Yearned for?    That's because you think every sentence is about the "direct
object."     That's also the reason I never visited England.    What's the
point?   You don't consume to live and make something of yourselves.   You
live to consume.   But don't think that is what the rest of us are about.
Admittedly the Anglos here are consumed with the English language and
consumption.   But that is a psychological addiction not a healthy
situation.

 

REH    

 

From: [email protected]
[mailto:[email protected]] On Behalf Of Keith Hudson
Sent: Thursday, October 28, 2010 1:51 PM
To: RE-DESIGNING WORK, INCOME DISTRIBUTION, , EDUCATION; Ed Weick
Subject: Re: [Futurework] Both schools are wrong

 

Ed,

At 11:11 28/10/2010 -0400, you wrote:



For 200 years (roughly 1780-1980) every single adult knew of some consumer
product that he couldn't afford but yearned for because the next higher
class was flaunting it. So, whatever his discretionary income, be it ever so
small (200 years ago), the next desirable product was identifiable and was
saved hard for. Those products of the first 100 years or so we would now
regard as trivial. Those of the last 100 years were not so trivial -- radio,
telephone, car, fridge, central heating. All iconic products start out by
being very expensive. But, increasingly mass-produced, they work their way
down through successive classes. They motivate everyone to buy something at
some income level or other.

Where are the new iconic products? There aren't any. They petered out at
around 1980 and it was then that the financial sector then started throwing
credit at consumers to keep them buying new embellishments of old products,
not uniquely new ones. But now, since the credit-crunch, we are now into a
no-growth economy and it may be a very long time before a new situation
emerges.

Keith 

Keith, as usual 


I'm saying it "as usual" because I want to provoke someone to disprove what
I'm saying. Find me a new consumer product that's highly desirable by the
rich, very expensive -- say, equivalent to what the car was in the 1910s/20s
-- but capable of repeated phases of mass production until it reaches down
to everybody in due course.




you attribute America's and the world's economic woes to the absence of new
iconic products, your argument being that the lower classes of society look
up at the consumer capital goods that the classes above them have bought
and, in a fit of envy and emulation, save like hell so that they can buy
them too.  You say that new iconic products petered out at around 1980 and
that, funded by consumer credit, people have been doing little beyond buying
embellishments of old products, etc.  So, there isn't really that much to
spend on and, hence, the downturn, etc.
 
An item in today's Washington Post suggests another reason for limited
consumer spending:  "A majority of Americans now say they are worried about
making their mortgage or rent payments, underscoring the extent of economic
anxiety in the country heading into midterm elections


Of course! Because we've had an enormous economic catastrophe. I don't
expect consumers to worry overmuch about keeping up with the Joneses when
they can't pay their mortgages or they're in danger of losing their jobs!




. ... A new Washington Post poll shows that concerns about housing payments
have spiked since 2008 despite some improvements in the overall economy. In
all, 53 percent said they are "very concerned" or "somewhat concerned" about
having the money to make their monthly payment. Worries are the most intense
among those with lower incomes and among African Americans." 
 
So, people may not be spending because they are trying very hard to pay
their mortgages or their rent.   Nevertheless, your argument about spending
being driven by consumer envy may still make sense.  Soledad O'Brian's CNN
program on Black America the other night was on the problems black middle
class Americans are having in staying in their homes.  Both working parents
in the family she featured made their money on commission.  Their income had
fallen quite drastically during the past year or so and they were having a
lot of trouble in meeting their mortgage payments.  Little wonder,
considering the house they were living in.  It was huge with a two or three
car garage and a multiplicity of rooms.  It had obviously been bought out of
a feeling of entitlement when things were going well but was far too
elaborate and costly now that good times were over.
 
What this suggests is that iconic new products can take a variety of forms,
bigger and more elaborate housing for a rising middle class emulating the
rich
for example. 


The home is probably the most "precise" of all the status objects one buys.
Go into a new housing estate and you'll find the people there will have very
similar incomes.

Keith 




 What it also suggests is that there is little that is certain in the
economy; you may be seeing yourself rising upward one year only to be
sinking the next.  It's an uncertain world, and as Chris keeps telling us,
the predators wanting to sell you something you can't afford are never far
away.
 
Ed
 

Keith Hudson, Saltford, England 

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