Subtitle: Why are we in Kosovo?

The term "military Keynesianism" is a misnomer and authorizes a misleading
reduction of the question of war economy to the relative size of
appropriations for the military in the federal budget. Instead of
speculating about the dimensions of a vague metaphor -- mK -- I suggest
those interested in the question look at historically-specific texts. 

A war economy is predicated not on the proportion of miltary spending to the
domestic product, but on the way in which productive capabilities and
priorities are oriented to maximizing potential wartime output -- both
military and *non-military* -- rather than to maximizing domestic welfare of
the citizens.

For starters, I can recommend the influential survey, published by the
Twentieth Century Fund in 1947, _America's Needs and Resources_, by J.
Frederic Dewhurst and Associates. The first chapter reviews the impact of
the second world war on economic growth in the U.S. The rest of the book may
be said to be an effort to "interpret wartime output in terms of peacetime
productive probabilities."

For those who want to go into depth, see Herman Somers (1950), _Presidential
agency : OWMR, the Office of War Mobilization and Reconversion_. Here's a
trivia question: what famous textbook author was in charge of war-time
planning for continuing full employment at the National Resources Planning
Board from 1941-1943 and was responsible for the economic and general
planning program at the OWMR in 1945?

An idea of how the issues of war mobilization and war reconversion seque
into those of "peacetime industrial competitiveness" may be had by reading
Edward F. Denison's (1962) _The Sources of Economic Growth in the United
States and the Alternatives Before Us_, published by the Committee for
Economic Development.

There is a simple conceptual hinge to the war economy thinking -- the
reduction of economic welfare to economic output. One can still detect in
Dewhurst and in Denison a shadow of acknowledgement that welfare and output
are not synonymous. But the acknowledgement is largely *en passant*. The
lessons of war showed economic planners how to increase output, they didn't
show them how to increase public welfare. They finessed the dilemma by
simply assuming that any increase in output at least "implied" an increase
in welfare. The assumption brazenly disregards marginalist economic theory.

Today, the conventional wisdom scoffs at any suggestion that increased
output doesn't necessarily lead to increased welfare. Say hello to the new
war, same as the old war. It's the economy, stupid.


regards,

Tom Walker
http://www.vcn.bc.ca/timework/covenant.htm


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