There's only one sort of sensible taxation. This is taxation that people willingly pay. Correction. Individuals may not willingly pay all of such a tax but it's much more difficult to evade than anything based on income or even "busyness" like the Tobin tax. And it's fairer, too. It only affects those who can afford to pay it. It doesn't let very rich individuals get away with low taxes or even Scot-free in many cases.

It's a form of taxation which the Medieval Church used to employ for hundreds of years -- a great deal longer, we might remind ourselves, than nation-state governments have been employing income taxation. And, considering that all the advanced governments are already in a state of advanced debt, how long are nation-states going to be able to continue in their present form anyway?

I give the present sort of top-down, pyramidal, super-tribalistic form of government about 50 years at the most. Long before then they'll have started to subside into much weaker governances engaged in day-to-day practicalities rather like towns councils in the UK or cantons in Switzerland, or state governments in the US states.

This forecast is more or less proved already. The white populations of Western Europe and the United States have been declining for decades now. How can they possibly afford to have more than 2.4 replacement children and buy the average stock of currently fashionable status consumer goods for their home and work harder in order to pay ever larger tranches of their incomes to their governments? Answers on a postcard, please.

In a conspiracy which populations of indigenous white populations are only just cottoning onto, senior politicians and civil servants have been contriving for decades to get more non-white people into their countries -- legally or illegally and all contrivances in between. Immigrants have their genetic benefits for a host country, of course, but that's not the reason why they're being allowed in. Non-white immigrants work harder (for a generation or two anyway), they have more children (for a generation or two anyway), and thus they will be able to pay more income taxes to keep governments and swollen civil service afloat. Phew! What a relief!

It will only be short-lived, of course. But at least, it will see the senior politicians and civil servants through for the rest of their careers and their retirements. By 2050 -- or 2100 at the very most -- their successors will have exactly the same problem as now. But by then the whole world population will be in decline. Billions of people in the undeveloped world will be dying of starvation (cost of nitrogenous fertilizer, irrigable freshwater and the purchase of good agricultural land by the West) and indigenous populations of the advanced countries will be in even more precipitous decline than now.

Strangely enough, the only sensible form of taxation is, in effect, the temporary strategy that the Greek government has been forced to adopt in recent weeks in its desperate need to balance its books over the next few years. It probably won't succeed in this instance because the political resistance will be far too great and, besides, the government won't be able to apply it comprehensively enough because there won't be enough civil servants who will remain incorruptible and energetic enough during the process.

So what is the Greek government trying to do? It is counting domestic swimming pools. And two- (or three- or four-) car garages. It is assessing the size of houses. And their gardens. And second homes. And their yachts in the local marina. In short, it is saying to millions of prosperous middle class Greeks who declare only working-class size salaries and pay only modest income-tax: "How is it that you can afford all these things on such a low income?"

As already suggested, this won't work. A government can't change the existing culture so radically without provoking the most tremendous resistance. But it could have worked -- and very smoothly, too -- had England continued to develop the window tax which was instituted in 1696 (The Act of Making Good the Deficiences of the Clipped Money). (And goodness knows we have enough clipped money these days what with central banks' interest rate antics and, more recently, "quantitative easing"!) It was a very fair Act, too, being proportionate to wealth. Householders paid two shillings per year on their property, and then a further two shillings per ten windows above a threshold of ten windows.

Of course, the majority of the population couldn't afford a house with even five or six windows so they didn't qualify for tax at all, But the middle-class, the upper middle-class and, above all, the owners of stately homes with hundreds of windows didn't at all like this highly equitable tax so it was soon stopped. Despite the opposition of some middle-class intellectuals with 'human rights' concerns about privacy, income tax came in with a whoosh and has been built on ever since.

Of course, the Medieval Church didn't assess swimming pools, or even windows, or even property itself because none of these had any monetary value at all for most of the Medieval Ages. They were never bought or sold with money. Valuable though they truly were, they were simply possessed or not possessed, and inherited or not inherited. (And due to the law of primogeniture, the Medieval Church usually ended up with a great deal of valuable estates anyway when the strictly male line died out -- as it always does after a few generations -- the last male without sons leaving his possessions to the Church in order to shorten his stay in Pergatory.)

So what the Church tax inspectors would do wherever it held sway in Western Europe was to carry out spot checks inside people's homes and note what valuable ornaments or furniture happened to be there. Or the necklaces that the lady of the house was wearing. Or the number of horses, cows, sheep or pigs that the male possessed or the amount of grain in his barn. Or the stock-in-trade of the craftsman. All these were bought and sold with money. People who had these could obviously afford to pay the Church Tax.

It can't be a property tax or a wealth tax because rich individuals can have this salted away in all sorts of places around the world. But it could be a sales tax. And it could be applied to everybody because everybody between the age of 30 and retirement has something to sell, even if it's only muscle-power. And the rich would be delighted to pay for the seller's sales tax of $10million on a $100million Rembrant painting -- or even for a pile of rubbish that passes for art these days -- because it is only part of the status kick he's receiving by buying the painting (and letting it be known publicly, of course).

And to encourage the rich to continue buying status goods then the sales tax should be a flat tax. And corporations (being legal persons) would also pay the same rate of sales tax. It would actually mean a complete replacement of the miscellany of taxes paid at present by a greatly enlarged value-added tax or sales taxes that already exist. The present rate of VAT in the UK is 17.5%. As a straight replacement as of now a universal sales tax would probably have to be about 50% but this would rapidly slim down as vast numbers of civil servants and other professionals who make a parasitical living out of the present taxation tangle emerge onto the job market looking for worthwhile jobs.

Such a sales tax wouldn't come about easily or immediately because it would vastly accelerate the taxation competition that's already going on between nation-states by way of tariffs and corporate tax rates. It's relatively low key at present -- albeit very important -- and mainly affects the location strategies of large corporations, but a sales tax would vastly increase the migration of a whole new slew of talented people who are much more mobile than head offices.

A sales tax would bring to the fore something that nation-state governments dread. It would have them all increasingly fighting one like dogs -- in just the same way that Microsoft, Google, Apple, Nokia, Motorola and several Chinese firms are fighting for supremecy in the mobile phone marketplace. Nation-state politicians and civil servants have no experience of that sort of fighting -- superb though they might be at artillery warfare which, of course, brought them into existence.

So we won't have a universal, flat-rate sales tax for a while because nation-states will know that they'll all be weakened and many will go to the wall, just as happens in commerce. But by that time, whatever pretensions they have about themselves at present, they'll be spent forces any way. The really important economic decisions are not being taken by governments any longer (if they ever were) and we are now in a world of specialized networks. By not sorting out their present taxation systems and producing something both fair and simple, governments are only postponing what is going to happen anyway.

Keith



Keith Hudson, Saltford, England  
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