Just when things seem at their most dire, along comes Captain Tech and his
merry band to save the day (or so they say...

M

-----Original Message-----
From: list...@warpspeed.com [mailto:list...@warpspeed.com] On Behalf Of
Dewayne Hendricks
Sent: Saturday, September 14, 2013 6:23 PM
To: Multiple recipients of Dewayne-Net - Sent by
Subject: [Dewayne-Net] Could the 'Internet of Things' Really Save the U.S.
Economy?

Could the 'Internet of Things' Really Save the U.S. Economy?
One economist says: Absolutely.
By TIM FERNHOLZ
Sep 14 2013
<http://www.theatlantic.com/business/archive/2013/09/could-the-internet-of-t
hings-really-save-the-us-economy/279682/>

I know the coffee's ready because the light in the Quartz kitchen is purple,
not pink. The light knows the coffee is ready is because there are
sensors--heat and pressure--taped to the coffee maker. This is the internet
of things. It will save us all from economic ruin.

Or at least that's what a new estimate from innovation guru Michael Mandel
says. He figures (pdf) that the "internet of things"--the increasing number
of machines equipped with internet-connected sensors--will expand the US
economy by $600 billion and $1.4 trillion in 2025, roughly the equivalent of
boosting GDP by 2% to 5% over the intervening time period. That could be the
difference between so-so growth to the kind of stable growth that drives
down debt and unemployment.

More broadly, the argument he's making is a reply to economists like Robert
Gordon and Tyler Cowen who fear that the big gains in productivity that
supported an expanding middle class and the modern welfare state won't be
replicated anytime soon. This has major social repercussions--namely a
scenario known as the great stagnation. The internet, for all the ways its
changed our lives, has offered its gains largely in the form of consumer
surplus--free stuff on the internet you used to pay for, in short--that is
great and important but not necessarily money in your pocket.

Today's internet of things is limited to consumer surplus, like Quartz's
coffee pot monitor or our weather bulb.

But the future internet of things will be a different beast, because by
definition it takes the internet out of the world of abstraction and into
industries--manufacturing, energy, transportation--where productivity gains
would have a more tangible impact. For instance, while some trash cans are
spying on you, others, made by BigBelly Solar, are keeping track of how full
they are so garbage collectors can plan their routes more efficiently,
saving fuel and time. The largest gains are still to come: Sticking sensors
on a turbine to know exactly when it will break down and how to fix it
sounds great, but actually handling all that data in a meaningful way isn't
easy.

[snip]

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