Yep!    There's also a great article about Mullah Cameron and his cabinet
Mullahs on the front page of the NYTimes where the point is made that they
let the white collar crooks, that started the whole mess, off with no jail
time while he demands it for the poor and the unemployed.   Doesn't this all
sound like Iran?     I realize that we have no room to brag here.   We only
put Bernie Madoff in jail and I wouldn't be surprised if it wasn't because
of HIS ethnicity.     All of the rest got bonuses.    Been there before.
Next England will have its own "Tea Party claiming to be grassroots.
Doesn't anyone "over there" still go the theater?    Wasn't this what
Churchill said we were fighting for?     How could such great theater and
exceptional performers like my old teacher Dame Eva Turner come from the
same country that supports a return to the Gold Standard?
Incomprehensible!

 

REH

 

 

August 16, 2011


Crashing the Tea Party


By DAVID E. CAMPBELL and ROBERT D. PUTNAM


GIVEN how much sway the Tea Party has among Republicans in Congress and
those seeking the Republican presidential nomination, one might think the
Tea Party is redefining mainstream American politics. 

But in fact the Tea Party is increasingly swimming against the tide of
public opinion: among most Americans, even before the furor over the debt
limit, its brand was becoming toxic. To embrace the Tea Party carries great
political risk for Republicans, but perhaps not for the reason you might
think. 

Polls show that disapproval of the Tea Party is climbing. In April 2010, a
New York Times/CBS News survey found that 18 percent of Americans had an
unfavorable opinion of it, 21 percent had a favorable opinion and 46 percent
had not heard enough. Now, 14 months later <http://tinyurl.com/3ccjkte> ,
Tea Party supporters have slipped to 20 percent, while their opponents have
more than doubled, to 40 percent. 

Of course, politicians of all stripes are not faring well among the public
these days. But in data we have recently collected, the Tea Party ranks
lower than any of the 23 other groups we asked about - lower than both
Republicans and Democrats. It is even less popular than much maligned groups
like "atheists" and "Muslims." Interestingly, one group that approaches it
in unpopularity is the Christian Right. 

The strange thing is that over the last five years, Americans have moved in
an economically conservative direction: they are more likely to favor
smaller government, to oppose redistribution of income and to favor private
charities over government to aid the poor. While none of these opinions are
held by a majority of Americans, the trends would seem to favor the Tea
Party. So why are its negatives so high? To find out, we need to examine
what kinds of people actually support it. 

Beginning in 2006 we interviewed a representative sample of 3,000 Americans
as part of our continuing research into national political attitudes, and we
returned to interview many of the same people again this summer. As a
result, we can look at what people told us, long before there was a Tea
Party, to predict who would become a Tea Party supporter five years later.
We can also account for multiple influences simultaneously - isolating the
impact of one factor while holding others constant. 

Our analysis casts doubt on the Tea Party's "origin story." Early on, Tea
Partiers were often described as nonpartisan political neophytes. Actually,
the Tea Party's supporters today were highly partisan Republicans long
before the Tea Party was born, and were more likely than others to have
contacted government officials. In fact, past Republican affiliation is the
single strongest predictor of Tea Party support today. 

What's more, contrary to some accounts, the Tea Party is not a creature of
the Great Recession. Many Americans have suffered in the last four years,
but they are no more likely than anyone else to support the Tea Party. And
while the public image of the Tea Party focuses on a desire to shrink
government, concern over big government is hardly the only or even the most
important predictor of Tea Party support among voters. 

So what do Tea Partiers have in common? They are overwhelmingly white, but
even compared to other white Republicans, they had a low regard for
immigrants and blacks long before Barack Obama was president, and they still
do. 

More important, they were disproportionately social conservatives in 2006 -
opposing abortion, for example - and still are today. Next to being a
Republican, the strongest predictor of being a Tea Party supporter today was
a desire, back in 2006, to see religion play a prominent role in politics.
And Tea Partiers continue to hold these views: they seek "deeply religious"
elected officials, approve of religious leaders' engaging in politics and
want religion brought into political debates. The Tea Party's generals may
say their overriding concern is a smaller government, but not their rank and
file, who are more concerned about putting God in government. 

This inclination among the Tea Party faithful to mix religion and politics
explains their support for Representative Michele Bachmann of Minnesota and
Gov. Rick Perry of Texas. Their appeal to Tea Partiers lies less in what
they say about the budget or taxes, and more in their overt use of religious
language and imagery, including Mrs. Bachmann's lengthy prayers at campaign
stops and Mr. Perry's prayer rally in Houston. 

Yet it is precisely this infusion of religion into politics that most
Americans increasingly oppose. While over the last five years Americans have
become slightly more conservative economically, they have swung even further
in opposition to mingling religion and politics. It thus makes sense that
the Tea Party ranks alongside the Christian Right in unpopularity. 

On everything but the size of government, Tea Party supporters are
increasingly out of step with most Americans, even many Republicans. Indeed,
at the opposite end of the ideological spectrum, today's Tea Party parallels
the anti-Vietnam War movement which rallied behind George S. McGovern in
1972. The McGovernite activists brought energy, but also stridency, to the
Democratic Party - repelling moderate voters and damaging the Democratic
brand for a generation. By embracing the Tea Party, Republicans risk
repeating history. 

David E. Campbell, an associate professor of political science at Notre
Dame, and Robert D. Putnam, a professor of public policy at Harvard, are the
authors of "American Grace: How Religion Divides and Unites Us." 

 

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