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Subject: Message to Obama: We Need a New Deal


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Message to Obama: We Need a New Deal

By Carl Bloice - BlackCommentator.com Editorial Board
Black Commentator
July 9, 2009

http://www.blackcommentator.com/332/332_lm_obama_need_new_deal.html

Now they are out to nickel and dime us to death. Here
in my home town the traffic and parking department has
been prevailed upon to "step up" its enforcement
activity - and maneuvering to have parking meters work
far into the night - in order help cover some of the
city's budget deficit. In Massachusetts, legislators
have slapped a tax on candy. The California state
legislature recently endorsed a $1.50 tax on a bottle
of alcohol and added an additional $15 to the vehicle
license fee.

The astonishing thing is that such measures, being
undertaken across the country, are being approved and
even plotted by some liberals and progressives. It's
high time we all recognize that the people who get hit
by traffic fines are the ones without garages and "sin
taxes," by and large, target working people. They are
not the ones who got the economy into the current mess
but if some people have their way, they will pay
through the nose for it. This, at a time when
unemployment is soaring, working hours are being cut
and paychecks are shrinking.

Nor is there anything good to be said for pitting the
budgets for police and fire services against health and
welfare services. That's not the way to nurture the
progressive political majority needed to really address
the current crisis. Yet, in the absence of measures to
bring in new sources of revenue to run our cities and
states, well-meaning people are maneuvered into
challenging each other for pieces of the shrinking pie.

All across the nation, schools are being shuttered,
senior meal programs decimated, community health
centers eliminated and legal aid for the poor hammered.
We are being told there is no other way and that we
should stoically accept this austerity and count what
blessings we have left. The problem is that if the
sacrifices being forced upon our families and
communities are really necessary, then they are not
being doled out with anything approaching equity.
They're still living it up big time in some parts of
town.

"The mood among financiers is suddenly more cheery,"
wrote John Plender in the Financial Times the other
day. In London and New York "trading profits are up and
bonuses are back" And, rather than being reduced to
something more reasonable, executive compensation
packages are on the way up. "There is also a growing
suspicion on both sides of the Atlantic that bankers, a
lethal breed whose activities have pretty much
throttled the global economy while causing government
deficits to balloon, are going back to business as
usual - a frightening prospect for taxpayers
everywhere," he wrote.

Meanwhile, the country's employment crisis continues to
worsen. When wandering in the desert, beware shimmering
water on the horizon," read the Financial Times' Lex
Column, July 2. "If May's better than expected jobs
report offered the dehydrated US labor market hope of
succor, June's miserable effort was a mouthful of
sand." The June jobs data from the Labor Department
contained "few signs of life at all,' it said adding,
"Slowing growth in weekly earnings, now at 2.7 per cent
year on year, is another serving of angst. And falling
hours plus sluggish wages mean a further drag on US
consumption - already constrained by debt-laden
household balance sheets and tight credit. The mirage,
and with it hopes of a speedy recovery, has vanished."

"The entire growth in jobs over the last nine years has
now been wiped out - the economy currently has fewer
jobs than it had in May 2000," says Economic Policy
Institute economist Heidi Shierholz. "The labor force,
however, has grown by 12.5 million workers since then.
"This is the only recession since the Great Depression
to wipe out all jobs growth from the previous business
cycle, a devastating benchmark for the workers of this
country and a testament to both the enormity of the
current crisis and to the extreme weakness of jobs
growth from 2000-2007."

As economist Dean Baker notes in his Jobs Byte column,
the percentage of the unemployed who have been out of
work for more than 26 weeks increased by 2 percentage
points to 29.0 percent in June and "Many of these
workers will soon be exhausting even their extended unemployment benefits."

When drawing up the economic stimulus plan, the Obama Administration relied
on a projection of an 8 percent jobless rate this year. It became clear a
couple of months ago that figure would miss the mark. It now stands at 9.4
percent and the consensus is that it will reach 10 percent by Christmas.
Pimco CEO and chief investment officer, Mohamed El-Erian, now suggests that
it may go as high as 10.5-11 percent sometime next year. "Economists are
currently spreading the word that the recession may end sometime this year,
but the unemployment rate will continue to climb," Bob Herbert wrote in the
New York Times last week "That's not a recovery. That's mumbo jumbo."

"There are now more than five unemployed workers for
every job opening in the United States," wrote Herbert.
"The ranks of the poor are growing, welfare rolls are
rising and young American men on a broad front are
falling into an abyss of joblessness.

The "broad front" to which Herbert refers may relate to
what I consider some of the worst mumbo jumbo floating
around out there: the idea that education guarantees a
good job or any job at all. One of the striking aspects
of the job stats so far this year is the number of out-
of-work college graduates. It keeps on growing. The
percentage of unemployed people with some college or an Associate degree was
4.4 percent last June, 7.7 this May and now stands at 8.0 percent. For those
under 27 years old with a Bachelors degree or better, it's 5.9 percent.
"Everyone is worse off in the current downturn, and young college grads are
no exception," writes Kathryn Edwards of the Economic Policy Institute.
adding, "Although still better off than their peers without a higher
education, young college graduates face challenges unique to their age and
situation - it is likely that they have considerable debt from financing
school, have had no time to build up savings, and, if looking for their
first job, are not eligible for unemployment benefits."

"The tough economy and tight labor market have
tarnished the luster of a bachelor's degree for young
college graduates seeking employment, wrote Tony Pugh
for the McClatrchy newspapers. "New monthly survey data
from the Center for Labor Market Studies at
Northeastern University in Boston finds that during the
first four months of 2009, less than half of the
nation's 4 million college graduates age 25 and under
were working in jobs that required a college degree.
That's down from 54 percent for the same period last
year."

"The problem is most acute in the 25-and-under age
group among Asian female graduates and black and
Hispanic male graduates," wrote Pugh. "The survey, of
60,000 households, found less than 30 percent of Asian
female grads, 32 percent of Hispanic male grads and
just over 35 percent of young black male grads working
in jobs that require a bachelor's degree."

Of course, a young graduate working at a low-paying job
means one less job opening for a kid with no degree.

The figures for unemployment among college graduates
are, of course, relatively low percentages; the
greatest burden of joblessness is falling on those
without a high school diploma (15.5 percent) and high
school graduates (9.8 percent) - especially young
African Americans (37.9 percent - seasonally adjusted)
and Latinos (31 percent in May). The figure for 20-24
year old Latinos was 16.5% in May.

"Why this rampant joblessness is not viewed as a crisis
and approached with the sense of urgency and commitment
that a crisis warrants, is beyond me,' wrote Herbert,
one of the very few mainstream commentators to
consistently deal with this crisis in minority
communities. "The Obama administration has committed a
great deal of money to keep the economy from collapsing entirely, but that
is not enough to cope with the scope of the jobless crisis."

In a clear and hard hitting piece July 2, Nobel Prize
winning economist and New York Times Columnist, Paul
Krugman, laid out the challenge the worsening jobs
picture places before the Obama Administration and the
nation. He wrote that "as in the 1930s, the opponents
of action are peddling scare stories about inflation
even as deflation looms" and "So getting another round
of stimulus will be difficult. But it's essential."

"Obama administration economists understand the
stakes," wrote Krugman. "Indeed, just a few weeks ago, Christina Romer, the
chairwoman of the Council of Economic Advisers, published an article on the
"lessons of 1937" - the year that F.D.R. gave in to the deficit and
inflation hawks, with disastrous consequences both for the economy and for
his political agenda.

"What I don't know is whether the administration has
faced up to the inadequacy of what it has done so far."

"So here's my message to the president: You need to get
both your economic team and your political people
working on additional stimulus, now. Because if you
don't, you'll soon be facing your own personal 1937."

As he prepared to depart on a foreign trip last week,
the President issued a Fourth of July Message to the
country that contained the words: "as long as some
Americans still must struggle, none of us can be fully content." So true. As
the Times put it in an editorial a few days earlier: "The jobs report for
June should put a chill on hopes for an economic recovery anytime soon." And
it makes a compelling case for more government stimulus, as unpopular as
that idea may be in Washington. Americans all over the country are
struggling."

Petty and punitive taxes falling on working people is
not the answer. Nor is robbing Peter to pay Paul.
What's needed to get us out of this mess is a unified
message to the people who run our cities, states and
those in Washington charged with protecting the general welfare, that we
need a new deal.

BlackCommentator.com Editorial Board member Carl Bloice
is a writer in San Francisco, a member of the National Coordinating
Committee of the Committees of Correspondence for Democracy and Socialism
and formerly worked for a healthcare union.

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