A strange article filled with various contradictions and weird references to
tradition and morality that don't make sense.   Maybe Azam Ahmed is making
an ethnic point about Weinstein's Saba?    What will happen to the poor who
are the losers here?    Is Ahmed suggesting in Salzburger's paper that the
poor would do better under Sharia law?   Things just get more and more
strange as state after state's legislatures pass laws making Sharia illegal
in their states.   But where is there Sharia law anywhere in the U.S.?
Somewhere I feel a tinge of fear in all of this.    It feels like a
dangerous time.

 

REH

 

May 26, 2012   New York Times 


The Hunch, the Pounce and the Kill


By
<http://topics.nytimes.com/top/reference/timestopics/people/a/azam_ahmed/ind
ex.html> AZAM AHMED


BOAZ WEINSTEIN didn't know it, but he had just hooked the London Whale.

It was last November, and Mr. Weinstein, a wunderkind of the New York hedge
fund world, had spied something strange across the Atlantic. In an obscure
corner of the financial markets, prices seemed out of whack. It didn't make
sense.

Mr. Weinstein pounced.

As the financial world now knows, what was out of whack was JPMorgan Chase &
Company. One its traders, Bruno Iksil, the man later nicknamed the London
Whale for his outsize trades, was about to blow a multibillion-dollar hole
in the mighty House of Morgan.

But the resulting uproar, in Washington and on Wall Street, has largely
obscured a simple truth of the marketplace. Yes, Morgan lost big - but, as
Mitt Romney has pointed out, someone else won. And that someone or, rather,
those someones, turn out to be Boaz Weinstein and a wolf pack of like-minded
hedge fund managers.

In the London Whale, these traders saw a rich opportunity, and they seized
it with both hands. That, after all, is the way hedge funds roll. His cool
calculus has made Mr. Weinstein a very rich man: he is in talks to buy the
Fifth Avenue co-op of a reclusive heiress, Huguette Clark, for $24 million.

It might seem remarkable that someone like Mr. Weinstein, a man virtually
unknown outside of financial circles, could deal such a stinging blow to one
of the world's largest, most respected banks. Jamie Dimon, the chairman and
chief executive of JPMorgan and a face of the banking establishment, is
struggling to contain the damage from what he has called a "terrible,
egregious mistake." The loss - JPMorgan put it at
<http://dealbook.nytimes.com/2012/05/16/jpmorgans-trading-loss-is-said-to-ri
se-at-least-50/> $2 billion, but it may turn out to be $3 billion or more -
has renewed calls for stronger
<http://topics.nytimes.com/topics/reference/timestopics/subjects/c/credit_cr
isis/financial_regulatory_reform/index.html?inline=nyt-classifier> financial
regulation.

Given the secretive nature of the business, few on Wall Street, including
Mr. Weinstein, were willing to speak publicly about how the hedge funds
harpooned the London Whale. But interviews with more than a dozen hedge fund
managers, investors and traders pull back the curtain on the ways of this
band of traders, and on what really happened.

One thing is sure: Mr. Weinstein, 38, played a central role in this, one of
the biggest trading blowups since the financial crisis of 2008. Mr. Iksil
and his colleagues in the chief investment office at JPMorgan may have
lighted the fire, but Mr. Weinstein and his cohorts fanned the flames. In
the hedge fund game, a business in which ruthlessness is prized and money is
the ultimate measure, Mr. Weinstein is what is known as a "monster" - an
aggressive trader with a preternatural appetite for risk and a
take-no-prisoners style. He is a chess master, as well as a high-roller on
the velvet-topped tables of Las Vegas. He has been banned from the Bellagio
for counting cards.

>From offices on the 58th floor of the Chrysler Building in Midtown
Manhattan, Mr. Weinstein runs a $5.5 billion hedge fund firm called Saba
Capital Management. ("Saba" is Hebrew for "grandfatherly wisdom," a nod to
his Israeli roots.) It was there, last autumn, that he noticed an aberration
in the market for credit
<http://topics.nytimes.com/top/reference/timestopics/subjects/d/derivatives/
index.html?inline=nyt-classifier> derivatives. He knew from experience what
it was like to lose a lot of money at a big bank. Before starting Saba, he
was responsible for a team that lost nearly $2 billion, in the depths of the
financial crisis, at Deutsche Bank. Others lost even more. Last November,
however, he saw that a certain index seemed to be trading out of line with
the market it was supposed to track. He and his team pored through reams of
data, trying to make sense of it.

Finally, as Mr. Iksil, the London Whale, kept selling, Mr. Weinstein began
buying.

At the time, traders in London had no real idea that JPMorgan was behind the
trades that were skewing the market in credit derivatives. In fact, they
weren't even sure that it was a single bank or trader. But soon the City of
London, Europe's financial hub, was buzzing. Whoever the mysterious trader
was, he or she kept selling derivatives intended to rise in value in the
event that certain corporate bonds became riskier. The volume of trades was
off the charts. Who could possibly sell so much? And, what if the trade
reversed, as it inevitably would?

And so the battle lines were drawn. On one side was JPMorgan, the American
banking giant that had weathered the financial crisis far better than so
many of its peers. On the other were hedge fund managers, including Mr.
Weinstein at Saba.

Such standoffs are not uncommon on Wall Street. An aggressive trader makes a
wrongheaded bet, then doubles down to scare off competitors on the other
side of the trade. Market rivals often get slapped down, unwilling to keep
buying as the other side is selling, or vice versa. For traders with the
backing of a major bank, like JPMorgan, the task is much easier.

But not always. Sometimes, the other side sits tight, then hits back in
force. And it does so in numbers.  

By January of this year, the trade against the London Whale was not going
well for the hedge funds. The price of the index, as well as others, was
still falling, and the losses were mounting for Mr. Weinstein and the
others. But by February, it was clear that a single, big player was behind
the selling. On trading desks in London and New York, everyone was talking.

It had to be JPMorgan.

BOAZ WEINSTEIN has always played the wild card in the markets. He grew up on
the Upper West Side of Manhattan, in relatively modest surroundings, the son
of an
<http://topics.nytimes.com/your-money/insurance/auto-insurance/index.html?in
line=nyt-classifier> automobile insurance salesman and a translator, both
regular watchers of "Wall Street Week." As a student at Stuyvesant High
School in Manhattan, he entered a contest to see who could pick the best
stocks.    He won - by selecting an assortment of the fastest-growing stocks
he could find from newspaper charts. He studied philosophy at the University
of Michigan - he was partial to Hume and Camus - but today favors behavioral
finance, particularly the work of his friend
<http://www.fuqua.duke.edu/faculty_research/faculty_directory/ariely/> Dan
Ariely, a professor at Duke.     Mr. Weinstein is married to Tali Farhadian
Weinstein, a rising lawyer in the Justice Department.

Last February, at a conference organized by another hedge fund manager, his
friend William A. Ackman, Mr. Weinstein was hailed as one of the savviest
credit traders in the business.

The February conference was held, ironically, in JPMorgan's offices on
Madison Avenue. Workers at the bank milled about as Mr. Weinstein and others
offered  investment tips.

Dressed in a sharp blue suit, Mr. Weinstein stepped up to the microphone and
opened with a joke that only a financial wonk would appreciate. He showed a
slide comparing the cost of
<http://topics.nytimes.com/top/reference/timestopics/subjects/c/credit_defau
lt_swaps/index.html?inline=nyt-classifier> credit default swaps on various
government debt to the percentage of young men in those countries who live
with their parents. The slide titled "Mamma Mia!" suggested that, by that
measure, Greece, Portugal and Italy were in trouble.

But what really got people's attention was his second-to-last slide. It was
his pick for the "best" investment idea of the moment. Mr. Weinstein
recommended buying the Investment Grade Series 9 10-year Index CDS - the
same index that Mr. Iksil was shorting.

The crowd, 300 or so investment professionals, began buzzing.

"Once he came out in that meeting and was so specific, others jumped in,"
one hedge fund manager said.

But the London Whale was so big that, for months, the hedge funds betting
against him simply got steamrolled. One of Mr. Weinstein's funds at Saba was
down 20 percent heading into May.

Then the tables began to turn, as news reports about Mr. Iksil, fed by the
hedge funds, began to surface on both sides of the Atlantic. Suddenly,
everyone was checking out the obscure index that Mr. Weinstein and others
had seized upon.

By May, when fears over
<http://topics.nytimes.com/top/reference/timestopics/subjects/e/european_sov
ereign_debt_crisis/index.html?inline=nyt-classifier> Europe's debt crisis
again came to the fore, the trade reversed. The London Whale was losing. And
Mr. Weinstein began to make back all of his losses - and then some - in a
matter of weeks.

Other hedge funds were also big winners. Blue Mountain Capital and BlueCrest
Capital, both created by former JPMorgan traders, were among those winners.
Lucidus Capital Partners, CQS and a fund called III came out ahead, too.

INSIDE the hedge fund world, some joked that Mr. Weinstein had been able to
spot the London Whale because he himself had been a whale once, too.

Mr. Weinstein was a pioneer in complex credit derivatives, latching onto
them early in his tenure at Deutsche Bank, before they became the financial
weapons of mass destruction that worsened the financial crisis. He was a
profit machine at the bank, notching earnings in 10 of his 11 years trading
there. At 27, he became one of the youngest managing directors in the bank's
history. Before his book blew up, Mr. Weinstein was reportedly pulling down
about $40 million a year. He exploited price discrepancies and piled
leverage into his trades.

Then his team at Deutsche Bank lost $1.8 billion during the 2008 financial
crisis. The trading losses ruined bonuses throughout the bank, and ruffled
more than a few feathers.

He would later leave the bank and, along with 12 of his colleagues, set up
Saba. Mr. Weinstein started it with $140 million - a pittance by hedge fund
standards. In the intervening years, he has outperformed his peers and
managed to vacuum up assets at a time when most growing hedge funds have
been struggling to hold on to what they've got. He now controls more than
$5.5 billion.

 The similarities between Mr. Weinstein and Mr. Iksil still resonate in the
market.

"It was one whale versus another whale," one hedge fund manager said.

Those who have traded against Mr. Weinstein describe him as an aggressive
trader who bets big and moves fast. He values a deal more than old-fashioned
etiquette. Traders tell tales of losing money to him because of split-second
price differences he picked up faster than they did. While that kind of
behavior doesn't win a lot of friends on Wall Street, these traders concede
that Mr. Weinstein is too big and powerful to ignore.

At a lot of large hedge funds, the top dogs bark orders to underlings, but
Mr. Weinstein is almost always the one doing the trading at Saba. He calls
around to the banks daily. His confidence and willingness to take on risk,
however, leave some worried that he's never too far away from another
Deutsche Bank trade - from, in essence, becoming the whale.

"If you hand me a list of the top-performing guys in the space, I'd expect
to see his name on it," said one bank executive who works closely with hedge
funds. "If you hand me another list of hedge funds that might blow up, I'd
expect his name to be on that, too."

Others disagree, saying that Mr. Weinstein has a long record as a steady
performer.

LIKE many hedge fund traders, Mr. Weinstein is comfortable with risky
pursuits, particularly those that require spot calculations and a cool head.
A gambling enthusiast, he has an affinity for blackjack and poker. In 2005,
Mr. Weinstein won a Maserati by competing in poker in a tournament sponsored
by a unit of Warren E. Buffett's Berkshire Hathaway. Mr. Weinstein still
drives the car. He plays with celebrities like Matt Damon, too.

Not everyone is enthusiastic about Mr. Weinstein's playing style. A few
years back, on a trip to Vegas, he was banned from the opulent Bellagio
casino for counting cards while playing blackjack.

Much has also been made of his prowess as a chess player. He earned the
chess master designation at the age of 16, and has remained a lifelong fan,
though he plays less these days. At a charity auction in 2010, he paid
$10,500 to play alongside the chess legend Garry Kasparov and the young
chess sensation Magnus Carlsen.

Mostly, he sneaks in quick games online, sometimes with Peter Thiel, a hedge
fund manager and Silicon Valley star who was an early investor in Facebook.

Both chess and playing the markets require a mind that can see several steps
ahead of the next man - a fact that has not been lost on Wall Street.
Privately, Mr. Weinstein tells friends that while skill at chess is great to
have, it's hardly a requisite for being a good trader.

Whatever the case, chess helped him gain his first real shot on Wall Street.
At 18, after failing to land a summer job at Goldman Sachs, Mr. Weinstein
ran into a senior partner in the bathroom on his way out. The partner, David
F. DeLucia, a chess expert, had played Mr. Weinstein numerous times, and
quickly arranged more meetings for him.

Now Mr. Weinstein is practically a featured attraction on Wall Street. He
attends galas and charity events, and is sought out to speak at big events.
Pictures of him clasping a drink at last night's party appear with
regularity on business Web sites.

And, financially, the payoff has been enormous. Last year, he earned more
than $90 million and, by some estimates, landed on the rich lists of the
hedge fund industry. Such figures aside, he is described as someone who
doesn't flash his wealth. Before he won his Maserati, he didn't own a car.

At another recent investor conference, Mr. Weinstein strolled among the
crowd in Avery Fisher Hall at Lincoln Center. Accompanying him was his
mother, Giselle, with whom he watched "Wall Street Week" as a child.

While hedge fund managers, investors and analysts mingled over cocktails,
Mr. Weinstein appeared buoyant. His trade against the London Whale was
finally paying off, a vindication - and a profitable one - of his hunch
months earlier. That same day, news reports said Mr. Iksil, the London
Whale, would soon be leaving JPMorgan.

 

 

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