http://www.ctv.ca/mini/election2011/polltracker/index.html

Note the very severe break in Conservative support in Ontario and the
associated sharp rise in NDP suppport (matches what happened in Quebec a
week ago).  If those trend lines continue at all through to the election
(and given the sharpness of the turn around there I think it is a not
unrealistic assumption) then the NDP is in line for a breakthrough number of
seats in Ontario to match the seats in Quebec with matching losses and gains
in the rest of the country--which my estimate would put them into the 120+
range, with 110 Conservatives, 50 Libs, 20 BQ, and 1 Green.

????

Mike


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