>Content-Description: cc:Mail note part
>Date:         Fri, 29 Jun 2001 11:13:36 +0000
>Reply-To: unemployment-research <[EMAIL PROTECTED]>
>Sender: unemployment-research <[EMAIL PROTECTED]>
>From: David Webster <[EMAIL PROTECTED]>
>Subject:      Failure of Scottish Business Birthrate Strategy
>To: [EMAIL PROTECTED]
>X-MIME-Autoconverted: from quoted-printable to 8bit by vcn.bc.ca id DAA07825
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>
>     FAILURE OF THE SCOTTISH BUSINESS BIRTHRATE STRATEGY
>     
>     The Scottish press today reports the almost total failure of the 
>     Business Birthrate Strategy run by the development agency Scottish 
>     Enterprise since 1993.  Details can be found in three stories on the 
>     Glasgow Herald website at www.theherald.co.uk, two in the business 
>     section and one in the news section.
>     
>     �140m has been spent on this programme, achieving an estimated 2,124 
>     additional businesses (�65,900 per business), only 10% of the target 
>     of 25,000 businesses.  This new evaluation is actually considerably 
>     more favourable than that by A.Dow and C.Kirk in Vol.24 No.4 of the 
>     Fraser of Allander Quarterly Economic Commentary last year.  They said 
>     the strategy had made no discernible difference.
>     
>     This failure was entirely predictable and indeed I predicted it from 
>     the outset.  The paper "New Firm Formation in the British Counties 
>     with Special Reference to Scotland" by B.Ashcroft et al., Regional 
>     Studies Vol.25.5 (1991) showed that the factors affecting 
>     entrepreneurship are primarily structural.  They concluded "Scotland 
>     performs poorly compared with much of the rest of Britain because it 
>     has low levels of wealth as proxied by home ownership, a socioeconomic 
>     structure which is under-represented in education and in managerial 
>     and professional skills, and a plant structure which to some extent 
>     militates against workers gaining experience of small firms......Above 
>     all, the findings of this research suggest that if the government is 
>     serious about raising firm formation rates in Scotland and in other 
>     peripheral regions of the UK, it would do better to focus on certain 
>     aspects of the region's economic structure than on repeated 
>     exhortations to local residents to embrace the 'enterprise culture'".
>     
>     The government went on to do the exact opposite of what was 
>     recommended, insisting that the issue is about "enterprise culture". 
>     This approach to "evidence-based policy" continues, with the present 
>     UK government having dismantled most of conventional regional policy 
>     in favour of.....efforts to raise the business birthrate in 
>     disadvantaged areas. 
>     
>     The current SE chief executive confesses that the �140m could have been 
>     better spent.  In my view what it could have been better spent on is the 
>     activities which were scaled down to finance it - in particular the 
>     physical reclamation of the derelict sites left by Britain's over-rapid 
>     deindustrialisation and by urban-rural manufacturing shift.  Glasgow 
>     currently has 8.5% of its total land area vacant or derelict, twice the 
>     proportion in the next worst Scottish area.  Reclaiming this land 
>     remains a low official priority.  �140m spent on this supremely 
>     important task would have made an immense difference to levels of 
>     unemployment and poverty in Glasgow.  
>     
>     This episode has been an economic disaster, and, more important, a 
>     human tragedy.  But will the lessons be learned by the official 
>     decision makers?
>     
>     
>     David Webster
>     Glasgow City Housing                         29 June 2001
>     
>     [EMAIL PROTECTED]
Tom Walker
Bowen Island, BC
604 947 2213

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