Thanks, Keith.  I'm beginning to wonder if the EU, as it now exists, can really hold together.  Diverse histories, languages, ethnicities and ancient grievances - can they really be expected to remain  submerged under a sense of a common European identity?
 
Ed
----- Original Message -----
Sent: Friday, May 27, 2005 7:11 AM
Subject: [Futurework] More on Ireland

In a posting of yours which I didn't reply to you raised the subject of Ireland* and its jobs. You might be interested in the following which is by way of an insert in a larger article about the European Union and the increasingly parlous state that three of its major countries -- Germany, France and Italy (the last particularly) -- are now in. Ireland is the only exception to an overall state of quiet desperation in Europe as to when its economies are going to pick up. (And England is an exception, of course, at present. Although we're technically in the EU, we don't have the euro and, psychologically, we don't really think we're an EU country anyway.)

(*We're talking of the independent Irish Republic here, not the six counties of Northern Ireland which is a UK province without a government for the last few years, occupied by British troops and even without a practising police force for half its [Catholic] population -- where the IRA and Sinn Fein keep the peace and where the crime rate is almost nil compared with the drug-gang ridden policed parts of Protestant Belfast.)

If (and when) the EU explodes politically (I would give it no more than 5 years now) then I reckon that Ireland will perhaps join us and the Scandinavian countries in a new North European Free Trade Area. There are already great political tensions. The older EU countries don't want to give up their farming subsidies to the 10 new countries that have just joined. Germany is tieing itself significantly to Russia in trade deals for preferential energy supplies. Illegal immigration is increasing mainly through Italy and Spain which seem incapable of stopping it. And France, from all accounts will be voting No on Sunday to the new proposed European Union Constitution (283 pages of it, so help us -- even one French politician who is urging voters to vote Yes confessed the other day that he hadn't read it yet!). Talk about the Bush administration being confused, it's just as bad over here!

Keith
<<<<
HOW IRELAND FREED ITS ECONOMY

John Murray Brown

When Digital closed its mainframe computer factory in Galway in April 1994, it seemed like the end of the world for this city in the west of Ireland.

Today, Galway is again a buzzing commercial and industrial centre. It contains one of the world's largest clusters of medical device manufacturers, and many of its companies are headed by former Digital employees.

Galway's ability to reinvent itself illustrates the way Ireland has been able to weather economic storms, moving steadily up the value chain as low-cost manufacturers move to cheaper locations overseas. According to the Industrial Development Agency, the government body that promotes foreign investment in Ireland, there are now 28 medical device companies in the Galway area, 15 of them locally owned, employing a total of 5,000 people.

What happened in Galway has been replicated across the economy, as other foreign companies have set up, attracted in large part by a young, well-educated workforce, many with experience of working abroad. In the last decade, it has been the Irish working overseas in the world's big high-technology companies who have been persuaded to return home. More recently, Ireland has seen an influx of foreign nationals taking up jobs that the Irish will no longer do.

John Fitzgerald, professor at the Economic and Social Research Institute, says: "Ireland has not avoided the phenomenon of companies closing but all the time the people have been able to find other jobs." Unemployment is at 4.4 per cent, half the European Union average. Net immigration is about 30,000 a year. Growth has resumed its strong upward momentum, with gross national product projected at around 5 per cent for this year and close to 4 per cent for 2006 and 2007, still well ahead of its European partners.

A key ingredient in Ireland's success has been the low corporate tax rates, which have been attractive to foreign companies. Keeping corporate taxes low has had cross-party support. And you will rarely hear an Irish politician, left or right, question the value of capitalism, as recently happened in Germany.

The hands-on approach of the government has also been vital. "There is none of the policy inertia that you might find in larger economies," says Eamon Cahill, an analyst with Forfas, the government's industrial policy body. Some experts trace Ireland's economic success back to the introduction of free secondary education in the 1960s. The fiscal reforms of the late 1980s provided the platform for the recent growth surge.

The labour force increased in line with the 1980s baby boom, along with net immigration. With the arrival of multinational companies, and as agriculture has declined, there have been huge productivity gains. High productivity has meant that, although wages have risen, unit labour costs have been restrained. A series of centralised wage agreements has allowed the government to introduce flexible working practices. In exchange for wage moderation, income tax was cut.
Moore McDowell, professor of economics at University College Dublin, says the Irish labour market is probably not as liberal as that of the UK. But he says Ireland's real advantage is the "absence of restrictions on doing business".

Employers are relatively free to hire and fire. Social security payments - a burden for employers - are much lower than in other EU countries. Mr McDowell also cites the relative powerlessness of the trades union movement. "In reality, the union movement is almost a public sector phenomenon. Companies like Ryanair and Intel will have nothing to do with unions."
Financial Times -- 26 May 2005
>>>>



Keith Hudson, Bath, England, <www.evolutionary-economics.org>


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