Who's Afraid of Iraq?
by Gary Leupp

"Those who favor this attack now will tell you candidly, and privately, that it is 
probably true that Saddam Hussein is no threat to the United States. But they are 
afraid at some point he might decide if he had a nuclear weapon to use it against 
Israel." 

Gen. Wesley Clark, former NATO Supreme Allied Commander, CNN military consultant, in a 
Guardian interview (Aug. 20)

Now there's a quotation to ponder. President Bush has said on a number of occasions 
that Saddam Hussein "must not be allowed to threaten the U.S. and its friends and 
allies" (plural) with weapons of mass destruction. This is the official, public 
justification for war on Iraq.

But what does the statement mean, exactly? In February the CIA declared that it had no 
evidence for any Iraqi terrorist attacks on Americans since the Bush I assassination 
attempt in Kuwait in 1993, and never any on U.S. soil. Saddam's missiles can't come 
close to the U.S. They can reach Moscow, but the Russians aren't concerned; they're 
signing a $ 40 billion economic and trade cooperation package with Iraq. Iraq's 
missiles can reach Sicily, but the Europeans aren't concerned; they firmly oppose U.S. 
war plans. Iraq's neighbors, including U.S. friends Turkey, Egypt, Jordan, Saudi 
Arabia, even Kuwait, say they don't feel threatened by Iraq and also oppose a war. 
Emphatically. Only Israel's Prime Minister Sharon is egging Washington on. So, taking 
our cue from plain-talking soldier Clark (who has taken the trouble to write an 
editorial for the London Times urging a cautious approach to war with Iraq), we can 
fairly restate Bush's declaration cited above as follows: "The U.S. !
must not allow Saddam Hussein to ever, ever threaten our friend Israel with weapons of 
mass destruction." Israel, that is to say, constitutes a unique category in Bushite 
geopolitical thinking, as the nation that must never, ever have to factor into its 
defense strategy the existence of WMDs held by any hostile nation. The 22 Arab 
nations, meanwhile, constitute another distinct set: these are nations that must 
never, ever acquire WMDs, especially nukes, because Arabs might use them against 
Israel. (Whether or not such thinking is reasonable and valid, it's best to just state 
it honestly, lest we abominate our lips with Bush-like incoherence or Rumsfeld-like 
doublespeak. See Proverbs 8:7).

Israel is obviously concerned about Iraq's weapons programs. In June 1981 it bombed 
and destroyed the Osiraq nuclear reactor in Iraq, which the French had taken a lot of 
trouble to build, saying Iraq was five to ten years away from acquiring nuclear 
weapons. The action was illegal, of course, condemned by the UN and even (mildly) by 
the U.S. The concern of the settler state was not entirely unrealistic; ten years 
later, during the Gulf War, Iraq lobbed Scuds at it. But as everyone knows, Israel is 
itself an (undeclared) nuclear power, and its nukes similarly cause concern throughout 
the region. (It's interesting to note, though, that while the U.S. cut off aid to both 
Pakistan and India after they joined the nuclear club, Israel didn't even get a slap 
on the wrist when it went nuclear, ca. 1973). In any case, Israel, as it showed by the 
Osiraq attack, can probably take care of itself, just like Pakistan can take care of 
itself vis-�-vis India, India vis-�-vis China, China vi!
s-�-vis Russia, etc. The chief of staff of the Israeli Defense Forces himself, Moshe 
Ya'alon, recently told Ha'aretz that "In the long term, the threat of Iraq or 
Hezbollah doesn't make me lose sleep." 

For obvious reasons, there is a great deal of hostility towards the Jewish state in 
the Arab world. Egypt and Jordan have recognized Israel, and have trade and diplomatic 
relations, but then, they are U.S. client states (Egypt receiving $ 2 billion a year 
in U.S. aid), and even in them, in what Colin Powell calls "the Arab street," there is 
outrage towards the treatment of Palestinians in the occupied territories. As the 
largest, most populous, most "modernized" Arab nation in Southwest Asia that is not a 
U.S. ally or client state, Iraq could, especially in the absence of a solution to the 
Israel-Palestine problem, pose a challenge to Israel even under a leader far kinder 
and gentler than Saddam Hussein. 

One can easily imagine even a "democratically elected" leader in a secular government 
in Baghdad thinking, "Israel has nukes. Russia, to our north, has nukes. So do China, 
Pakistan, and India. Our unfriendly neighbor Iran has a nuclear program. Don't I owe 
it to my people to acquire them for our defense-indeed, for the defense of the entire 
Arab nation?" "Democratically elected" leaders of India have for years felt that 
obtaining nukes was a reasonable enterprise. Turns out that successive Australian 
governments have been pursuing a nuclear weapons program, and that Argentina has 
sought one. Is it satanic for technically advanced nations to want to follow in the 
footsteps of the U.S., U.S.S.R., Britain, France and China---or merely normal? 

It seems as though some very powerful people in Washington think the only way to 
prevent Iraq from eventually following the course of these other normal nations, and 
acquiring nukes that could some day be targeted at Israel (just as Israel has nukes 
targeted at Iraq), is for the U.S. to occupy Iraq and create a new government that 
will play ball like those in Egypt and Jordan. They've been urging an attack on Iraq 
for years, long before Sept. 11 gave them an opportunity to push their agenda (through 
crude attempts to link Iraq with al-Qaeda-which continue through reports citing 
unnamed government sources, citing classified reports that strain one's credulity). 
But (as Madeleine Albright has recently stated) the issue is not really U.S. security. 
Nor is it the security of other Arab nations, and surely (from the U.S. government's 
point of view) not that of the biggest victim of Iraqi aggression, Iran (lumped into 
the "Axis of Evil" along with Iraq, and also targeted for "regi!
me change"). Rather, it's the enhancement, to the nth degree, of the security of an 
Israel already armed to the teeth and capable of nuking Iraq or Syria or lots of other 
places, big-time. It's what Scott Ritter has called the "ideological" motivation for 
an Iraq attack.

I'm not saying that the proponents of the forthcoming Iraq War aren't also thinking 
about oil, and a range of other geopolitical issues. I'm simply observing that defense 
of "our friends" in official statements really means defense of Israel, through the 
establishment of a kind of "no-fly zone" from the Khyber Pass to the Jordan River, 
making Israel absolutely safe from Muslim neighbors who presently resent its (nuclear) 
existence. But is it rational and moral to send American troops to create that 
imagined sea of tranquility, establishing client-states which, Egypt-like, trade 
acceptance of the Zionist project for massive infusions of Marshall Plan-type U.S. 
aid? Is the project feasible, the goal just, the method even legal? Is it really 
likely even to enhance the security of Israeli Jews, Israeli Palestinians, and 
Palestinians in the occupied territories? Personally, I don't think so. I think it's a 
recipe for apocalyptic blowback. You want more terrorists? Follow the reci!
pe. 

"We're all members of the Likud now," a (Democratic) U.S. senator told a visiting 
Israeli politician in Washington. That's very scary. It's scary when a U.S. 
Congressional delegation visits Ariel Sharon at the height of his invasion of the West 
Bank, officially opposed by the Bush administration, to assure him that he has their 
full support; or when House Republican Leader Dick Armey cheerfully tells Chris 
Matthews on CNN's Hardball, "I'm content to have Israel grab the entire West Bank" and 
that the Palestinians should just get out of there. When Defense Secretary Rumsfeld 
opines to a Pentagon audience that Israel's "so-called territories" are really 
legitimate spoils of war, or when a RAND researcher at the Pentagon calls Saudi Arabia 
the "kernel of evil" and advocates the creation of a U.S.-sponsored oil state in 
Eastern Arabia, one has to feel scared. Scared about the rage, not just on the Arab 
street, but on the global street, that the Rumsfeld-Wolfowitz plan for the wo!
rld is likely to generate towards even decent, honest, peace-loving Americans (who are 
already, in their foreign travels, finding it convenient to impersonate Canadians). 
The craziness may be spinning out of control. 

Steering the hijacked ship of state, energized by an ideology as threatening to world 
peace as the doctrines of the Taliban, are a cabal of men and women who are prepared 
to provoke the Muslim world (no, the entire world) by actions that even senior 
Republicans like Henry Kissinger, Lawrence Eagleburger and Brent Snowcroft seem to 
consider unwise. What to call the members of this warmongering cabal? If we're talking 
about "Islamist extremists," how should we label these folks? 
"Judeo-Christianist-Zionist fundamentalist imperialist extremists"? Nah, that's too 
many "---ists." So I propose just "crazies," who unfortunately, by some random (just 
possibly reversible) fluke of our planetary history, have acquired the ability to 
threaten the whole human race, your friends and mine---Christians, Jews, Muslims, 
Hindus, Buddhists, atheists and everybody else----with weapons of mass destruction.

Gary Leupp is an an associate professor, Department of History, Tufts University and 
coordinator, Asian Studies Program.

He can be reached at: [EMAIL PROTECTED]

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