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Today's commentary:
http://www.zmag.org/sustainers/content/2006-05/27solo.cfm

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ZNet Commentary
People First - Social Justice And Economic Integration In South America May
31, 2006
By Toni Solo

f the two basic alternatives for regional integration in South America, one is
based on greed and injustice and the other on cooperation and equity. The
first is some variety of "free market" economic policies that sustain growth
and wealth for the elites and deepen inequality for the impoverished majority.
That option is favoured by United States and European corporate and
governmental classes and their allies among the local dominant elites,
especially in Brazil. The other alternative is some variety of socialist
internationalism that promotes broadly based development through equitable
trade and redistribution of resources. This option is promoted unequivocally
by the governments of Cuba, Venezuela and Bolivia, whose governments signed a
Peoples' Trade Treaty at the end of April.

The US and European Union apparently take such setbacks to their strategic
designs in their stride. They smugly expect that sooner or later the
recalcitrant Latin American countries whose resources they covet will trip up
and once again throw their natural wealth into the arms of the traditional
imperial powers rather than competitors like China. The EU's Javier Solana has
complained about lack of legal protections for European investors (compared to
merciless EU barriers against desperate migrant victims of EU trade policies)
while UK Prime Minister Tony Blair has demanded "responsible" (read "cheap")
policies from Latin American oil and gas suppliers. The imperial mindset of
the European ruling elite is as blatantly on display as that of their US
corporate and governmental counterparts.

Recent fast moving changes have accentuated the conflict between the two
competing visions in Latin America. The imperialist camp is hoping for some
relief in the form of a successful attempt by Colombian
narco-paramilitary-president Alvaro Uribe to secure re-election at the end of
May and corruption-tainted former Peruvian president Alan Garcia's efforts to
win another presidential term against the nationalist Ollanta Humala in early
June. Those results in turn will harden contradictions beginning to emerge
from conflicting interests and perceptions among regional neighbours. The
processes of South American integration and the criteria by which they operate
may soon become more complicated than ever. A quick review of recent
developments may help make sense of an otherwise confusing flurry of events.

Contradictions and conflicts

The Community of Andean Nations is in crisis following secretive rushed
negotiations by the Colombian and Peruvian governments to close "free trade"
treaties with the United States. The resulting uncertainty in Colombia has put
regional trade for that country worth US$8bn a year at risk. There is no
guarantee the US Congress will ratify the agreement. Venezuela, Colombia's
largest regional trading partner, has withdrawn from CAN in protest at the
Peruvian and Colombian treaties with the US.

Bolivia's President Morales has asked the Peruvian and Colombian governments
to reconsider their signing of the "free trade" treaties. The Colombian deal
in particular adversely affects Bolivia's soya industry since Bolivian soya
exports to Colombia would be completely displaced by US-produced soya as a
result of the US-Colombia trade deal. Bolivia is refusing to negotiate a "free
trade" treaty with the US. The Peoples' Trade Treaty with Venezuela and Cuba
gives Bolivian goods tariff-free entry to those countries' markets.

Chile and Argentina are at loggerheads over security of gas supplies to Chile
from Argentina, which itself depends on gas supplies from Bolivia. Argentina
faces the acute problem that its reserves of gas and oil are likely to run out
within ten years or so. The traditional antipathy betweeen Bolivia and Chile
renders low-priced sales of Bolivian gas to Argentina impossible to justify if
Argentinian gas gets sold to Chile at higher prices than Argentina pays for
gas from Bolivia.

Petrobras, the Brazilian quasi-State oil company reacted aggressively to
Bolivia's nationalization of its hydrocarbon resources and its insistence on a
hike of US$2 in the unit price of gas. Brazil imports well over half its gas
requirements from Bolivia. Sao Paulo, Brazil's main industrial centre, in
particular depends on Bolivian gas for its energy needs. Brazilian President
da Silva had to intervene to mollify Petrobras' executives angry response.
Bolivia's assertion of its right to higher revenues from gas sales echoes
internal tensions in Mercosur that have long turned on Brazil's industrial
domination.

Argentinian companies, trying to recover from the country's financial meltdown
at the start of the decade, find it impossible to compete effectively. The
resulting resentment adds to that felt by Mercosur's weaker partners, Uruguay
and Paraguay. A further debilitating factor for Mercosur's development is the
rancorous dispute between Uruguay and Argentina over environmental pollution
from planned, foreign-owned cellulose plants on the Uruguayan side of the Rio
de la Plata which separates the two countries. Uruguay's President Vasquez has
openly suggested that Uruguay might loosen its ties with Mercosur or even
leave it altogether in favour of "free trade" deals with the US and Europe.

Setbacks for US diplomacy

One might have expected US diplomats to make hay gleefully in such a context.
But other events have taken place which complicate State Department attempts
to manipulate matters in favour of US corporate interests. In Ecuador last
week, after months of uncertainty the Energy Ministry finally decided to
terminate Occidental Petroleum's contracts in the country. That move
effectively finished any hopes President Palacios may have had of successfully
completing a "free trade" deal with the United States. Popular opposition to
such a deal prevented the kind of secretive final negotiations Palcios may
have hoped to pull off in imitation of Colombia and Peru to circumvent public
scrutiny and accountability

In the event, the government itself found that the wording of treaty terms as
presented by the United States had changed from the versions agreed by
Ecuadoran negotiators. That US negotiating ploy - imposing on the other side
the work of unravelling terminology preferential to the US - slowed up final
stages of treaty negotiations. Opposition demonstrations led by indigenous
peoples' organizations aroused Ecuadoran opinion and focused attention on the
pending government decision on Occidental's violations of its contract. The
Palacios administration will have difficulty recovering sufficient prestige
and momentum to revive trade treaty negotiations with the US before its term
ends this year. Ecuador's presidential elections are scheduled for October,
the same month as Brazil's.

The US reacted predictably to Ecuador's annulment of Occidental's contract in
the country.  Charles Shapiro, deputy assistant Secretary of State for western
hemisphere affairs, was reported as saying the Ecuadoran government's decision
seemed to be "a confiscation". Occidental Petroleum has already filed a claim
for over US$1bn in damages against the Ecuadoran government in the Washington
based International Centre for Settlement of Investment Disputes in
Washington. The case will be an important test of the World Bank associated
Centre's independence and legitimacy since the Ecuadoran government's decision
reflected widespread condemnation across the Ecuadoran political spectrum of
Occidental's failure to honour its contractual obligations.

Another setback to US regional diplomacy came with Cuba's election to the new
UN Human Rights Commission on May 9th with support from 135 countries. Cuba's
election to the commission is a further blow to US efforts to isolate the
country. Cuban international prestige derives mainly from its unrivalled
commitment to international cooperation in healthcare and education. UNICEF
recently recognized that Cuba is the only country in Latin America that has
eradicated child malnutrition.(1) The contrast with the widespread child
malnutrition in countries closely allied with the US, like Mexico and Colombia
is damning.

Similarly, the recent horrific rape and violence endured by protestors at the
hands of Mexican police in Atenco and violent repression of peaceful protests
against Colombia's trade treaty with the US clearly highlight US policy
failures in promoting human rights among its Latin American allies. US
diplomats regularly exalt the benefits of its model of electoral democracy and
condemn the failings of Cuba.  The practice of their allies in Mexico and
Colombia makes such claims look foolish and cynical.

Trade and integration

Timely efforts by Latin American leaders to resolve their differences have
also confounded US efforts to exploit the region's internal disagreements. In
early May the presidents of Venezuela, Bolivia, Argentina and Brazil met in
the Argentinian town of Puerto Iguazu. The meeting produced agreement to
address Brazilian and Argentinian concerns about the implications of Bolivia's
gas nationalization.

The bottom line for Bolivia is that it wants to increase the price it receives
for its gas and also increase supplies. For Brazil and Argentina, the
principal anxiety is not just price but also security of supply. None of
Bolivia's neighbours deny Bolivia's right to generate sufficient income from
gas exports to improve living standards for Bolivia's people. Just days before
that meeting in Puerto Iguazu at the end of April, Bolivia signed the Peoples'
Trade Treaty with Cuba and Venezuela covering trade, technical and scientific
cooperation and initiatives on healthcare, education, culture and sport

That agreement is one of several either already signed or in the process of
negotiation as the main competing alternatives for regional integration try to
drive forward their respective visions of economic development. Backed by the
international financial institutions, Brazil's commercial and industrial elite
are anxious to push through the IIRSA regional integration infrastructure
scheme which will saddle the region's populations with billions of dollars of
debt in a typical neo-liberal inspired cost-externalization exercise for the
benefit of local and foreign corporations. But the recent vicious
insurrectional violence in Sao Paulo demonstrated Brazil is a giant crippled
by desperate internal inequalities and injustice.

While Brazil tries to resolve its social and economic contradictions,
Venezuela, apart from seeking trade and cooperation agreements with almost
every country in the region, is pushing for a huge continental gas pipeline as
part of its integration strategy. The relation between Venezuela's
integrationist vision for this mega-project and the Brazilian inspired IIRSA
strategy is problematic. The gas pipeline project would link the whole of
South America. But changes of government in the decade or more it will take to
build the pipeline render the strategic underpinning and continuity of the
project highly questionable.

Whether the proposed gas pipeline mega-project complements or compromises the
corporate benefits promoted by IIRSA is likely to become as conflictive an
issue as energy pricing and supply. Andres Solis Rada the Bolivian
Hydrocarbons Minister has already argued that only State companies should be
allowed to participate in the gas pipeline. He suggests that it would be wrong
for foreign investors - who own directly or indirectly 60% of the Brazilian
energy giant Petrobras - to benefit from a project financed by public
funds.(2) Bolivia may also decide to diversify its investment partners by
negotiating agreements with China, whose national petroleum company explored
the possibility of buying out BP subsidiary Panamerican Energy's interests in
Bolivia at the end of 2005.

Dizzying macro-economic considerations tend to obscure the obvious. Venezuela
and Cuba are more likely to be able to realize their vision of integral
economic and social development than Brazil's US and European backed elite
because their governments meet their people's basic needs in an integrated
way. Making that a priority enhances the rationality and coherence of their
regional cooperation initiatives. Bolivia, Cuba and Venezuela have shown they
are determined to make steady practical progress in their technical
cooperation and trade agreements. Their success in meeting the broad social,
economic and cultural needs of their peoples is likely to contrast ever more
sharply with the experiences of countries like Brazil and Uruguay that remain
fatally fascinated by the mirage of "free market" prosperity rippling
somewhere out there on an ever-receding horizon.

toni solo is an activist based in Central America - contact via info @
tonisolo.net

1. "UNICEF confirma que Cuba es el único país de América Latina y el Caribe
que ha eliminado la desnutrición infantil." Cira Rodríguez César Prensa
Latina 17-05-2006 
2. 'El gasoducto del Sur debe ser estatal' Argenpress 12/05/2006
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---
TCB'n,
Noah

"The foundation of all mental illness is the unwillingness to experience
legitimate suffering."
        - Carl Jung

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