This reminds me of the coal fires in Pennsylvania.   Some people say that
nothing will stop them until they burn themselves out.   Others say they
must be smothered and watered but no one wants to spend the money to make
that happen.     It would be billions.    Better to put the pollution out
into the air, destroy the land and water for thousands of years and make the
residents sick.    Keith you said Japan DID Keynes.  Obviously they did
Keynes like America did Keynes in the Depression and Obama is doing Keynes
now.     

 

It's not enough to stop the fires and the Pennsylvania Bankers would rather
leave the fires burning then come up with the money to stop them.    This
seems to be the rule of the West.    "You work for money, money doesn't work
for you."     And when you are finally screwed then have a war to get
everyone excited, in grief, scared and spend all of that money you refused
to spend to help yourself in peace.    

 

 It doesn't matter how many pollution deaths there are amongst the people
and especially the children.    In peace time the world is all about money
to them and life be damned.     They even call making money "an Art!"
Peace creates over population.     Japan and FDR.      Interesting.   That
story you told about Japan is not the story the economists tell here at all.
They blame it on protection and the refusal to sacrifice groups within Japan
for other groups because they are a cultured people.     What was that book
about that?   "Culture Matters." 

 

Of course the REAL solution to this is a good European War  or better still
a hundred years war and theologian  Soeren Kierkegaard complaining that no
one has the passion to  have a REAL war.         A  war where the population
is lowered, everyone works together no matter what their political
persuasion and they spend a lot of money that is burned and blown up for fun
and don't forget the human sacrifice of your sons and daughters to Aries.
You do realize the connection between Eros and Aries in Greek right.
Today money is sexy.      Just look at the British papers and the Australian
American  Wall Street Journal.  The thrust of the male sword and spear.
The lust and joy of battle!     

 

Irish American George Carlin called that Penis politics and I agree.     Is
it any wonder that the Irish worker  who allowed his government to  follow
the poverty course, pay their bills and kill  their economy,  hate the
economists next door?     We have the rise of the NRA with my relatives in
Oklahoma hoarding ammunition,   you guys will have the rise again of
dynamite and the IRA.     Will you ever learn?     Remember the Falklands!

 

God, I sound like the Swiss, except this is not theory to me, it's personal.


 

REH

 

From: [email protected]
[mailto:[email protected]] On Behalf Of Keith Hudson
Sent: Monday, August 02, 2010 10:18 AM
To: Ed Weick; RE-DESIGNING WORK, INCOME DISTRIBUTION, , EDUCATION
Subject: Re: [Futurework] Usual Krugman rant

 

Ed,

At 09:17 02/08/2010 -0400, you wrote:



Who's ranting?  When it comes to employment, I don't see it as being
primarily about mass producing consumer goods.  There are many things that
could be done to get people working and a Keynesian approach would probably
be needed to get them to be done.  American cities, roads, bridges and other
vital pieces of infrastructure need to be rebuilt.  


Try it if you want. But Japan tried heavy Keynesian spending for a decade
and somewhat less in the following -- but they were no better off after 20
years than at the beginning. 




Doing this might not employ all of the unemployed, but those who would have
work would spend a lot more money on groceries, housing and other things
they can't afford right now.  Small businesses would benefit, multipliers
would come into play and at least part of the currently depressed American
world would reawaken.  So, I tend to agree with Krugman -- bring Keynes back
into the picture and let's see what happens.


You'll get more of what we've had in the last 30 years -- declining real
wages for average people (at least for those in work).




 Why, as Krugman argues, isn't government doing anything?  It may be the
nature of the Obama administration.  Obama's opponents sit there staring at
him and all he does is stare back at them.  "Yes we can!!" is long gone.
And so much now is about the forthcoming elections.  Being perceived to be
doing the right thing (really, doing nothing) will stand a better chance of
getting votes than doing something would be.
 
Raising tax revenues by getting people working could be important in terms
of dealing with the deficit.  Eliminating tax breaks for the rich could also
be important.  The European powers may be in a deflationary mode right now,
but why should America be?
 
And going back to some kind of gold standard arrangement is not the answer.
It simply wouldn't work.  It didn't work in the past, 


Can you tell me when and where it didn't work?




so why should it work in today's far more complex world.


The gold standard worked for England for 150 years and most of Europe for 80
on average and also for America for about 40 years -- all with no inflation
whatsoever. All was cut short by the First World War when so much money was
needed that it had to be printed. But then, later, when governments tried to
go back onto a gold standard they did so without taking the subsequent
inflation of the pound, dollar, mark, etc into account. Result?  More
inflation -- and even more so after Nixon cut off even international trade
surrencies from gold in 1971.

As more and more Chinese, Middle East oil exporters and big investors' money
goes into gold and not dollars or government bonds, you can be certain that
gold, as currency, is quietly re-asserting itself. All the Western banks are
now grimly hanging onto what gold they still have because it's their only
one sure asset they have these days. It can only mean one thing. We're going
to revert to a gold standard -- or another reliable world currency -- sooner
or later, whether after yet another chaotic episode like 2008/9 or by
international agreement -- as China is calling for -- remains to be seen.

Keith





 
Ed
 
 
----- Original Message ----- 



From: Keith Hudson <mailto:[email protected]>  
To: RE-DESIGNING WORK, <mailto:[email protected]>  INCOME
DISTRIBUTION, ,EDUCATION 
Sent: Monday, August 02, 2010 2:13 AM
Subject: [Futurework] Usual Krugman rant

Paul Krugman is off on a typical rant this morning in the New York Times. He
observes that unemployment will probably grow in the years ahead but says
that there is "growing evidence that governing elite just doesn't care?"

Of course they care! They care for their own skins in the coming years.
Every conceivable type of government cares about unemployment, and has done
so throughout history if it wants to maintain power and sleep easy.

Paul Krugman refuses to entertain the idea that high and growing
unemployment is structural. Why?  Because, even after writing hundreds of
op-eds over the years, he still thinks that Keynesianism can supply the
solution. It might have done so in the 1930s when there was still a large
tranche of still-expensive consumer goods awaiting mass production and
purchase by a substantial proportion of the population. That's no longer the
case. There's no long line of desirable consumer goods visible ahead of us.
As regards existing goods, automation still proceeds.

So "Congress is sitting on its hands" is it?  And the Fed is not repeating
inflation out of some sort of malignant obduracy, is it? (At least there are
some officials who learn from their mistakes!) What's needed is not
emotionalism on Krugman's part but some objective analysis in order to
restore his status as a Nobel prize-winning economist and not a tub-thumper.

Well, I'll give him some pointers. What we need -- and pretty soon, too --
is a total currency reform so that all advanced governments can write off
their existing debts and not cripple our children and grandchildren with
paying for their profligacy in the past few decades. And, from then onwards,
a currency system that will make governments keep to sensible annual
budgeting. We also need a substantial educational reform so that there'll be
a demand pressure to expand or share the most interesting and highly-paid
jobs. We also need substantial administrative/political reform so that we
don't have a system whereby politicians have to selectively bribe this or
that section of the electorate in order to remain in power.

Keynes himself said something to the effect that governments always fall
prey to outmoded ideas of a previous generation of economists. Well . . .
that applies to economists, too.

Keith  

Keith Hudson, Saltford, England 

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