From: Nikita James Nanos [mailto:[EMAIL PROTECTED]
Sent: Tuesday, December 20, 2005 2:29 PM
To: Cordell, Arthur: ECOM
Subject: Liberals Lead by Eight Points - Martin as Best PM Slides (CPAC-SES Tracking Completed December 17-19)
“Although the Liberals lead by eight
points, Paul Martin's best Prime Minister numbers have slid in the past
week. On December 14th, prior to the Leaders' Debate, 32% of Canadians
chose Paul Martin as the leader who would make the best PM. Also of note
is that yesterday Jack Layton did well on his performance index score. As of December 19th Martin's best PM
numbers have dropped to 26%. CPAC-SES tracking has the Liberals at 37%,
the Conservatives at 29%, the NDP at 16%, the BQ at 13% and the Green Party at
5% nationally.” - Nik
Nanos, President, SES Research.
Polling December 17 to December 19, 2005
(Random Telephone Survey of 1,200 Canadians, MoE ± 2.9%, 19 times out of 20).
Percentages may not add up to 100 due to rounding. Our tracking polls allow for
a daily barometer on the activities of the respective campaigns.
Longitudinal tracking charts on all measures can be found at the SES website at
www.sesresearch.com.
All values in parenthesis are changes from our November 13th
national survey.
LIB – 37% (+3)
CP – 29%
(+1)
NDP – 16%
(-4)
BQ – 13%
(-1)
GP – 5
(+1)
*19% of Canadians were
undecided (+5)
In Quebec
BQ – 51%
(-3)
LIB
– 32% (+8)
CP –
9% (NC)
NDP
– 6% (-2)
GP – 3%
(-1)
*17% of Quebecers were
undecided (+5)
Outside
LIB – 39% (+2)
CP – 36%
(+1)
NDP - 19% (-6)
GP – 5%
(+1)
*20% of Canadians outside
Best
PM
Martin – 26%
(-3)
Unsure – 24%
(+11)
Harper – 20%
(-2)
None – 10%
(-1)
Duceppe - 5%
(-2)
Harris – 2%
(-2)
Leadership Index [Daily
composite of the Leaders’ Trust, Competence and Vision]*
Martin – 65
(-2)
Harper – 61
(-1)
Duceppe – 26
(+4)
Harris – 11
(+4)
* Change for this measure
is from yesterday’s composite score.
On the SES website
(www.sesresearch.com), we post updated daily longitudinal tracking chart,
regional breakdowns and details on the questions and the methodology each
afternoon. Watch PrimeTime Politics at 8 pm EST (Monday to Friday) to get a
detailed briefing of the numbers.
For any media use of the
polling data, we need to clearly identify the sponsor (CPAC) in accordance with
the Elections Act. Please refer to
the research as the CPAC-SES Nightly Tracking.
Feel free to forward this
e-mail.
Cheers,
Nik
-------------------------------------
Nikita James Nanos,
CMRP
President &
CEO
SES
Research
T 613.234.4666 ext.
237
Please send any requests
for media interviews via email to [EMAIL PROTECTED].
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