But Plato started with the educational system and the entire cultural milieu
from birth.

 

Sel,a

 

 

From: [email protected]
[mailto:[email protected]] On Behalf Of Ray Harrell
Sent: Tuesday, September 07, 2010 9:19 PM
To: 'RE-DESIGNING WORK, INCOME DISTRIBUTION, EDUCATION'
Subject: Re: [Futurework] Once a Dynamo, the Tech Sector Is Slow to Hire

 

What the tech sector needs is a Bureau of Standards that enforced standards
that guaranteed long term stability in technology products.   The cost of
losing information is immense.    If Google truly downloaded all the books
and the hard copies were not properly cared for and we encountered that
Sunspot pulse that can wipe out the grid then that information would be gone
and the entire literary and technological culture of the world would be lost
in one generation.    

 

There is no planning for disaster in capitalism, in fact capitalism longs
for disaster as a way to stimulate more business.   Stability is stagnation
for capitalism.     Communism is a moribund structure barely better if at
all.   Aristocracy?   Fascistic and unjust.   So what is the answer?      An
International Council of Elders who were responsible for working with every
culture in the world as a circle of identities to plot the future of the
world and the garden we inhabit.      Elders drawn from the best of sub
councils that extend all the way to a local level and have the good of the
planet as its goal and the survival of all life on the planet as its
mission.     

 

REH

 

From: [email protected]
[mailto:[email protected]] On Behalf Of Arthur Cordell
Sent: Tuesday, September 07, 2010 5:24 PM
To: 'RE-DESIGNING WORK, INCOME DISTRIBUTION, EDUCATION'
Subject: [Futurework] Once a Dynamo, the Tech Sector Is Slow to Hire

 

September 6, 2010  NY  Times


Once a Dynamo, the Tech Sector Is Slow to Hire


By CATHERINE RAMPELL
<http://topics.nytimes.com/top/reference/timestopics/people/r/catherine_ramp
ell/index.html?inline=nyt-per> 


For years the technology sector has been considered the most dynamic,
promising and globally envied industry in the United States. It escaped the
recession
<http://topics.nytimes.com/top/reference/timestopics/subjects/r/recession_an
d_depression/index.html?inline=nyt-classifier>  relatively unscathed, and
profits this year have been soaring. 

But as the nation struggles to put people back to work, even high-tech
companies have been slow to hire, a sign of just how difficult it will be to
address persistently high joblessness. While the labor report released last
week showing August figures provided mildly positive news on private-sector
hiring, the unemployment rate was 9.6 percent. 

The disappointing hiring trend raises questions about whether the tech
industry can help power a recovery and sustain American job growth in the
next decade and beyond. Its tentativeness has prompted economists to ask "If
high tech isn't hiring, who will?" 

"We are talking about people with very particular, advanced skills out there
who are at this point just not needed anymore," says Bart van Ark, chief
economist at the Conference Board
<http://www.conference-board.org/about/index.cfm?id=1980> , a business and
economic research organization. "Even in this sector, there is tremendous
insecurity." 

Government labor reports released this year, including the most recent one,
present a tableau of shrinking opportunities in high-skill fields. 

Job growth in fields like computer systems design and Internet publishing
has been slow in the last year. Employment in areas like data processing and
software publishing has actually fallen. Additionally, computer scientists,
systems analysts and computer programmers all had unemployment rates of
around 6 percent in the second quarter of this year. 

While that might sound like a blessing compared with the rampant joblessness
in manufacturing, it is still significantly higher than the unemployment
rates in other white-collar professions. 

The chief hurdles to more robust technology hiring appear to be increasing
automation and the addition of highly skilled labor overseas. The result is
a mismatch of skill levels here at home: not enough workers with the
cutting-edge skills coveted by tech firms, and too many people with
abilities that can be duplicated offshore at lower cost. 

That's a familiar situation to many out-of-work software engineers, whose
skills start depreciating almost as soon as they are laid off, given the
dynamism of the industry. 

"I'm sending out lots and lots and lots of applications, to everywhere
within a 50-mile radius," says Rosamaria Carbonell Mann, 49, a software
engineer who was terminated in June when her employer closed its branch in
Corvallis, Ore., and sent the work to China. 

Corvallis was once a hotbed for tech start-ups. But Ms. Mann said that with
layoffs from other tech companies in the area, including Hewlett-Packard
<http://topics.nytimes.com/top/news/business/companies/hewlett_packard_corpo
ration/index.html?inline=nyt-org> , the city now has a glut of people like
herself: unemployed engineers with multiple degrees. "I apply for everything
I can find, but there are just not that many jobs out there," she said. 

Nevertheless, many high-tech companies large and small say they are
struggling to find highly skilled engineering talent in the United States. 

"We are firing up our college recruiting program, enduring all manner of
humiliation to try to fill these jobs," said Glenn Kelman, chief executive
of Redfin <http://www.redfin.com/> , an online brokerage agency for buying
and selling homes that is based in Seattle and San Francisco. "I do think
we're still chasing them, not the other way around." 

He added, "If there's the one enclave that has been completely unaffected by
recession, it would be Stanford computer science students." 

Meanwhile, an earlier generation of engineers is scouring for jobs, and
having to compete with a more globalized pool of talent. There are no
definitive statistics on how many jobs are being moved overseas. But
economists who follow highly skilled employment say that some of the most
prominent companies that laid off workers during the recession, like I.B.M.
<http://topics.nytimes.com/top/news/business/companies/international_busines
s_machines/index.html?inline=nyt-org> , are expanding their work forces
abroad. 

"Certainly a lot of these I.T. services firms plus the core software firms
like Oracle are globalizing their work, or, as they put it, 'rebalancing'
their work forces," says Ronil Hira, an assistant professor of public policy
at the Rochester Institute of Technology. 

In the past, the American jobs most susceptible to being shipped abroad were
lower-skilled positions. But now emerging economies have been harvesting
their long-term investments in math and science education and attracting
high-tech firms - and not just textile factories or call centers - to their
shores. 

These higher skills have become commodities, said Catherine L. Mann, a
global finance professor at the Brandeis University International Business
School who studies the outsourcing of jobs. The programming language "C++ is
now an international language," she said. "If that's all you know, then
you're competing with people in India or China who will do the work for
less." 

In addition to lower wages, developing countries offer significant consumer
growth, giving businesses a reason to make more products closer to the
buyer, and hire locally. 

And increasingly, these new, lower-cost research centers, while perhaps
initially intended to adapt products for local use, are becoming sources of
innovation themselves. 

"There's been this assumption that there's a global hierarchy of work, that
all the high-end service work, knowledge work, R.&D. work would stay in
U.S., and that all the lower-end work would be transferred to emerging
markets," said Hal Salzman, a public policy professor at Rutgers and a
senior faculty fellow at Heldrich Center for Workforce Development. 

"That hierarchy has been upset, to say the least," he said. "More and more
of the innovation is coming out of the emerging markets, as part of this
bottom-up push." 

The narrative is familiar to Ms. Mann, the unemployed software engineer. She
said her employer, International Gaming Technology, initially told her
office that it was opening a branch in China to work with the company's
casino clients in Macau and Australia. 

She said she was told that the new branch would be tailoring products to
local needs and doing some back-office work. But a year later it absorbed
all the operations once performed by the Corvallis staff. International
Gaming Technology, based in Reno, Nev., did not respond to repeated requests
for comment. 

This is the second time, Ms. Mann said, that an employer has sent her job
abroad since she received her master's in computer science more than two
decades ago; the last time was in 2001. This week she starts a yearlong
program to upgrade her programming skills, paid for by a federal program
<http://www.doleta.gov/tradeact/2002act_index.cfm>  that assists workers who
have been displaced by international trade. 

The experience of Ms. Mann and others like her suggests that the technology
industry may not be the savior of the American job market and a magic bullet
for a moribund economy - even though the Obama administration has called for
a revival of math and science training and emphasized the need for American
companies to take the lead in fields like clean energy. 

Instead, some economists and policy makers are looking to health care to
lead an employment surge. They point to the field's growing demand for new
services, the need for physical proximity for many patient procedures, and a
bureaucracy that entails layer upon layer of jobs. 

Because these jobs seem more secure, Ms. Mann said she briefly considered
making a move into health care. "That's something that can't be outsourced
as far as I can tell, but it's not for me," she said. "I don't do well
looking at people's blood." 

 

_______________________________________________
Futurework mailing list
[email protected]
https://lists.uwaterloo.ca/mailman/listinfo/futurework

Reply via email to