Having just finished browsing through the latest edition of my highschool
alumni <http://www.canacad.ac.jp/>  newsletter, its color photos vividly
depicting how many more Asians are enrolled than when I graduated in 1970, I
found it interesting while exploring the Chinese website referred to below,
that foreign children will for the first time be allowed to attend
neighborhood Chinese schools rather than commute to far away international
schools.

China, Shy Giant, Shows Signs of Shedding Its False Modesty

By Joseph Kahn, New York Times, December 9, 2006

BEIJING - China’s Communist Party has a new agenda: it is encouraging people
to discuss what it means to be a major world power and has largely stopped
denying that China intends to become one soon. In the past several weeks
China Central Television has broadcast a 12-part series describing the
reasons nine nations rose to become great powers. The series was based on
research by a team of elite Chinese historians, who also briefed the ruling
Politburo about their findings.

Until recently China’s rising power remained a delicate topic, and largely
unspoken, inside China. Beijing has long followed a dictum laid down by Deng
Xiaoping, the paramount leader who died in 1997: “tao guang yang hui,”
literally to hide its ambitions and disguise its claws. The prescription was
generally taken to mean that China needed to devote its energy to developing
economically and should not seek to play a leadership role abroad.

President Hu Jintao set off an internal squabble two years ago when he began
using the term “peaceful rise” to describe his foreign policy goals. He
dropped the term in favor of the tamer-sounding “peaceful development.”  His
use of “rise” risked stoking fears of a “China threat,” especially in Japan
and the United States, people told about the high-level debate said. Rise
implies that others must decline, at least in a relative sense, while
development suggests that China’s advance can bring others along.

Yet this tradition of modesty has begun to fade, replaced by a growing
confidence that China’s rise is not fleeting and that the country needs to
do more to define its objectives.

With its $1 trillion in foreign exchange reserves, surging military spending
and diplomatic initiatives in Asia, Africa and the Middle East, Beijing has
begun asserting its interests far beyond its borders. Chinese party leaders
are acting as if they intend to start exercising more power abroad rather
than just protecting their political power at home.

“Like it or not, China’s rise is becoming a reality,” says Jia Qingguo,
associate dean of the Beijing University School of International Studies.
“Wherever Chinese leaders go these days, people pay attention. And they can’
t just say, ‘I don’t want to get involved.’ ”

Itself a major recipient of foreign aid until recently, China this year
promised to provide well over $10 billion in low-interest loans and debt
relief to Asian, African and Latin American countries over the next two
years. It invited 48 African countries to Beijing last month to a conference
aimed at promoting closer cooperation and trade.

Beijing agreed to send 1,000 peacekeepers to Lebanon, its first such action
in the Middle East. It has sought to become a more substantial player in a
region where the United States traditionally holds far more sway.  At the
United Nations Security Council, China cast aside its longstanding policy of
opposing sanctions against other nations. It voted to impose penalties on
North Korea, its neighbor and onetime ally, for testing nuclear weapons.

Officials and leading scholars are becoming a bit less hesitant to discuss
what this all might mean. The documentary, on China’s main national network,
uses the word rise constantly, including its title, “Rise of the Great
Powers.” It endorses the idea that China should study the experiences of
nations and empires it once condemned as aggressors bent on exploitation.

“Our China, the Chinese people, the Chinese race has become revitalized and
is again stepping onto the world stage,” Qian Chengdan, a professor at
Beijing University and the intellectual father of the television series,
said in an online dialogue about the documentary on Sina.com, (
http://english.sina.com/index.html <http://english.sina.com/index.html> ) a
leading Web site. “It is extremely important for today’s China to be able to
draw some lessons from the experiences of others,” he said.

The series, which took three years to make, emanated from a Politburo study
session in 2003. It is not a jingoistic call to arms. It mentions China only
in passing, and it never explicitly addresses the reality that China has
already become a big power. Yet its version of history, which partly tracks
the work done by Paul Kennedy in his 1980s bestseller, “The Rise and Fall of
the Great Powers,” differs markedly from that of the textbooks still in use
in many schools.

Its stentorian narrator and epic soundtrack present the emergence of the
nine countries, from Portugal in the 15th century to the United States in
the 20th, and cites numerous achievements worthy of emulation: Spain had a
risk-taking queen; Britain’s nimble navy secured vital commodities overseas;
the United States regulated markets and fought for national unity.

The documentary also emphasizes historical themes that coincide with
policies Chinese leaders promote at home. Social stability, industrial
investment, peaceful foreign relations and national unity are presented as
more vital than, say, military strength, political liberalization or the
rule of law.  In the 90 minutes devoted to examining the rise of the United
States, Lincoln is accorded a prominent part for his efforts to “preserve
national unity” during the Civil War. China has made reunification with
Taiwan a top national priority. Franklin D. Roosevelt wins praise for
creating a bigger role for the government in managing the market economy but
gets less attention for his wartime leadership.

Government officials minimize the importance of the series. He Yafei, an
assistant foreign minister, said in an interview that he had watched only
“one or two episodes.” He said the documentary should not signal changes in
China’s thinking about projecting power, saying that colonialism and
exploitation “would go nowhere in today’s world.”  But Mr. He also hinted at
a shifting official line. He emphasized China’s status as a developing
country. But he allowed that others may see things differently.  “Whether a
country is a regional or a world power, it is not for that country to decide
alone,” he said. “If you say we are a big power, then we are. But we are a
responsible big country. We are a maintainer and builder of the
international system.”

China has in fact emerged as a major power without disrupting the
international order, at least so far. It has accepted an invitation by the
Bush administration to discuss becoming a “responsible stakeholder” in the
American-dominated international system.

Beijing places importance on many world institutions, especially the United
Nations, where it holds a veto in the Security Council. It professes a
strong commitment to enforcing the Nuclear Nonproliferation Treaty.  Last
month Margaret Chan of Hong Kong became the first Chinese to head a major
United Nations agency, the World Health Organization. She vowed to build a
“harmonious health world,” echoing the slogan of harmony promoted by
President Hu.

Yet critics say China is prepared to emerge in a less amicable fashion, if
necessary. The Central Intelligence Agency says that China’s military
spending may be two or three times higher than it acknowledges and that it
allocates more to its military than any other country except the United
States.

Beijing has cultivated close ties to countries that provide it with
commodities and raw materials, regardless of their human rights records.
Sudan, Myanmar and Zimbabwe have all escaped international sanctions in
large part because of Chinese protection.

China’s increasing international engagement has also stimulated a more
robust academic discussion about its global role and the potential for
tensions with the United States. Yan Xuetong, a foreign affairs specialist
at Qinghua University in Beijing, argued in a scholarly journal this summer
that China had already surpassed Japan, Russia, Britain, France, Germany and
India in measures of its economic, military and political power. That leaves
it second only to the United States, he said.

While the military gap between China and the United States may remain for
some time, he argued, China’s faster economic growth and increasing
political strength may whittle down America’s overall advantage. “China will
enjoy the status of a semi-superpower between the United States and the
other major powers,” Mr. Yan predicted in the article, which appeared in the
China Journal of International Politics.  He added, “China’s fast growth in
political and economic power will dramatically narrow its power gap with the
United States.”

http://www.nytimes.com/2006/12/09/world/asia/09china.html
<http://www.nytimes.com/2006/12/09/world/asia/09china.html>


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