Brilliant.  Couldn't have said it better. 

arthur

-----Original Message-----
From: Gurstein, Michael [mailto:[EMAIL PROTECTED]
Sent: Wednesday, February 1, 2006 11:57 AM
To: Cordell, Arthur: ECOM; [EMAIL PROTECTED]; pete;
[email protected]
Subject: RE: [Futurework] Talking Peace with OBL


I think one of the problems here is that it isn't exactly clear who the
enemy is... OBL is a shadowy figure who may or may not still be alive
and whose direct control over his "troops" seems rather more of the
order of trying to "command" a network (hmmm futurework) than anything
resembling an army.

By some measures (and analyses, including presumably OBL's fondest dream
if he is still), the enemy could be interpreted as the entire Muslim
masses...a truly doomsday scenario it seems to me.

So rather than, dare I say (Arthur?) really dubious historical
analogies, "the West" would be better advised to treat the whole thing
as a globally distributed and particularly vicious and destructive riot,
subject to putting the stong arm on the ringleaders, containing the
damage and waiting for cooler heads to prevail.

MG

-----Original Message-----
From: [EMAIL PROTECTED]
[mailto:[EMAIL PROTECTED] On Behalf Of Cordell,
Arthur: ECOM
Sent: February 1, 2006 4:55 PM
To: [EMAIL PROTECTED]; pete; [email protected]
Subject: RE: [Futurework] Talking Peace with OBL


So its 1942 or 1943.  Japan makes overtures to the US to sit down and
talk about a truce.  Pearl Harbor is a few years old.  What is the
downside of sitting down and talking?

Read Paris 1919.  That book seemed to indicate that one ( of the many
problems ) flowing from World War One was that there was surrender but
of an ambiguous nature.  I am sure no proponent of war but am equally
against giving the enemy false hopes which can later be seen as a
victory.

arthur

-----Original Message-----
From: [EMAIL PROTECTED]
[mailto:[EMAIL PROTECTED] Behalf Of Lawrence de
Bivort
Sent: Tuesday, January 31, 2006 11:11 PM
To: 'pete'; [email protected]
Subject: RE: [Futurework] Talking Peace with OBL


Hi Pate,

Well of course talking with enemies is not appeasement -- nobody would
be so foolish as to confuse substance (appeasement), with modality
(talking). Otherwise we might as well shut down all Foreign Offices and
Embassies!

You will be glad to know that in the last months, the notion of talking
with those we've declared to be our 'enemies' is being seriously looked
at, along the lines that Arquilla publicly discussed.

Of course, there are those in this country who have staked their careers
on the idea of a global war, but that model is fading as even its
advocates realize that it is fraught with logical confusions and
inconsistencies.

I listened to the President's speech this evening; it was a strange mix
of rehashed and now discredited arguments, and read-between-the-lines
concessions that things are going so badly in Iraq that a basic
rethinking has to be undertaken.  But it shows still zero understanding
of the differences and relations between, for example, Zarqawi and
Thawahiri (Zawahiri). Yet without understanding these kinds of
nitty-gritty realities, US policy cannot but be simplistic and
dysfunctional. 

I was at a briefing today on Iraq and Iran, and it is clear that senior
US military and DoD analysts realize that the US is in deep trouble, not
just in Iraq, but throughout the Middle East and Asia. Even the neocons,
as I've suggested before here, are recognizing that some of their key
assumptions about the world and US leadership are not being born out.
The more thoughtful among them have become strangely quiet, and even
some of the more vocal, such as John McLaughlin, have turned into
acerbic critics of Bush and his team. 

So though the surface appearances here in Washington continue to be of
concern, there is behind the scenes and as yet out of public sight real
reason for hope.

Cheers,
Lawry

-----Original Message-----
From: [EMAIL PROTECTED]
[mailto:[EMAIL PROTECTED] On Behalf Of pete
Sent: Tuesday, January 31, 2006 5:45 PM
To: [email protected]
Subject: RE: [Futurework] Talking Peace with OBL


On Tue, 31 Jan 2006, "Cordell, Arthur: ECOM" 
<[EMAIL PROTECTED]> wrote:

>Definitions of appeasement on the Web:
        
>*      Giving in to the demands of aggressive powers to avoid war,

etc..

If dialogue is appeasement, we're all doomed. Talk is always good. If 
you're talking, you're not shooting.

Well, talk is always good, unless you're the US ingenuously saying 
"Gee, let's just go back to square one and start negotiations with a
clean slate" right after their last appeal against the rulings rejecting
their softwood lumber tariff has been rejected, and they're faced with
actually paying up....

 -Pete V

Re:     
>From: [EMAIL PROTECTED] On Behalf Of Karen Watters 
>Cole
>
>Comments?
>
>Why we should take Osama's olive branch
>It's the first step in winning the peace 

>by John Arquilla, San Fransisco Chronicle, Sunday, January 29, 2006

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