From: [email protected]
[mailto:[email protected]] On Behalf Of Barry Randall
Sent: Saturday, November 26, 2011 10:51 AM
To: [email protected]
Subject: [Ottawadissenters] Prepare for riots in euro collapse, Foreign
Office warns

 






The Telegraph, Saturday 26 November 2011

 

British embassies in the eurozone have been told to draw up plans to help
British expats through the collapse of the single currency, amid new fears
for Italy and Spain.

 

http://www.telegraph.co.uk/news/politics/8917077/Prepare-for-riots-in-euro-c
ollapse-Foreign-Office-warns.html

 

As the Italian government struggled to borrow and Spain considered seeking
an international bail-out, British ministers privately warned that the
break-up of the euro, once almost unthinkable, is now increasingly
plausible.

Diplomats are preparing to help Britons abroad through a banking collapse
and even riots arising from the debt crisis. 

 

The Treasury confirmed earlier this month that contingency planning for a
collapse is now under way. A senior minister has now revealed the extent of
the Government's concern, saying that Britain is now planning on the basis
that a euro collapse is now just a matter of time.  "It's in our interests
that they keep playing for time because that gives us more time to prepare,"
the minister told the Daily Telegraph.

 

Recent Foreign and Commonwealth Office instructions to embassies and
consulates request contingency planning for extreme scenarios including
rioting and social unrest. Greece has seen several outbreaks of civil
disorder as its government struggles with its huge debts. British officials
think similar scenes cannot be ruled out in other nations if the euro
collapses.

 

Diplomats have also been told to prepare to help tens of thousands of
British citizens in eurozone countries with the consequences of a financial
collapse that would leave them unable to access bank accounts or even
withdraw cash.  Fuelling the fears of financial markets for the euro,
reports in Madrid yesterday suggested that the new Popular Party government
could seek a bail-out from either the European Union rescue fund or the
International Monetary Fund.

 

There are also growing fears for Italy, whose new government was forced to
pay record interest rates on new bonds issued yesterday. The yield on new
six-month loans was 6.5 per cent, nearly double last month's rate. And the
yield on outstanding two-year loans was 7.8 per cent, well above the level
considered unsustainable.

 

Italy's new government will have to sell more than EURO 30 billion of new
bonds by the end of January to refinance its debts. Analysts say there is no
guarantee that investors will buy all of those bonds, which could force
Italy to default. The Italian government yesterday said that in talks with
German Chancellor Angela Merkel and French President Nicolas Sarkozy, Prime
Minister Mario Monti had agreed that an Italian collapse "would inevitably
be the end of the euro."

 

The EU treaties that created the euro and set its membership rules contain
no provision for members to leave, meaning any break-up would be disorderly
and potentially chaotic.

 

If eurozone governments defaulted on their debts, the European banks that
hold many of their bonds would risk collapse.  Some analysts say the shock
waves of such an event would risk the collapse of the entire financial
system, leaving banks unable to return money to retail depositors and
destroying companies dependent on bank credit.

 

The Financial Services Authority this week issued a public warning to
British banks to bolster their contingency plans for the break-up of the
single currency.  Some economists believe that at worst, the outright
collapse of the euro could reduce GDP in its member-states by up to half and
trigger mass unemployment.

 

Analysts at UBS, an investment bank earlier this year warned that the most
extreme consequences of a break-up include risks to basic property rights
and the threat of civil disorder.  "When the unemployment consequences are
factored in, it is virtually impossible to consider a break-up scenario
without some serious social consequences," UBS said.

 






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