Dear Bill:

    Happy New Year to you too! I am getting ready to attend a New Year's celebration 
so I'll make this short.

    You have provided a very interesting apocalyptic theory here. It is one that I 
have seen described recently in various quarters on both the political right as well 
as the political left.

    Without getting into the pros and cons of the so called Y2K situation for a 
moment; I think it is interesting that world historians have also documented an end of 
the world and apocalyptic frenzy around the millennial year 1000. I wonder if there is 
any connection between that event and the one that is now occurring in certain circles 
which does not have technology as the explanation as it does now?

    I also wonder as many adherents claim that global and local capitalists and 
governments are going to permit major chaos (versus minor problems) to occur which 
would threaten their power and profits. Seems unlikely to me--but we will certainly 
have to see. If it doesn't occur which seems very likely, it seems to me that some of 
us have diverted are attention towards this so called Y2K thing and away from other 
tangible issues and solutions such as ending poverty, saving old growth forests, 
ending laws allowing replacement strikers, campaign finance reform, proportional 
representation, civil rights, and so on.

    As for me. I also wonder what is it about the uncertainty of the future that 
causes some people to believe in dire consequences or even Armageddon? Social stress 
of the times, alienation in our society, religious doctrines that emphasize 
apocalyptic thinking, or secular doctrines that emphasize apocalyptic thinking. 
Whatever the case may be, I wish all a Happy New Year with the accomplishment of some 
of the things that you list below as solutions coming to being.

    Good luck to you in the coming year.

Michael Givel




Bill Ellis wrote:

> HAPPY 1999 ! ! !
>
> The clock is about to strike 12:00 1/1/99. Ushering in what will probably be the 
>most interesting year in a couple of millennia.
>
> In just one year it wll be 1/1/00 with all its doubts, worries, excitement, dangers 
>and possibilities. The whole year of 1999 will be one rising to a crescendo. The 
>potential of panic, hoarding and survivialism will override the dangers of computer 
>glitches. By April 1999 expect the mainstream-press to make Y2K more of an 
>entertainment fiasco than the Lewinsky/Starr issue. And the rest of 1999 to be filled 
>with Y2K survivalist activities.
>
> Not governments, markets, nor corportions have answers. They are the problem not the 
>solution. We-the-people are the solution.
>
> The good news is that Y2K MAY wake the world up to the dangers of globalization; It 
>may remind the world of the community resources we depended on 1/1/00 (1900). And how 
>they have been slowly taken from us since then. With luck, and a lot of work by a lot 
>of us, our neighborhoods and our communities will take over from the unstable and 
>unsustainable economic system that is beyond control and now enslaves us.
>
> Some Web sites already working on community resilience are:
>
> http://www.resilientcommunities.org
>
> http://www.nonviolence.org/tranet
>
> http://www.y2kcommunity.org
>
> http://www.transaction.net/money/
>
> http://www.utne.com/y2k
>
> http://y2k.inode.org
>
> I HOPE YOU ENJOY THE EXCITEMENT OF 1999
>
> FYI I pass on a summary of this Y2K position
>
> ************
>
> There are some very basic conclusions on Y2K that seem to be in general consensus:
> Among the are:
>
> * No one knows what will happen at midnight 1/1/00
> Computer glitches could cause anything from a total long and lasting failure of our 
>banking, production and distributions systems, to a few mild disturbances of our 
>comfortable way of life.
> * Disruption could be universal
> No country, state, city or town is not in jeopardy. There could be no untouched area 
>or sector in a position to send aid to other affected regions of the world.
> * Individual survivalism could bring chaos.
> Hoarding food, protecting home or homestead with firearms, escaping society, cannot 
>protect anyone from a system breakdown.
> * We cannot count on the media, the governments, or the corporations to prepare for 
>Y2K
> Not only is there little profit or power to be gained from Y2K, but the "leaders" 
>fear panic, and they have no solutions within their realms of power.
> * There will be an increasing concern from 1/1/99 to 1/1/00
>
> To these conclusions I would add:
> 1) This is NOT a computer problem. It will not be over one way or another on 1/1/00. 
>It is a GLOBALIZATION problem. In the millennium 1/1/00 (1900) to 1/1/00 (2000) there 
>have been increasing trends away from self-reliant communities to an economic system 
>in which we are all dependent on resource beyond our control, even beyond our 
>knowledge. The world has become a single network of material interdependence. A 
>glitch in any part of the network could shut down the whole system. A dip in the 
>stock market, global warming, the failure of any corporate conglomerate, the end of 
>oil, or any other disruption of the system would have the same disruptive effect as 
>is predicted for Y2K.
> 2) Individual actions are absolutely necessary. Every one of us must think and act 
>in ways to be more self-reliant. Talking in generalities helps only a little. We need 
>to know in detail what TO DO. How do I: turn my lawn into a vegetable garden? dry, 
>can or rootcellar my produce? homeschool? homestead? take a home health program? 
>reduce my energy consumption? purchase a camp stove and solar battery charger? have 
>enough cash to get through? make sure my banking, investment, and credit systems are 
>safe?
> 3) Community activities are absolutely necessary. How does my neighborhood or 
>community:
> establish a food co-op?
> set up a LETS, barter, local scrip, or time dollar system?
> start a Grameen Bank? begin a community patrol?
> build an ecovillage or co-housing unit?
> organize community owned corporations and cooperatives?
> bring in a farmers' market or community supported Agriculture (CSA)?
> found a community loan fund?
> or otherwise become a resilient community?
>
> We have less that 400 days before Y2K tests our ability to BE PREPARED. There is 
>much we can do to get ready for this and any other disruption to "the global system" 
>that nature could throw our way. We need to exchange information and prepare how-to 
>instructions on the things individual can do. But more than that we have to start 
>building the self-reliant communities and a global network of communities which are 
>not subject to the collapse typified by Y2K.
>
> The good news is that the base for that new communal society has already been 
>started. LETS, CSAs, ESOPS, food co-ops, Homesteading, Co-housing, Homeschooling, 
>EcoVillages, Citizen Patrols, CLTs, Cooperative Community Life-Long Learning Centers 
>(CCL-LLCs), Local Scrips, solar power, wind energy, farmers markets and community 
>gardens are already in operation in almost every state of the union and many other 
>nations.
> The first step is to learn all we can about these social innovations and work with 
>our neighbors to see how they would apply to our community.
>
> Y2K is both a challenge and an opportunity. In the next year we will learn how to 
>create community solidarity and how the become self-reliant. We have much to do and 
>little time.
>
> ***********************
> Bill Ellis
> TRANET
> PO BOX 137
> Rangeley ME 04970-0137 USA
> (207)864-3784
> URL: http://www.nonviolence.org/tranet/
> ***********************

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