________________________________________
From: Portside Moderator [[email protected]]
Sent: Friday, November 02, 2012 8:56 PM
To: [email protected]
Subject: Today's Jobs Report: More Jobs, Lousy Wages

More Jobs, Lousy Wages, and the Desertion of Non-
College White Men From the Democratic Party

Robert Reich
November 2, 2012
http://robertreich.org/post/34831152302

The two most important trends, confirmed in today’s
jobs report from the Bureau of Labor Statistics, are
that (1) jobs slowly continue to return, and (2) those
jobs are paying less and less.

Today’s report showed 171,000 workers were added to
payrolls in October, up from 148,000 in September. At
the same time, unemployment rose to 7.9 percent from
7.8 percent last month. The reason for the seeming
disparity: As jobs have begun to return, more people
have been entering the labor force seeking employment.
The household survey, on which the unemployment
percentage is based, counts as “unemployed” only people
who are looking for work.

As I’ve said, you have to take a single month’s report
with a grain of salt because the job reports bounce
around a great deal, and are often revised. Last month
the BLS announced that 114,000 new jobs were created in
September. Today the BLS revised that September figure
upward to 148,000.

Overall, the jobs trend is in the right direction. The
President and Democrats can take some comfort.

The most disturbing aspect of today’s report is the
continuing decline of wages. Average hourly earnings
climbed 1.6 percent in October from the same time last
year. That’s not enough to match the rate of inflation
– meaning that hourly earnings continue to drop in real
terms.

It’s also the smallest gain since comparable year-over-
year records began in 2007, before the Great Recession.
Earnings for production workers – about 80 percent of
the workforce — rose only 1.1 percent in the 12 months
to October. That’s way behind inflation, and the
weakest wage growth since the BLS began keeping records
on wages in 1965.

The biggest challenge ahead isn’t just to get jobs
back. They’re coming back. It’s to raise the wages of
most Americans.

This isn’t a new challenge. The median wage has been
flat for three decades, when you adjust for inflation.
Since 2000 it’s been dropping.

What does all of this have to do with the upcoming
election? Plenty. Some of the biggest wage losses over
the last several decades have been among white men who
haven’t attended college. And, not coincidentally,
they’re the ones who have been abandoning the Democrats
in droves.

Three decades ago, non-college white men were solidly
Democratic. Many of them were unionized. They had jobs
that delivered good middle-class incomes.

But over the last three decades they stopped believing
the Democratic Party could deliver good jobs at decent
wages.

Republicans have done no better for them on the wages —
in fact many policies touted by the GOP, such as its
attack on unions, have accelerated the downward wage
trend.

But Republicans have offered white non-college males
the scapegoats of racism and immigration — blaming,
directly or indirectly, blacks and Latinos — and the
solace of right-wing evangelical Christianity. Absent
any bold leadership from Democrats, these have been
enough.

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