Why does Germany continue to do well? It's current problems are
just about being the Euro purse responsible for propping up limping
EU members, but on its own, it is thriving. Why is Canada doing well?
Yes, smart legislation allowed us to dodge the sub-prime banking scams,
and yes we've got resources that people will buy, but that's hardly
the whole story. The thing we have in common with the northern
europeans that has kept us in better shape, is our smaller degree
of income inequality across the society. This means there is more
available money to spend, and a middle class able to spend it.
There's a lot of money in the US, but as long as it is sequestered
by the ultra rich, there will be no resurgence of consumerism.
You can't have a consumer society when you've obliterated the
consuming class.
Gross's three points are not insignificant, but they are not the
key point. Not by far, and the absense of that recognition renders
his article absurd. While commentators like him ignore this fact,
they are doomed to talk nonsense.
They would be far better off if they were to conduct their analyses
by first deleting the ultra rich, and all their money, from the
problem, and looking at the remainder as the nation in question.
They would then have a far more realistic basis from which to
work. Money which is more likely to travel the world without
ever leaving any footprint of any kind at home is best left out
of calculations.
-Pete
On Sat, 13 Aug 2011, Ray Harrell wrote:
Pete, what are you conflicting with? Are you saying that robotics and
technology has nothing to do with it? How about the recording
industry in the Arts where one orchestra can do the work of hundreds?
How about a mine where automation can do the work of 3,000 miners and
replace them with less than a hundred mechanics for the machines.
What about dark factories with a few mechanics and no workers and that
work 24 hours a day?
I don’t' know what your rant was about? It's unclear to me what that
has to do with being American? On the other hand the hyper
individualism that makes everyone responsible when there is no capital
IS one of the problems. The question is whether the system is using
the three elements of the article or whether they are foundational.
This seems to be a problem that runs throughout systems design. We
destroy the Arts because they have no utility but they are human
infrastructure in the development of human psycho-physical instruments
and not mere evolutionary cheesecake. We move everything off shore
because a free market is the best system but the free market destroys
your consumers. We hear politicians comparing national governments to
households and then destroying them across the world through the world
bank.
Is this not an engineering flaw? Is this not the confusion of large
scale systems with small scale systems that have parallels but are in
truth vastly different in complexity and the necessary knowledge to
make them work? Is not the same "virus" true of the cultural systems
that make all cultures work? Are you saying that we do not, in the
West, set them off against each other rather than balancing them
sensibly?
China has a culture system's virus as a result of their inability to
deal with religion that is currently at one tenth of their national
population. Even the Communists are having trouble dealing with large
scale systems with 19th century systems ideas.
I'm not an engineer but I work with large scale art forms and the
rules are different based in scale. Orchestrating a string quartet
like a symphony just shows that you don't know anything about the
rules of symphonic orchestral form. There are parallels but a
trombone is not a violin even though the tuning requires the same
intonation for both with a wildly different tessitura.
Making wildly different groups, genders, cultures, professions, etc.
the "same" has been a Western cultural terminal provinciality for as
long as there has been a "Western" world. That reality is the root of
the word chauvinism from the French embodied by a particular
individual.
Have a good day.
REH
-----Original Message-----
From: [email protected]
[mailto:[email protected]] On Behalf Of pete
Sent: Saturday, August 13, 2011 12:59 AM
To: RE-DESIGNING WORK, INCOME DISTRIBUTION, EDUCATION
Subject: Re: [Futurework] Reminescent of what we used to say on Futurework list.
On Thu, 11 Aug 2011, Ray Harrell wrote:
Opinions Washington Post
America’s debt is not its biggest problem
By Bill Gross, Published: August 10
[...]
But while our debt crisis is real and promises to grow to Frankenstein
proportions in future years, debt is not the disease — it is a
symptom. Lack of aggregate demand or, to put it simply, insufficient
consumption and investment is the disease. Debt has been simply an
abused sovereign and private market antidote to sustain it. We and our
global market competitors are and have been experiencing a lack of
aggregate demand for several decades. It is now only visibly coming to
a head, as the magic elixir of leverage is drained and exhausted. This
potentially fatal disease of capitalism is a result of several
long-term secular phenomena:
(1) Aging demographics, where boomers everywhere spend less, in
contrast to their youth, as they approach retirement; babies, houses
and second cars shift to the scrapbook of memories as opposed to
future spending power.
(2) Globalization, where 2 billion new competitive workers from Asia
and elsewhere take jobs and paychecks from complacent and ill-trained
40-somethings in developed markets.
(3) Technological innovation, where machines and robots displace human
labor, resulting in corporate profits but declining wages.
The debt crisis as it crests ultimately gives way to these
growth-inhibiting, spending-contractionary secular forces.
What idiocy. A lack of consumption is a direct result of an absense of funds to
finance consumption. If you want the people to consume, you don't chisel away
their wages for forty years while concentrating all wealth at the tiny tip of
the top of the wealth distribution, which is no longer a pyramid, but more like
a trumpet bell. Globalization may have some effect in retarding wage growth,
but no where near enough to be responsible for the current situation, and
really there is nothing but willful venality preventing a far saner wealth
distribution which would inspire an exuberant economy. Strangle your society,
and you reap what you deserve.
Well, as Churchill said, the americans can always be relied upon...
-Pete
_______________________________________________
Futurework mailing list
[email protected]
https://lists.uwaterloo.ca/mailman/listinfo/futurework
_______________________________________________
Futurework mailing list
[email protected]
https://lists.uwaterloo.ca/mailman/listinfo/futurework
