On 17/10/09 07:41 -0700, [email protected] wrote:
>An outright replacement system for SMTP as a whole strikes me as extremely
>unlikely.  The amount of inertia to push against dictates that the
>alternative would have to be outrageously beneficial and that benefit
>would have to be overwhelmingly demonstrable or it would never be able to
>build the necessary momentum.

If email isn't fixed (by replacing SMTP), then I'm afraid it'll wane
through attrition, and be relegated to a corporate messaging system.

16 year olds today tend to use SMS and social applications, like twitter
and facebook (well, I just made that up, but I wouldn't be surprised if
that were the case). They don't care to communicate with random people on
the internet via email. And if they do use email, they're not really likely
to use their Service Provider's email server, but more likely to use Google
mail (on that point, I'm sure).

HTTP will probably replace SMTP, and when that happens Google, Hotmail and
Yahoo will be able to elbow out everyone else.

-- 
Dan White
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