Just as the planetary environment has shaped our genes over billions of years, so have innovations shaped mankind's cultures and economies. Entrepreneurs, financiers or politicians who purport to be responsible for economic growth and consumer prosperity are really ten-a-penny and spring up like mushrooms whenever significant innovations appear. Those three heroes (or anti-heroes) of modern culture merely take advantage of whatever innovations come along and, as individuals, happen to be the right sort of person at the right time and in the right place. Unfortunately, we have no significant innovations today that remotely compare with the three that took us through the industrial revolution -- the steam engine, the electrical dynamo and the computer -- and which spawned thousands of new consumer good as by-products -- so none of the three 'heroes' at present know how to lead us out of the economic mess that the advanced countries find themselves in (never mind the rest of the world). A corollary of this is that our largest, most efficient world-wide businesses are presently bulging with profits but don't know how or where to invest them next in order to produce the next tranche of consumer goods that, according to orthodox economic wisdom, could kick-start us into renewed economic growth. So what will be the next significant innovation(s)? Goodness knows! But if we had to place a bet it would probably be in one or both of the two most exciting scientific research areas today -- genetics and particle physics. Until the next innovation comes along, the best our heroes could do would be to dampen down the excesses of today -- the excessive expectations of the mass consumer, the excessive exploitation of our wonderful natural environment and the excessive world population. That's more than enough to keep them going while the research scientists plod away at their experiments.

Keith Hudson, Saltford, England http://allisstatus.wordpress.com
   
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