On the day of the State of the Union address, which some have dubbed the
State of Disarray Speech, Pres. Bush faces little support or sympathy from
the electorate. Today, Congress is debating alternative measures to Bush’s
troop escalation, which returns troop levels in Iraq to a previous 50,000 –
but for how long and under what mission remains highly controversial.

Yesterday, Sen. Warner, formerly a Sec of Defense during the Vietnam war
years, a Republican stalwart, offered a ‘centrist’ resolution as opposition
to Pres. Bush’s plan. Last week, Sen. Biden introduced his resolution with
Sen. Hagel’s co-sponsorship. Just so you know, Sen. Warner has already
announced he does not plan to seek reelection in 2008 and Senators Biden and
Hagel are or may be, respectively, presidential candidates in 2008.

Thanks to Talking Points Memo, I can share this with you, showing the
“difference” between the Biden-Hagel resolution and the Warner-Collins
resolution:
Biden: it is not in the national interest of the United States to deepen its
military involvement in Iraq, particularly by escalating the United States
military force presence in Iraq...
Warner: ..the Senate disagrees with the “plan” to augment our forces by
21,500, and urges the President instead to consider all options and
alternatives for achieving the strategic goals set forth below with reduced
force levels than proposed.”

Obviously, Sen. Warner’s version is designed to give weary Republicans some
political “cover” against angry constituents.  However, troops have already
been dispatched and continue to arrive, without the consent of Congress.
This is legally possible for the Commander in Chief to do in the short term,
but requires Congressional support to maintain, nevertheless. Speaker Pelosi
suggested this weekend that Bush was rushing to send troops oversees so that
Congress would find it difficult to defund his escalation, and his National
Security Advisor openly agreed.

“National Security Adviser Stephen Hadley, in an interview on NBC’s "Meet
the Press" said that the White House has sufficient money under its control
to deploy the troops as planned, and he suggested that once the troops are
in place, Congress would be reluctant to cut off funding. "I think once they
get in harm's way, Congress's tradition is to support those troops," Mr.
Hadley said.
http://www.nytimes.com/2007/01/14/washington/15troopscnd.html?ex=1169614800&;
en=a994696554df7feb&ei=5070
<http://www.nytimes.com/2007/01/14/washington/15troopscnd.html?ex=1169614800
&en=a994696554df7feb&ei=5070>
AND
011707 The Pentagon has hidden at least $1.4 billion in other agencies'
accounts instead of returning unspent money to the U.S. Treasury, the
Defense Department's internal watchdog told Congress Wednesday.
http://www.usatoday.com/news/washington/2007-01-17-pentagon-funds_x.htm
<http://www.usatoday.com/news/washington/2007-01-17-pentagon-funds_x.htm>

So the White House has provided itself with a buffer from checks and
balances, at least for the moment, but at great risk.

What about public support, the ability of a government to sustain war in
democracy? To suggest they think the president is more isolated and detached
is an understatement. His ‘resolve’ looks more like willful delusion, hoping
against the odds, that Americans will find him heroic one day instead of
willfully rejecting expert opinion and consent of Congress.   kwc

POLLS
Newsweek Jan 20, 2007: “Pres. Bush’s call for a “surge” in troops is opposed
by two-thirds (68%) of Americans and supported by only a quarter (26%).
Almost half of all respondents (46%) want to see American troops pulled out
“as soon as possible.”
http://www.msnbc.msn.com/id/16720627/site/newsweek/site/newsweek/
<http://www.msnbc.msn.com/id/16720627/site/newsweek/site/newsweek/>

Jan 21: On the eve of the State of the Union address, ABC took a poll and
titled it, State of the Union is unhappy with Bush. His approval ratings are
the lowest since Nixon in 1974.
“For Bush, the bad news just starts there. Dismay over the unpopular war is
dragging him down across the board, from his personal ratings to his
position vis-à-vis the resurgent Democrats.
Today 71% in this ABC News/Washington Post poll say the country is headed
seriously off on the wrong track — the most since budget battles led to a
highly unpopular government shutdown in early 1996. Bush's war leadership
clearly is the prime complaint: 64% call the war a mistake, more than said
so about Vietnam during that conflict. The intensity of sentiment, moreover,
has only grown: 51% of Americans now "strongly" disapprove of Bush's job
performance overall, a majority for the first time. Just 17% strongly
approve — a 3-1 negative ratio.”
http://www.abcnews.go.com/Politics/PollVault/story?id=2811599&page=1
<http://www.abcnews.go.com/Politics/PollVault/story?id=2811599&page=1>

Jan 22 CBS News poll “Bush’s overall approval rating has fallen to just 28%,
a new low, while more than twice as many (64%) disapprove of the way he’s
handling his job. Two-thirds of Americans remain opposed to the president’s
plan for sending more than 20,000 additional U.S. troops to Iraq — roughly
the same number as after Mr. Bush announced the plan. And 72% believe he
should seek congressional approval for the troop increase.”
http://www.cbsnews.com/stories/2007/01/22/opinion/polls/main2384943.shtml
<http://www.cbsnews.com/stories/2007/01/22/opinion/polls/main2384943.shtml>

Jan 23 Views of US drop sharply in worldwide poll of 26,000: “Nearly
three-quarters of those polled in 25 countries disapprove of US policies
toward Iraq, and more than two-thirds said the US military presence in the
Middle East does more harm than good. Nearly half of those polled in Europe,
Africa, Asia, South America and the Middle East said the US is now playing a
mainly negative role in the world.
In the 18 countries previously polled by the BBC, people who said the United
States was having a generally positive influence in the world dropped to
29%, from 36% last year and 40% the year before.”
http://www.washingtonpost.com/wp-dyn/content/article/2007/01/22/AR2007012201
300.html
<http://www.washingtonpost.com/wp-dyn/content/article/2007/01/22/AR200701220
1300.html>


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