the quote below describes what we are finding as the financial tide goes out....

the entire article is quite good.

arthur

 

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http://s.wsj.net/public/resources/documents/WSJ_oaktreememo0803.pdf 
<https://webmail.ic.gc.ca/exchweb/bin/redir.asp?URL=http://s.wsj.net/public/resources/documents/WSJ_oaktreememo0803.pdf>
 

For every period, there's a quotation which serves perfectly to explain what's 
going on, and I often find myself borrowing it. Warren Buffett provides more 
than his share; not only is his insight unmatched, but so is his ability to 
express it. Thus, starting with "It's All Good" last July, I've found frequent 
use for this one:

When the tide goes out, we find out who's been swimming without a bathing suit.

Certainly, "swimming without a bathing suit" - or perhaps a life preserver - 
serves beautifully to describe investor behavior during the carefree period 
that ended last summer. And equally, the ebbing of the tide - and the exposing 
of those who engaged in that behavior - sums up the unpleasant disclosures 
which have taken place since. Financial sector participants indulged in 
unprecedented amounts of leverage, innovation and risk taking between late 2002 
and mid-2007, the consequences of which have become readily apparent.

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