Well said.  

 

What is needed is a positive image of the future.  Decades back the positive
image was growth in GDP, development of suburbs, etc.  Now that is gone and
we are left with ...lots of dystopian visions of the future  I personally
think that a stable state economy can provide a positive image for the
future, with caveats of course.  But the news seems to carry an unending
barrage of warming this and cooling that and shortages here and glut there.
Jobs lost and people out of work with little to hope for.  A positive image
could provide something that people could coalesce around.

 

Arthur

 

 

From: [email protected]
[mailto:[email protected]] On Behalf Of Ray Harrell
Sent: Thursday, August 12, 2010 3:15 PM
To: 'RE-DESIGNING WORK, INCOME DISTRIBUTION, EDUCATION'
Subject: Re: [Futurework] FW: Obama Puts Faith in Private-Sector, as
Corporate America Goes on Investment Strike

 

Mike,  America is so economically inept and delusional that it will take a
real crash and real pain to get everyone on the same page.    Something like
WWIII.   The wealthy don't believe they are attached to the rest of us and
the middle and lower classes believe all the huckapuck about "freedom" that
has been put out.    Obama is tone deaf.   He's smart but he has too much
Kansas Moma in him.      At heart he wants to make peace between the Red and
the Blue or his Moma and his Poppa.        We had an ignoramus in GW and now
we have a smart one but it still smells like Oedipal issues being played out
on a world stage.     

 

Meanwhile the fundamentalist Christians and Economists are all looking for
the return of a Messiah.    Since Obama's not the Hero and not a Messiah he
has to be the Anti-Christ or at least a Socialist.      

 

What is missing in this world is the ability to see patterns across
disciplines and to evaluate when the parallels are appropriate or not.   

 

Meanwhile Americans escaping the American health care nightmare go to India
and Pakistan for their surgery and bring home a super bug that makes all
bacteria resistant to antibiotics.       Just another little gift from the
fanatics. 

 

REH

 

 

 

 

 

From: [email protected]
[mailto:[email protected]] On Behalf Of Michael Gurstein
Sent: Thursday, August 12, 2010 2:56 PM
To: 'RE-DESIGNING WORK, INCOME DISTRIBUTION, EDUCATION';
[email protected]
Subject: [Futurework] FW: Obama Puts Faith in Private-Sector, as Corporate
America Goes on Investment Strike

 

 

-----Original Message-----
From: [email protected] [mailto:[email protected]] On Behalf Of
Sid Shniad
Sent: Thursday, August 12, 2010 11:17 AM
Subject: Obama Puts Faith in Private-Sector, as Corporate America Goes on
Investment Strike

http://www.commondreams.org/headline/2010/08/11-6


August 11, 2010 


Obama Puts Faith in Private-Sector, as Corporate America Goes on Investment
Strike


Obama's inner circle of Wall Street wise guys have spent their entire lives
safely insulated from the realities of Detroit or Youngstown or other
communities where the long-term jobless are suffering.

by Roger Bybee

Each day, President Obama and his surrogates spread out across the land,
singing the praises of the "private sector" job growth for which they
desperately hope. Treasury Secretary Timothy Geithner is even proclaiming
that the "recovery" is actually advancing much more rapidly
<http://www.chelseagreen.com/.../robert-kuttner-who-are-you-going-to-believe
mdashtim-geithner-or-your-own-lying-eyes/> than the eye can see. 

Geithner's carefully-crafted boast is a tone-deaf insult to the intelligence
of American voters. Fully 20 percent of households have watched their family
incomes drop
<http://www.nytimes.com/2010/08/08/magazine/08FOB-wwln-t.html?scp=1&sq=%22Ju
dith%20Warner%22%20%22Home%20Economics%22&st=cse>  by 25% or more since the
beginning of the recession. 

If the White House keeps on telling people that they are better off than
they think they are, the Democrats will be severely punished in November,
just as they were in 1994.

But the administration's reliance on corporations to provide jobs may be
even more fatal.

Coming at a time when private sector jobs grew by a pathetic 71,000 last
month, the mantra of "private-sector job growth" is starting to sound as
delusional as Ronald Reagan's infamous faith in "magic of the marketplace."

Bob Herbert of the New York Times summarized the miserable job-producing
performance of the much-vaunted private sector:

We've got more and more people in our working-age population and fewer and
fewer jobs to go around.
<http://www.nytimes.com/2010/08/10/opinion/10herbert.html?_r=1&ref=opinion%2
0HERBERT>  [Charles McMillion, the president and chief economist of MBG
Information Services in Washington] tells us that there are now 3.4 million
fewer private-sector jobs in the U.S. than there were a decade ago. In the
last 10 years, we've seen the worst job creation record since 1928 to 1938.

CORPORATE AMERICA GOES ON STRIKE

It's as if Corporate America has gone on a general strike on investment,
hiring and loans in the midst of the most severe economic downturn in 80
years. This strike is unplanned, but very real.

With consumer purchasing power so weak because of real unemployment that is
near Great Depression levels, and with wages and hours have been slashed for
much of the remaining workforce, there is little incentive to undertake the
risk of expanded investment and production of goods that are likely to sit
on the shelves. Thus
<http://www.nytimes.com/2010/08/08/.../08schwartz.html> "the new normal" for
major corporations happens to be headed in the same direction of maximized
profits with minimized investment, hiring, or loaning of capital.

Just as workers withhold their labor during a strike, corporations are
withholding the purchase of new equipment and hiring workers, as discussed
in previous posts, cutting back on wages by $122 billion while profits rose
$572 billion
<http://www.nytimes.com/2010/07/31/opinion/31herbert.html?ref=bobherbert>
in the first quarter period. Corporations are successfully cutting into
their existing workforces and wringing more work out of the badly-scared
survivors. 

To the extent that production in high-value jobs
<http://inthesetimes.org/working/entry/6277/more_compassion_needed_for_multi
nationals_at_time_of_high_profits_no_j/> is being increased, it is happening
in repressive low-wage sites like China or Mexico. Fortune 500 firm Johnson
Controls, for example, is planning on adding 10 new plants
<http://inthesetimes.com/working/entry/6305/entry/6120/johnson_controls_bad_
faith_on_both_sides_of_rio_> to the 40 it already has set up in China. 

Meanhile, mega-banks, especially those who were bailed out with public
money, are also waging their version of the strike by withholding loans.
Because the banks fear the amount of toxic loans still within financial
system, they have found that they can safely stash their money within
interest-bearing accounts while loaning out a tiny share of the former
volume of loans.

VIRTUAL FREEZE ON LOANS

As Nomi Prins, author of It Takes A Pillage, has documented,

In September 2008, the top banks were required to keep $43 billion in
reserve at the Fed, and placed $59 billion in extra reserves. Today, banks
are required to keep $63 billion in reserves, but parked an extra $1.2
<http://www.alternet.org/economy/146428/speculating_banks_still_rule_--_ten_
ways_dems_and_dodd_are_failing_on_financial_reform>  trillion at the Fed.

At one point in early winter, economics writer Ellen Brown calculated that
loan volume is a small fraction of its normal level:

Chartered banks are allowed to create credit on their books equal to many
times their deposit base, but lately they haven't been doing it. In more
normal times, one dollar in base money has been fanned by the banks into
$8.50 in loans. Today, one dollar in base money produces only one dollar in
loans
<http://www.yesmagazine.org/new-economy/reviving-the-local-economy-with-publ
icly-owned-banks%20JOHNSON%20CONTROLS:%20http:/www.inthesetimes.com/working/
entry> . Although the Fed has been frantically pushing cash into the banks,
it can't make them lend to consumers.

This means that small businesses cannot create jobs because they can't get
lt routine loans to replenish their stock or meet a payday if receipts fall
a little short.

INNER CIRCLE AGAINST STIMULUS

Does any of this look like a major problem for the geniuses providing
economic advice to President Obama? Geithner, Lawrence Summers, and Robert
Rubin -- who earned $100 million at Citibank after leaving as Clinton's
treasury secretary and helping to saddle the nation with Wall Street
deregulation -- are all unwilling to push for a second, much more vigorous
stimulus.

Obama's inner circle of Wall Street wise guys have spent their entire lives
safely insulated from the realities of Detroit or Youngstown or other
communities where the long-term jobless are suffering.

As a result, they see no urgency to a strong new stimulus plan, and
certainly feel no inclination to lean on the revered private sector --
specifically, big corporations and banks -- to actually start creating jobs
in the U.S. Obama, in part because of the spinelessness of so many
congressional Democrats, has allowed his administration to be backed into a
corner by the Republicans' incessant attack on government spending to
stimulate the economy.

While speaking vaguely of the need for more government stimulus, there is no
large-scale plan to offer a halt the state-level bleeding. The beneficial
effects of the first stimulus are now being undermined
<http://www.nytimes.com/2010/08/09/opinion/09krugman.html?src=me&ref=general
>  by unprecedented state level cuts in expenditures and staffing, which are
further reducing already-lagging consumer demand and reducing the nation's
current and future productivity.

Street lights are being blacked out in some cities, massive teacher layoffs
loom, some states are imposing shorter school weeks and inferior education,
libraries are being closed in New Jersey, and roads are being downgraded
from pavement to gravel because maintenance costs are so much lower.  

SLIVER OF HOPE

Presently, the only sliver of hope comes from a scaled-down stimulus bill
that would allocate $26 billion to the states for rehiring teachers and
other public employees, and other legislation on child nutrition, which has
been one of the victims of the recession and upward re-distribution of
income.

Yet even this bill, [which was passed by the House and signed by President
Obama on Tuesday night], contains some unpalatable concessions to "centrist"
Democrats and the Republicans:

Officials say that House objections [were also] raised over the child
nutrition bill because it would receive funding
<http://inthesetimes.com/working/entry/6305/obama_sticks_with_private_jobs_e
ven_as_corporate_us_goes_on_strike/thecaucus.blogs.nytimes.com/tag/house/>
from future cuts in the food stamp program, which was already taking a hit
to pay for the state aid.

As a result, the House may wind up considering just the $26 billion bill,
which both the White House and most Congressional Democrats see as a big win
given that it protects jobs and does not add to the deficit.

At this point, the Democrats seem set on a course of belatedly trying to
blame George W. Bush for the current mess (something that they failed to do
forcefully enough in early 2009), working at convincing Americans that they
are better off than their own actual experience tells them, and surrendering
to the Republicans on the deficits vs. stimulus issue. 

AN ALTERNATIVE APPROACH

An alternative course is also possible: relentlessly targeting corporations
and banks for their strike against investment and hiring and creation of
jobs only in low-wage nations outside the U.S.

This approach would also champion--rather than back away from--the vital
role that only government can play in an economic downturn: restoring
consumer demand through deficit spending to create and maintain
public-sector jobs because of the abject refusal of the private sector to do
so. 

Unfortunately, there are few indications that Obama and the Democrats are
giving any such boldness even a moment's consideration.


!DSPAM:2676,4c643ac9177551025645482! 

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