Hi, Karen,

 

I don’t think  P. Brzezinski is suggesting that there aren’t real environmental issues or even crises; he is arguing that the alarmist mode that (too) many environmental advocates adopt is leading to the undesired result of turning some number of people off, and, I would add, confusing the scientific data base through exaggeration and a misfocusing of is issues and priorities.

 

Yes, to a significant extent, some people are willing to wade through the alarm-created confusion and adopt an environmental concern as their own.  But how do we weigh this against the number of people who are turned off or decide to ignore the environmentalists thanks to the alarmism?

 

What I see as really missing is a whole-systems approach to environment, including the roles of homo sapiens within it. Without a whole systems science and policy approach, we will not be able to know 1) what our highest environmental priorities should be, what the highest leverage points of intervention should be, or 3) where the immediate do-or-die danger spots are.

 

Environmental scientists and activists have, I think, a VERY hard time adopting a whole-systems approach. There are several reasons for this, I think: 1. Thinking in such big terms IS big – and expensive, and it may be hard to get funding for this kind of thinking and research; 2. It requires people to get outside their disciplinary boxes, thus exposing the intrepid to the kind of departmental undercutting that all multi-disciplinary research seems ultimately to come up against. 3. The environmental activists get their funding via NGOs who get their money from scaring people into making donations, and so the activities of the activists must be high-visibility, dramatic, visual codable, and reducible to sound-bites, or at least to pithy articles in liberal journals.

 

I’ve worked with many think tanks (including my own), and I have see only one whole-systems research project ever funded (based on the now obsolete Leontiev modeling work), and that was because we found a true-believer in the National Science Foundation and EPA. He retired, and the project was soon terminated.

 

How can we re-orient environmentalists and scientists toward a whole-systems approach? Without this, I think the world of environmental concerns remains vulnerable to P. Brzezinski’s concern, though, as you so rightly point out, that doesn’t mean all environmental efforts or concerns are dismissed.

 

Thanks for the counter-arguments, Karen.

 

Cheers,

Lawry

 


From: [EMAIL PROTECTED] [mailto:[EMAIL PROTECTED] On Behalf Of Karen Watters Cole
Sent: Friday, April 21, 2006 11:29 AM
To: [email protected]
Subject: RE: [Futurework] Alarmism

 

Thanks for posting this, Lawry.  But polls do not support the statement that Americans dismiss environmental warnings out of hand.  While this quote attacks Doomsday Environmentalism, it ignores the mainstreaming of ecological awareness. The American public is protective of more than our beloved national and state parks, increasingly aware of the linkage between a healthy environment and healthy families, as well as sustainable commerce.

 

Christina Larsen discusses the evolution of the environmental movement in a Washington Monthly essay, The Emerging Environmental Majority. She chronicles the ‘breaking of the fellowship’ between “enviros” and hunters/sportsmen in the early years of the movement, but how under Bush 43 policies, hook-and-bullet groups are again joining forces with ‘greens’, to protect wetlands and public lands from indiscriminate sell-off to drilling, mining and forest companies. Environmentalists have learned to play the economics card well.

 

An example of the mainstreaming of environmentalism is the current issue of ‘high society’ Vanity Fair, The Green Issue, highlighting groups and individuals. There are thousands of ‘green’ websites and places to shop green/fair trade/organic.  Being green is not just for Kermit and school kids, it resonates with adult consumers, and not just the aging hippies among us. The public at large is increasingly green, if not for heavy-duty scientific reasons, because of concern for public health issues.

 

Radicalism, or alarmism in this case, yields in the natural course of events to assimilation and/or moderation. Look at the early feminist movement. No one burns bras anymore, indeed Victoria’s Secret has tapped into the sexual revolution with a zeal that the song “I am Woman, hear me roar” couldn’t imagine. (You may also recall Jimmy Buffet had a song about liberating the USSR by air dropping $20 bills and the VS catalogue.) Now, if the global lingerie empire will print their catalogues on recycled paper, we would have another ‘green’ success in the spirit of making progress, not war. But it took ideological war in the beginning to awaken an ignorant and complacent public to danger. Raising a fist, burning bras and sounding the alarm is as American as Paul Revere.

 

It is false to portray all environments as if all Muslims were Wahabists or all Christians End Timers. Precautionary Principles, better safe than sorry, first do no harm, makes common sense and that’s why environmentalism has succeeded. If we need proof that business and science have joined forces to protect natural resources look no further than GE, BP and other global firms that are changing to stabilize their risk management, prompted by the very practical and conservative insurance industry.  kwc

 

Larsen: Emerging Environmental Majority http://www.washingtonmonthly.com/features/2006/0605.larson.html

Or contact me for a reader friendly 5.5 page copy

 

Greetings, everyone,

 

The problem of course is the greater the legitimate crisis the more those who warn of it will sound alarmist.

 

This from Peiser’s list:

 

“Environmentalism is dead. Alarmism - the environmental movement's basic strategy

- has led to this dead end. Not that this history of crying wolf has chastened

contemporary environmentalists. Activists and researchers still issue dire warnings

with mind-numbing regularity. Although such scare mongering persists, it has

reached the point of diminishing returns. Knowing the movement's track record of

false alarms, the American public dismiss dire environmental warnings out of hand.

Thus, on the 37th anniversary of Earth Day, the environmental movement is looking

increasingly long in the tooth. Alarmist environmentalists have overshadowed moderate,

careful researchers, and undermined the credibility of the entire movement. Until

environmentalists cease depending on nightmare scenarios, they will fail to influence

the public at large.”

    --Piotr C. Brzezinski, The Harvard Crimson, 20 April 2006

 

 

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