out what the
   designer was intending explicitly (read the manual, research the
   product domain literature? bah!) but when I *do*,  I bump up against
   the limits we are discussing regularly.   Even when it is documented
   explicitly what is intended, I am left with puzzles posed *by* the
   artifact and it's functioning at my hand.   Since a lot of the tech
   I muck with is vintage (right now, a 1979 Homelite chainsaw) there
   is a lot of practice/lore available on the internet up to and
   including other owners of the same/similar model with oodles more
   experience than I have.   I have yet to encounter someone who
   actually designed 2 stroke engines of that vintage, but a lot of the
   old timers who were in the business of selling/repairing them IN
   1979 have good insights.
2. I have been mucking around in the literature of pre/a-historic human
   cultures of late.  The archaelogical/anthropologicl literature is
   *fraught* with "wrong" and "sometimes useful" models of these humans
   and with yet another level of indirection, "cultures" based on the
   artifacts that survived these millenia.

To support your basic point: "but we can try!",   We DO try and while it is limited in the limit, it is not entirely fruitless.   My myriad home(stead) systems work (to some degree) as designed or re-designed under my mucking hamfists, and I believe that up to herky-jerky progress, we DO approach a higher and higher fidelity understanding of long-dead people and cultures.    In particular, my interest has been in the *differences* between the other near-modern hominids (e.g. Neanderthal/Devosinian) apparent long-term stability compared to Homo Sapien's ability to modify our environment leading to a very abrupt and brief spike (the Anthropocene) in the geological record which will someday (if there is anyone to inspect it).

- Steve

Hmm..... not sure where to go with Glen & Steve's responses.....

"we can't reverse engineer a builder's intention from the artifact."

Well.... but we can attempt to... with the same limitations as attempts to understand anything else. Like, if all we do is go around slinging Descarte-styled "Yeah, but are you SURE!" after literally every statement anyone ever makes, that might be a good hobby, but it doesn't really get you anywhere. We can certainly use systematic ways to probe the systems based on various hypotheses, and thereby increase our confidence.... just like trying to figure out anything else in the world.

"All models are wrong (though some may be useful)."

That's just a weird linguistic game, right? A model is a model, not the thing being modeled. True enough, and worth reminding people of every so often. But that doesn't mean it is "wrong" as a model. A model is RIGHT if it accurately captures the INTENDED aspects of the target phenomenon... because that's what being a good model entails.

So, we COULD, potentially, accurately know a builder's intentions after sufficient examination of an artifact or set of artifacts. Also, we could be wrong. And our internal model of the builder isn't actually the builder, but that doesn't necessarily mean our model is wrong, as a model.



On Thu, Dec 2, 2021 at 11:21 AM Steve Smith <[email protected]> wrote:

    EricC/Glen -


    I'm glad we agree. I made the same points here:

    https://redfish.com/pipermail/friam_redfish.com/2021-November/090981.html
    https://redfish.com/pipermail/friam_redfish.com/2021-November/090983.html

    To reiterate, we can't reverse engineer a builder's intention from the 
artifact.
    We can't mind read (even our own).
      To go even further, we can't even do a *complete* job of characterizing 
the aspects of a thing, the aspects of environments, or the relations between 
them.
    All models are wrong (though some may be useful).
      Parallax is needed across all scales and in both directions. Polyphenism 
is parallax on the thing. Robustness is parallax on the environment. And 
counterfactuals are parallax on their coupling.

    All systems (existing within the same light-cone) are "nearly
    decomposable" ?

        Herb Simon Sez: https://www.jstor.org/stable/1909285

    One of the attractive qualities of modal realism is that it addresses both 
consistency (through concrete possible worlds) and completeness (through 
counterpart theory) in positing and testing various models. The problem becomes 
one of discovering which world you inhabit *from the data*, not from whatever 
abstracted models you may prefer.

    Lewis's Modal Realism
    <https://en.wikipedia.org/wiki/Modal_realism> is a new one on me,
    but very interesting framing.   Only skimming the Wikipedia
    Article on the topic leaves me with only enough information to be
    dangerous...  so I am refraining from rattling on about all of my
    reactions to it's implications (for me) and in particular some of
    the objections listed there to his theory.  From this thin
    introduction I think I find Yagasawa's extension of possible
    worlds being distributed on a modal dimension rather than isolated
    space-time structures (yet) more compelling/useful?

    And what would Candide
    <https://en.wikipedia.org/wiki/Bildungsroman> have to say about this?



    On 12/1/21 6:35 PM, Eric Charles wrote:
    Me -> We've imputed in all cases. Certainly we can assume artificial 
systems were designed for a purpose, but we still don't know what that purpose is 
without imputing a model onto that system. And, in both cases, we could proceed to 
experiment with the system, in order to test the predictions of the imputed model 
and increase our confidence that we have imputed correctly. The ability to do 
these things does not distinguish between the two types of system. There are long 
and respected scientific traditions using experimental methods to gain confidence 
in our understanding of why certain systems were favored by natural selection, 
i.e., to determine the manner in which they help the organism better fit its 
environment.

    Me -> Well.... it might be reification in some sense, but that term usually 
implies inaccuracy, which we cannot know in this case without experimentation. 
Even with a system we designed ourselves, where we might have a lot of insight 
into why we designed the system the way we did, we certainly don't have perfect 
knowledge. All we have there is a model of our own behavior to impute off of. Once 
again, this doesn't clearly differentiate the two situations. In all of these 
situations it is a mistake to uncritically reify our initial intuitions about the 
system's purpose.

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