This may be more readable that the Warfield so I include it as well.    All
of this on a day when a sitting judge and an American Congress woman and
wife to an American Astronaut were shot at a public rally in Arizona.   Some
people's desires are limitless for sure.    I'm sorry Harry but your comment
still smacks of sophistry when there are difficult problems that need more
of us than the mechanistic economic theories demand.

 

 

http://www.debtdeflation.com/blogs/





 
<http://www.debtdeflation.com/blogs/2010/12/05/tom-palley-on-why-obama-is-fa
iling/> Tom Palley on why Obama is failing


Posted on
<http://www.debtdeflation.com/blogs/2010/12/05/tom-palley-on-why-obama-is-fa
iling/> December 5, 2010 by
<http://www.debtdeflation.com/blogs/author/admin/> Steve Keen

 <http://www.thomaspalley.com/> Tom Palley has written an excellent opinion
piece for the Financial Times on why Obama is failing, and he requested that
I reproduce it here. However, to read it, I'd prefer if you clicked on the
link in the title of Tom's piece below. That will take you to the Financial
Times blog itself-the more hits that pieces like this are seen to get in the
conventional media, the better (to encourage this, there are some links in
the Financial Times piece that I haven't reproduced in this repost).

Though I concur with Tom's opinions, I can fully understand Obama's decision
to use the same advisors that Clinton before him (and to some extent Bush)
had also used. Fundamentally, Obama is a politician, not an expert in
economics, and as a politician determined to take an intelligent approach to
the problems confronting America, he sensibly decided to get his information
on these challenges from the very best.

How was he to know that the world's leading economists, the "very best" in
this crucial field, actually knew nothing about how the real economy
actually functions?

Only after 2 years in office, when the economy is not recovering from the
recession as his advisors told him it would, and the remedies that he throws
at it (on their advice) turn out to be more damp squibs that the weapons of
mass economic reconstruction he was told they would be, must it slowly be
dawning on him that may don't understand the economy.

He's learning the hard way the lesson I and many other critical economists
acquired as we studied for our economics degrees-mostly by reacting
incredulously to weird propositions that our Professors would use to derive
their models-that there is something rotten in the state of economic
thinking.

Fortunately, I had time to undertake scholarly research to confirm that
initial guttural reaction. Yes, what simply felt like crap to me rather than
wisdom, really was crap: the weird propositions that my Professors would put
forward were kludges to hide fundamental flaws in the underlying theory. In
full view in the academic literature of economics, paper after paper proved
that the theory did not hold together.

Sometimes, as with  <http://en.wikipedia.org/wiki/Piero_Sraffa> Piero
Sraffa, a critic had proven a fatal flaw in one aspect of the theory (in
Sraffa's case,  <http://en.wikipedia.org/wiki/Capital_controversy> the
theory of income distribution and the concept of a production function
linking output of goods to inputs of labor and capital). Other times, it was
an "own goal", as leading neoclassical economists tried to prove something
they hoped was true-such as that market demand curves obeyed all the laws
they had derived for individual demand curves, and that they therefore
necessarily sloped downwards so that there could be only one equilibrium
between supply and demand-and proved that
<http://en.wikipedia.org/wiki/Sonnenschein%E2%80%93Mantel%E2%80%93Debreu_the
orem> this wasn't true.

In any genuine science, these discoveries, being fundamental to the theory,
devastating in their impact and vast in number, would have caused an
intellectual crisis that would ultimately have led to a revolution-as with
the shift from the Ptolemaic to the Copernican view of the structure of the
solar system. But in economics, what happened instead was that these flaws
were ignored-if they had been discovered by the critics like Sraffa-or
papered over by truly absurd assumptions, if they had been "own goals".

The end result was that economic theory was an utter shambles of false
abstractions, and I wrote  <http://www.debunkingeconomics.com/> Debunking
Economics to bring this to the attention of people who fighting for social
justice but whose endeavors were being blocked by economists.

Unfortunately, Obama didn't read it.

So now a man who had hopes to be remembered for not only being America's
first black President, but also for being one of its great social reformers
as well, will probably go down like
<http://en.wikipedia.org/wiki/Herbert_Hoover> Herbert Hoover, who is known
more for his failure to prevent the Great Depression than for anything else.
To cite Wikipedia here:

When the  <http://en.wikipedia.org/wiki/Wall_Street_Crash_of_1929> Wall
Street Crash of 1929 struck less than eight months after he took office,
Hoover tried to combat the ensuing
<http://en.wikipedia.org/wiki/Great_Depression> Great Depression with
volunteer efforts, none of which produced economic recovery during his term.
The consensus among historians is that Hoover's defeat in the
<http://en.wikipedia.org/wiki/United_States_presidential_election,_1932>
1932 election was caused primarily by failure to end the downward economic
spiral. As a result of these factors, Hoover is
<http://en.wikipedia.org/wiki/Historical_rankings_of_United_States_President
s> ranked poorlyamong former US Presidents.

Such will almost certainly be Obama's fate as well, though not because he
was a poor President but because he was determined to be a good one, and he
therefore followed the advice of the economists in combating the beginnings
of the Second Great Depression. How was he to know that their wayward
economic theories had actually helped set up this calamaity in the first
place, and that having caused it by means they did not understand, that they
were the last ones who were able to give him the economic advice he actually
needed?

So much for me; over now to Tom's views-and please read them via the link,
as requested. One of the many reasons that neoclassical economics has become
dominant is that newspaper editors believed, as Obama did, that the dominant
economists were the best ones, and non-orthodox thinkers like Tom and I were
shut out of the opinion pieces even more effectively than we were
marginalized within the economics profession itself. The more pieces like
Tom's get read in the mainstream media, the sooner those days will be
over-and the long-overdue intellectual revolution in economics can begin.

 
<http://blogs.ft.com/economistsforum/2010/12/deaf-to-historys-rhyme-why-pres
ident-obama-is-failing/#more-12566> Deaf to History's Rhyme: Why President
Obama is Failing

Financial Times Economists' Forum, December 2, 2010

Copyright Thomas I. Palley

The great American novelist Mark Twain observed "history does not repeat
itself but it rhymes." Today the rhyme is with the 1930s, and if you don't
hear it read FDR's great Madison Square Garden speech of October 1936:

"For twelve years this nation was afflicted with hear-nothing, see-nothing,
do-nothing government. The nation looked to government but the government
looked away. Nine mocking years with the golden calf and three long years
with the scourge! Nine crazy years at the ticker and three long years in the
breadlines! Nine mad years of mirage and three long years of despair!
Powerful influences strive today to restore that kind of government with its
doctrine that that government is best which is most indifferent."

Despite this clarity, the Obama administration insists on hearing a rhyme
with the 1990s. That tone deafness has its roots in political choices made
at the administration's outset and explains why the administration has
stumbled so badly in its first years. If continued, the economic and social
consequences will be grave.

In 2008 President Obama captured the nation with a message of change, yet in
office he has chosen to deliver change of style rather than change of
substance. At the headline level this choice was reflected in his call for
bi-partisanship that looked to split the difference with Republicans. In
economic policy, it was reflected in the wholesale reappointment of the
Clinton administration team led by Larry Summers and Timothy Geithner, a
case of continuity not change.

Now, the administration is sinking under failure of its economic policy.
That failure is due to its attempt to revive a 1990s paradigm that never
worked as advertised and can only deliver stagnation. Painful though it is
for Democrats to acknowledge, the reality is the economic policies of
President Clinton were largely the same as those of President Bush. On this
the record is clear for those willing to see. The Clinton administration
pushed financial deregulation; twice reappointed Alan Greenspan; promoted
corporate globalization through NAFTA and China PNTR; initiated the strong
dollar policy; spoke of the "end of the era of big government"; contemplated
privatization of Social Security; and struck down a core element of the New
Deal by ending the right to welfare.

The main difference between the Clinton and Bush administrations was the
former's willingness to offer some helping-hand policies to cushion the
harsh effects of the invisible hand. Differences in outcomes were not policy
driven but reflect the fact the Clinton administration enjoyed the good
fortune of the Internet investment bubble. It also benefitted from the
beginning of the housing bubble when American families had plenty of
untapped home equity and credit.

President Obama's fateful decision to go with Clintonomics meant the
recession was interpreted as an extremely deep downturn rather than a crisis
signaling the bankruptcy of the neoliberal paradigm that has ruled both
Republicans and Democrats for thirty years. That implied the recession could
be fully addressed with stimulus, which was the same response as the Bush
administration to the recession of 2001.

The current recession is the deepest economic downturn since the Great
Depression of the 1930s, inviting comparisons with President Franklin Delano
Roosevelt. FDR had the advantage of taking office three years into the
Depression when the unemployment rate was near 25 percent. The verdict was
in: the system needed change. President Obama took office as the crisis was
deepening. Those who had designed the system could still argue it could be
revived and as establishment insiders they had the upper hand. But that
argument is done and today the prospect is of long stagnation.

The New Deal was a break with both the politics and economic policies of the
past. Its economic policy innovations like Social Security, the Securities
and Exchange Commission, the Fair Labor Standards Act, and the Wagner Act
granting the right to organize, are still celebrated. However, it was FDR's
new politics of solidarity and compassion that created the necessary
political space: solidarity that recognized the country was in the
Depression together and compassion that recognized many were suffering
through no fault of their own. That is the political rhyme President Obama
must hear, while the New Deal is the policy rhyme.

The President's failure to deliver on the country's desire for change of
substance has left a vacuum that is being filled by dangerous unstable
forces. This is the tale of the Tea Party, which is a tale that has
resonance for Europe. The economic risk, already more advanced in Europe, is
a doubling-down of disastrously failed hardcore neoliberal economic
policies. The political risk is a rise of intolerance and xenophobia.

These are not normal times. If the administration persists with its deafness
to history it will surely hit the rocks and an historical opportunity for
progressive change will be squandered. Worse yet, its deafness will leave
the field open to the extreme right whose "blame-the-victim" social message
and "liquidationist-austerity" economic policies clearly confirm today's
rhyme is with the history of the 1930s.

 

 

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