As I understand it, Player Piano draws on what was happening at GE as tool and 
die craftsmen were
being forced to 'teach' their skills to the machines that would replace them. I 
treasure my worn paperback
of the book.

Sally
________________________________
From: futurework-boun...@lists.uwaterloo.ca 
[futurework-boun...@lists.uwaterloo.ca] on behalf of Arthur Cordell 
[denar...@sympatico.ca]
Sent: Sunday, September 29, 2013 1:59 PM
To: 'RE-DESIGNING WORK, INCOME DISTRIBUTION, EDUCATION'
Subject: Re: [Futurework] The average are done for


Player Piano, author Kurt 
Vonnegut's<http://en.wikipedia.org/wiki/Kurt_Vonnegut> first 
novel<http://en.wikipedia.org/wiki/Debut_novel>, was published in 1952. It is a 
dystopia<http://en.wikipedia.org/wiki/Dystopia> of 
automation<http://en.wikipedia.org/wiki/Automation>,[1]<http://en.wikipedia.org/wiki/Player_Piano_(novel)#cite_note-jcpn2kv-1>
 describing the dereliction it causes in the quality of 
life<http://en.wikipedia.org/wiki/Quality_of_life>.[1]<http://en.wikipedia.org/wiki/Player_Piano_(novel)#cite_note-jcpn2kv-1>
 The story takes place in a near-future society that is almost totally 
mechanized, eliminating the need for human laborers. This widespread 
mechanization creates conflict between the wealthy upper class—the engineers 
and managers who keep society running—and the lower class, whose skills and 
purpose in society have been replaced by machines. The book uses irony and 
sentimentality, which were to become a hallmark developed further in Vonnegut's 
later 
works.[1]<http://en.wikipedia.org/wiki/Player_Piano_(novel)#cite_note-jcpn2kv-1>






http://tinyurl.com/pvhdwms


http://en.wikipedia.org/wiki/Player_Piano_(novel)



From: futurework-boun...@lists.uwaterloo.ca 
[mailto:futurework-boun...@lists.uwaterloo.ca] On Behalf Of Keith Hudson
Sent: Shttp://en.wikipedia.org/wiki/Player_Piano_(novel)unday, September 29, 
2013 11:56 AM
To: RE-DESIGNING WORK, INCOME DISTRIBUTION, EDUCATION
Subject: [Futurework] The average are done for

The following is part of an article in today' s Sunday Times

The average are done for. You don't need to be.

Toby Harnden

Do you want your child to have a job in 2033.  If so, according to  a book that 
is gripping policy makers in Washington, they had better start deferring to 
computers. Society i about to be divided into Big Earners and Big Losers and 
those who rage against the machine are destined for the scrap heap.

Tyler Cowen, an economics profesor at George Mason University in Virginia, 
delivers the bad news cheerfully.  Inequality is on the rise, he argues, and 
the middle class will soon be seen as a quaint feature of a bygone era.

Over the next two deccades, he predicts, society will become a 
"hyper-meritocracy" in which 15% will be richly rewarded for thir adeptness in 
harnessing technology and the remaining 85% will be consigned to a fragile 
existence in which wages freeze or fall and few get a second chance at success.

His book, Average is Over, concludes that we are about to enter "the age of 
genius machines, and it will be the people who work with them that will rise". 
For the rest, life will be decidedly tough and although the fracturing of 
society is "not inevitable in a metaphysical sense", he told the Sunday Times, 
he had little optimism that governments would do the things necessary to make 
the situation better.

An engaging and eclectic thinker, Cowen, 51, was chess champion of New Jersey 
at 15, has written a guide to ethnic dining and is a prolific blogger. The Los 
Angeles Times has described him as a [polymath].

Last year he was invited to Downing Street to deliver a seminar on industrial 
policy and warned against Britain embracing the politics of envy.

Cowen emphasises the important of humility in accepting that computers usually 
know best and has reflected this in his own life. He met his wife 10 year ago 
via Match.com, a medium that forced them "out of our usual intuitions and to 
our mutual benefit".  He is enthused by the advances in chess brought about by 
computers and accepts that he might not have succeeded as a young player using 
software "because I'm not sure how humble I was back then."

The key, he says, is to realise that, as in "freestyle  chess", in which 
players can consult competer programs, "the human and the computer together are 
strpnger than just the computer and certainly gronger than just the human".

Being the best at chess --  or anything in life -- is no longer good enough. 
"The humans who are best at freestyle chess are not the grandmasters but people 
who are smart and know something about chess but also know whento defer to   
the computer and when your isdom actually counts for something."  Computer 
algorithms, he argues, are becoming better at knowing what we want than we do 
-- and successful people will just go along with this.  Reading Amazon or Yelp 
revview leads to better choices -- as does walking away from a business deal 
because a software pro9gram tells you it's too risky, even if your gut is 
telling you to hang in there.

The downside is that employers will also usee computers with "oppressive 
precision" to measuere output, weed out slackers and spot those who have not 
always been steady and conscientious.  Making a fresh start will become next to 
impossible.

How do we nhelp ourchildren in this brave, somewhat scary new world -- to be 
part of the 15% Cowen says that the future is too unpredictable to produce 
lists of jobs to gravitate towards or to avoid.  But he does advise avoiding 
excessive specialisation: ""Do what you enjoy, learn general skills and learn 
how to retrain yourself."
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