Yo Robert!
On 03 Oct you wrote

>John
>How about a simpler explaination=win lose intergroup conflict (in the
>classics style OF Dr. Strangelove and the mineshaft gap)
>Tools for changing win lose and lose to win-win
>MIT'S WILLIAM ISAACS BOOK DIALOGUE CITES MANY CASES ON CREATING WIN WIN
>INTERGROUP RELATIONSHIPS FROM PREVIOUSLY INTRACTIBLE WIN LOSE DYNANICS

what a wonderfully simple idea!    perhaps you could offer copies (at 
discount rates of course, for bulk orders) to the grieving and further 
impoverished relatives of the MILLIONS of innocent Iranian, Iraqi, 
Vietnamese, Panamanian, Salvadorean, Columbian, Chilean, Yugoslavian, East 
Timorese, Indonesian, Japanese and Native American victims of both direct 
targeting and "collateral damage" from U$ bombs, tanks, land mines, ' agent 
orange ', depleted uranium, cruise missiles, "smart bombs", economic 
embargos, "liberation" campaigns and naked imperialism.  Obviously you have 
yet to forward complimentary copies to Messers Arafat and "friend of 
America", Sharon!

Can you think of anybody of power in the U$A who might be interested in 
studying Mr Isaac`s book?....either of the Messers Bush 
perhaps?....obviously gran`pappy Prescott Bush never read it!       How 
`bout Henry? (Kissinger).    Anyone in the CIA?...or the FBI?    What about 
some of the ' C.E.Os ' from e.g. Rayethon Corp., GE or any of the other 
manufacturers and purveyors of weapons of mass destruction?!

Hopefully you might find the following article of interest Robert; i 
sincerely hope you will make the effort to read it thru and reflect upon 
its contents.

have a nice day!


Ten Things You Should Know about U.S. Policy in the Middle
East
By Stephen Zunes
AlterNet September 26, 2001


1. The United States has played a major role in the
militarization of the region.


The Middle East is the destination of the majority of American
arms exports, creating enormous profits for weapons
manufacturers and contributing greatly to the militarization
of this already overly-militarized region. Despite promises of
restraint, U.S. arms transfers to the region have topped $60
billion since the Gulf War. Arms sales are an important
component of building political alliances between the U.S. and
Middle Eastern countries, particularly with the military
leadership of recipient countries. There is a strategic
benefit for the U.S. in having U.S.-manufactured systems on
the ground in the event of a direct U.S. military
intervention. Arms sales are also a means of supporting
military industries faced with declining demand in Western
countries.


To link arms transfers with a given country's human rights
record would lead to the probable loss of tens of billions of
dollars in annual sales for American weapons manufacturers,
which are among the most powerful special interest groups in
Washington. This may help explain why the United States has
ignored the fact that UN Security Council resolution 687,
which the U.S. has cited as justification for its military
responses to Iraq�s possible rearmament, also calls for
region-wide disarmament efforts, something the United States
has rejected.


The U.S. justifies the nearly $3 billion in annual military
aid to Israel on the grounds of protecting that country from
its Arab neighbors, even though the United States supplies 80
percent of the arms to these Arab states. The 1978 Camp David
Accord between Israel and Egypt was in many ways more like a
tripartite military pact than a peace agreement in that it has
resulted in more than $5 billion is annual U.S. arms transfers
to those two countries. U.S. weapons have been used repeatedly
in attacks against civilians by Israel, Turkey and other
countries. It is not surprising that terrorist movements have
arisen in a region where so many states maintain their power
influence through force of arms.


2. The U.S. maintains an ongoing military presence in the
Middle East.


The United States maintains an ongoing military presence in
the Middle East, including longstanding military bases in
Turkey, a strong naval presence in the eastern Mediterranean
and Arabian Sea, as well as large numbers of troops on the
Arabian Peninsula since the Gulf War. Most Persian Gulf Arabs
and their leaders felt threatened after Iraq�s seizure of
Kuwait and were grateful for the strong U.S. leadership in the
1991 war against Saddam Hussein's regime and for UN
resolutions designed to curb Iraq's capability to produce
weapons of mass destruction. At the same time, there is an
enormous amount of cynicism regarding U.S. motives in waging
that war. Gulf Arabs, and even some of their rulers, cannot
shake the sense that the war was not fought for international
law, self-determination and human rights, as the senior Bush
administration claimed, but rather to protect U.S. access to
oil and to enable the U.S. to gain a strategic toehold in the
region.


The ongoing U.S. air strikes against Iraq have not garnered
much support from the international community, including
Iraq's neighbors, who would presumably be most threatened by
an Iraqi capability of producing weapons of mass destruction.
In light of Washington�s tolerance -- and even quiet support
-- of Iraq�s powerful military machine in the 1980s, the
United States' exaggerated claims of an imminent Iraqi
military threat in 1998, after Iraq�s military infrastructure
was largely destroyed in the Gulf War, simply lack
credibility. Nor have such recent air strikes eliminated or
reduced the country�s capability to produce weapons of mass
destruction, particularly the most plausible threat of
biological weapons.


Furthermore, only the United Nations Security Council has the
prerogative to authorize military responses to violations of
its resolutions; no single member state can do so unilaterally
without explicit permission. Many Arabs object to the U.S.
policy of opposing efforts by Arabs states to produce weapons
of mass destruction, while tolerating Israel�s sizable nuclear
arsenal and bringing U.S. nuclear weapons into Middle Eastern
waters as well as rejecting calls for the creation of a
nuclear-free zone in the region.


In a part of the world which has been repeatedly conquered by
outside powers of the centuries, this ongoing U.S. military
presence has created an increasing amount of resentment.
Indeed, the stronger the U.S. military role has become in the
region in recent decades, the less safe U.S. interests have
become.


3. There has been an enormous humanitarian toll resulting from
U.S. policy toward Iraq.


Iraq still has not recovered from the 1991 war, during which
it was on the receiving end of the heaviest bombing in world
history, destroying much of the country�s civilian
infrastructure. The U.S. has insisted on maintaining strict
sanctions against Iraq to force compliance with international
demands to dismantle any capability of producing weapons of
mass destruction. In addition, the U.S. hopes that such
sanctions will lead to the downfall of Saddam Hussein's
regime. However, Washington�s policy of enforcing strict
sanctions against Iraq appears to have had the ironic effect
of strengthening Saddam�s regime. With as many as 5,000
people, mostly children, dying from malnutrition and
preventable diseases every month as a result of the sanctions,
the humanitarian crisis has led to worldwide demands -- even
from some of Iraq�s historic enemies -- to relax the
sanctions. Furthermore, as they are now more dependent than
ever on the government for their survival, the Iraqi people
are even less likely to risk open defiance.


Unlike the reaction to sanctions imposed prior to the war,
Iraqi popular resentment over their suffering lays the blame
squarely on the United States, not the totalitarian regime,
whose ill-fated conquest of Kuwait led to the economic
collapse of this once-prosperous country. In addition, Iraq's
middle class, which would most likely have formed the
political force capable of overthrowing Saddam�s regime, has
been reduced to penury. It is not surprising that most of
Iraq�s opposition movements oppose the U.S. policy of ongoing
punitive sanctions and air strikes.


In addition, U.S. officials have stated that sanctions would
remain even if Iraq complied with United Nations inspectors,
giving the Iraqi regime virtually no incentive to comply. For
sanctions to work, there needs to be a promise of relief to
counterbalance the suffering; that is, a carrot as well as a
stick. Indeed, it was the failure of both the United States
and the United Nations to explicitly spell out what was needed
in order for sanctions to be lifted that led to Iraq
suspending its cooperation with UN weapons inspectors in
December 1998.


4. The United States has not been a fair mediator in the
Israeli-Palestinian conflict.


For over two decades, the international consensus for peace in
the Middle East has involved the withdrawal of Israeli forces
to within internationally recognized boundaries in return for
security guarantees from Israel's neighbors, the establishment
of a Palestinian state in the West Bank and Gaza and some
special status for a shared Jerusalem. Over the past 30 years,
the Palestine Liberation Organization, under the leadership of
Yasir Arafat, has evolved from frequent acts of terrorism and
the open call for Israel's destruction to supporting the
international consensus for a two-state solution. Most Arab
states have made a similar evolution toward favoring just such
a peace settlement.


However, the U.S. has traditionally rejected the international
consensus and currently takes a position more closely
resembling that of Israel's right-wing government: supporting
a Jerusalem under largely Israeli sovereignty, encouraging
only partial withdrawal from the occupied territories,
allowing for the confiscation of Palestinian land and the
construction of Jewish-only settlements and rejecting an
independent state Palestine outside of Israeli strictures.


The interpretation of autonomy by Israel and the United States
has thus far led to only limited Palestinian control of a bare
one-fourth of the West Bank in a patchwork arrangement that
more resembles American Indian reservations or the infamous
Bantustans of apartheid-era South Africa than anything like
statehood. The U.S. has repeatedly blamed the Palestinians for
the violence of the past year, even though Amnesty
International, Human Rights Watch and other reputable human
rights group have noted that the bulk of the violence has come
from Israeli occupation forces and settlers.


Throughout the Israeli-Palestinian peace process, the U.S. has
insisted on the two parties working out a peace agreement
among themselves, even though there has always been a gross
asymmetry in power between the Palestinians and their Israeli
occupiers. The U.S. has blamed the Palestinians for not
compromising further, even though they already ceded 78
percent of historic Palestine to the Israelis in the Oslo
Accords; the Palestinians now simply demand that the Israelis
withdraw their troops and colonists only from lands seized in
the 1967, which Israel is required to do under international
law.


The U.S.-backed peace proposal by former Israeli prime
minister Ehud Barak at the 2000 talks at Camp David would have
allowed Israel to annex large swaths of land in the West Bank,
control of most of Arab East Jerusalem and its environs,
maintain most of the illegal settlements in a pattern that
would have divided the West Bank into non-contiguous cantons,
and deny Palestinian refugees the right of return. With the
U.S. playing the dual role of the chief mediator of the
conflict as well as the chief diplomatic, financial and
military backer of Israeli occupation forces, the U.S. goal
seems to be more that of Pax Americana than that of a true
peace.


5. U.S. support for Israel occupation forces has created
enormous resentment throughout the Middle East.


The vast majority of Middle Eastern states and their people
have belatedly acknowledged that Israel will continue to exist
as part of the region as an independent Jewish state. However,
there is enormous resentment at ongoing U.S. diplomatic,
financial and military support for Israeli occupation forces
and their policies.


The U.S. relationship with Israel is singular. Israel
represents only one one-thousandth of the world�s population
and has the 16th highest per capita income in the world, yet
it receives nearly 40 percent of all U.S. foreign aid. Direct
aid to Israel in recent years has exceeded $3.5 billion
annually, with an additional $1 billion through other sources,
and has been supported almost unanimously in Congress, even by
liberal Democrats who normally insist on linking aid to human
rights and international law. Although the American public
appears to strongly support Israel�s right to exist and wants
the U.S. to be a guarantor of that right, there is growing
skepticism regarding the excessive level and unconditional
nature of U.S. aid to Israel. Among elected officials,
however, there are virtually no calls for a reduction of
current aid levels in the foreseeable future, particularly as
nearly all U.S. aid to Israel returns to the United States
either via purchases of American armaments or as interest
payments to U.S. banks for previous loans.


Despite closer American strategic cooperation with the Persian
Gulf monarchies since the Gulf War, these governments clearly
lack Israel's advantages in terms of political stability, a
well-trained military, technological sophistication and the
ability to quickly mobilize human and material resources.


Despite serious reservations about Israel�s treatment of the
Palestinians, most individual Americans have a longstanding
moral commitment to Israel's survival. Official U.S.
government policy supporting successive Israeli governments in
recent years, however, appears to be crafted more from a
recognition of how Israel supports American strategic
interests in the Middle East and beyond. Indeed, 99 percent of
all U.S. aid to Israel has been granted since the 1967 war,
when Israel proved itself more powerful than any combination
of its neighbors and occupied the territories of hundreds of
thousands of Palestinians and other Arabs. Many Israelis
supportive of that country's peace movement believe the United
States has repeatedly undermined their efforts to moderate
their government's policies, arguing that Israeli security and
Palestinian rights are not mutually-exclusive, as the U.S.
seems to believe, but mutually dependent on the other.


As long as U.S. military, diplomatic and economic support of
the Israeli government remains unconditional despite Israel's
ongoing violation of human rights, international law and
previous agreements with the Palestinians, there is no
incentive for the Israeli government to change its policies.
The growing Arab resentment that results can only threaten the
long-term security interests of both Israel and the United
States.






6. The United States has been inconsistent in its enforcement
of international law and UN Security Council resolutions.


The U.S. has justified its strict sanctions and ongoing air
strikes against Iraq on the grounds of enforcing United
Nations Security Council resolutions. In addition, in recent
years the United States has successfully pushed the UN
Security Council to impose economic sanctions against Libya,
Afghanistan and Sudan over extradition disputes, an
unprecedented use of the UN�s authority. However, the U.S. has
blocked sanctions against such Middle East allies as Turkey,
Israel and Morocco for their ongoing occupation of neighboring
countries, far more egregious violations of international law
that directly counter the UN Charter. In recent years, for
example, the U.S. has helped block the Security Council from
moving forward with a UN-sponsored resolution on the fate of
the Moroccan-occupied country of Western Sahara because of the
likelihood that the people would vote for independence from
Morocco, which invaded the former Spanish colony with U.S.
backing in 1975.


Over the past 30 years, the U.S. has used its veto power to
protect its ally Israel from censure more than all other
members of the Security Council have used their veto power on
all other issues combined. This past spring, for example, the
U.S. vetoed an otherwise-unanimous resolution which would have
dispatched unarmed human rights monitors to the
Israeli-occupied West Bank and Gaza Strip. In addition, the
U.S. has launched a vigorous campaign to rescind all previous
UN resolutions critical of Israel. Washington has labeled them
"anachronistic," even though many of the issues addressed in
these resolutions -- human rights violations, illegal
settlements, expulsion of dissidents, development of nuclear
weapons, the status of Jerusalem,and ongoing military
occupation -- are still germane. The White House contends that
the 1993 Oslo Accords render these earlier UN resolutions
obsolete. However, such resolutions cannot be reversed without
the approval of the UN body in question; the U.S. cannot
unilaterally discount their relevance. Furthermore, no
bilateral agreement (like Oslo) can supersede the authority of
the UN Security Council, particularly if one of the two
parties (the Palestinians) believe that these resolutions are
still binding.


Most observers recognize that one of the major obstacles to
Israeli-Palestinian peace is the expansion of Israeli
settlements in the occupied territories. However, the U.S. has
blocked enforcement of UN Security Council resolutions calling
for Israel to withdraw its settlements from Palestinian land.
These settlements were established in violation of
international law, which forbids the colonization of
territories seized by military force. In addition, the U.S.
has not opposed the expansion of existing settlements and has
shown ambivalence regarding the large-scale construction of
exclusively Jewish housing developments in Israeli-occupied
East Jerusalem. Furthermore, the U.S. has secured additional
aid for Israel to construct highways connecting these
settlements and to provide additional security, thereby
reinforcing their permanence. This places the United States in
direct violation of UN Security Council resolution 465, which
"calls upon all states not to provide Israel with any
assistance to be used specifically in connection with
settlements in the occupied territories."


7. The United States has supported autocratic regimes in the
Middle East.


The growing movement favoring democracy and human rights in
the Middle East has not shared the remarkable successes of its
counterparts in Eastern Europe, Latin America, Africa and
parts of Asia. Most Middle Eastern governments remain
autocratic. Despite occasional rhetorical support for greater
individual freedoms, the United States has generally not
supported tentative Middle Eastern steps toward
democratization. Indeed, the United States has reduced -- or
maintained at low levels -- its economic, military and
diplomatic support to Arab countries that have experienced
substantial political liberalization in recent years while
increasing support for autocratic regimes such as Saudi
Arabia, Kuwait, Egypt and Morocco. Jordan, for example,
received large-scale U.S. support in the 1970s and 1980s
despite widespread repression and authoritarian rule; when it
opened up its political system in the early 1990s, the U.S.
substantially reduced -- and, for a time, suspended -- foreign
aid. Aid to Yemen was cut off within months of the newly
unified country�s first democratic election in 1990.


Despite its laudable rhetoric, Washington's real policy
regarding human rights in the Middle East is not difficult to
infer. It is undeniable that democracy and universally
recognized human rights have never been common in the
Arab-Islamic world. Yet the tendency in the U.S. to emphasize
cultural or religious explanations for this fact serves to
minimize other factors that are arguably more salient --
including the legacy of colonialism, high levels of
militarization and uneven economic development -- most of
which can be linked in part to the policies of Western
governments, including the United States. There is a
circuitous irony in a U.S. policy that sells arms, and often
sends direct military aid, to repressive Middle Eastern
regimes that suppress their own people and crush incipient
human rights movements, only to then claim that the resulting
lack of democracy and human rights is evidence that the people
do not want such rights. In reality, these arms transfers and
diplomatic and economic support systems play an important role
in keeping autocratic Arab regimes in power by strengthening
the hand of the state and supporting internal repression. The
U.S. then justifies its large-scale military aid to Israel on
the grounds that it is "the sole democracy in the Middle
East," even though these weapons are used less to defend
Israeli democracy than to suppress the Palestinians� struggle
for self-determination.


8. U.S. policy has contributed to the rise of radical Islamic
governments and movements.


The United States has been greatly concerned in recent years
over the rise of radical Islamic movements in the Middle East.
Islam, like other religions, can be quite diverse regarding
its interpretation of the faith's teachings as they apply to
contemporary political issues. There are a number of
Islamic-identified parties and movements that seek peaceful
coexistence and cooperation with the West and are moderate on
economic and social policy. Many Islamist movements and
parties have come to represent mainstream pro-democracy and
pro-economic justice currents, replacing the discredited Arab
socialism and Arab nationalist movements.


There are also some Islamic movements in the Middle East today
that are indeed reactionary, violent, misogynist and include a
virulently anti-American perspective that is antithetical to
perceived American interests. Still others may be more
amenable to traditional U.S. interests but reactionary in
their approach to social and economic policies, or vice versa.



Such movements have risen to the forefront primarily in
countries where there has been a dramatic physical dislocation
of the population as a result of war or uneven economic
development. Ironically, the United States has often supported
policies that have helped spawn such movements, including
giving military, diplomatic and economic aid to augment
decades of Israeli attacks and occupation policies, which have
torn apart Palestinian and Lebanese society, and provoked
extremist movements that were unheard of as recently as 20
years ago. The U.S.-led overthrow of the constitutional
government in Iran in 1953 and subsequent support for the
Shah's brutal dictatorship succeeded in crushing that
country�s democratic opposition, resulting in a 1979
revolution led by hard-line Islamic clerics. The United States
actually backed extremist Islamic groups in Afghanistan when
they were challenging the Soviet Union in the 1980s, including
Osama bin Laden and many of his followers. To this day, the
United States maintains very close ties with Saudi Arabia,
which despite being labeled a "moderate" Arab regime --
adheres to an extremely rigid interpretation of Islam and is
among the most repressive regimes in the world.


9. The U.S. promotion of a neo-liberal economic model in the
Middle East has not benefitted most people of the region.


Like much of the Third World, the United States has been
pushing a neo-liberal economic model of development in the
Middle East through such international financial institutions
as the International Monetary Fund, the World Bank and the
World Trade Organization. These have included cutbacks in
social services, encouragement of foreign investment, lower
tariffs, reduced taxes, the elimination of subsidies for
farmers and basic foodstuffs as well as ending protection for
domestic industry.


While in many cases, this has led to an increase in the
overall Gross National Product, it has dramatically increased
inequality, with only a minority of the population
benefitting. Given the strong social justice ethic in Islam,
this growing disparity between the rich and the poor has been
particularly offensive to Muslims, whose exposure to Western
economic influence has been primarily through witnessing some
of the crassest materialism and consumerism from U.S. imports
enjoyed by the local elites.


The failure of state-centric socialist experiments in the Arab
world have left an ideological vacuum among the poor seeking
economic justice which has been filled by certain radical
Islamic movements. Neo-liberal economic policies have
destroyed traditional economies and turned millions of rural
peasants into a new urban underclass populating the teeming
slums of such cities as Cairo, Tunis, Casablanca and Teheran.
Though policies of free trade and privatization have resulted
in increased prosperity for some, far more people have been
left behind, providing easy recruits for Islamic activists
rallying against corruption, materialism and economic
injustice.


10. The U.S. response to Middle Eastern terrorism has thus far
been counter-productive.


The September 11 terrorist attacks on the United States has
highlighted the threat of terrorism from the Middle East,
which has become the country's major national security concern
in the post-cold war world. In addition to Osama bin Laden�s
underground Al-Qaeda movement, which receives virtually no
direct support from any government, Washington considers Iran,
Iraq, Sudan and Libya to be the primary sources of
state-sponsored terrorism and has embarked on an ambitious
policy to isolate these regimes in the international
community. Syria's status as a supporter of terrorism has
ebbed and flowed not so much from an objective measure of its
links to terrorist groups as from an assessment of their
willingness to cooperate with U.S. policy interests,
indicating just how politicized "terrorist" designations can
be.


Responding to terrorist threats through large-scale military
action has been counter-productive. In 1998, the U.S. bombed a
civilian pharmaceutical plant in Sudan under the apparently
mistaken belief that it was developing chemical weapons that
could be used by these terrorist networks, which led to a wave
of anti-Americanism and strengthened that country�s
fundamentalist dictatorship. The 1986 bombing of two Libyan
cities in response to Libyan support for terrorist attacks
against U.S. interests in Europe not only killed scores of
civilians, but -- rather than curb Libyan-backed terrorism --
resulted in Libyan agents blowing up a Pan Am airliner over
Scotland in retaliation. Military responses generally
perpetuate a cycle of violence and revenge. Furthermore,
failure to recognize the underlying grievances against U.S.
Middle East policy will make it difficult to stop terrorism.
While very few Muslims support terrorism -- recognizing it as
contrary to the values of Islam -- the concerns articulated by
bin Laden and others about the U.S. role in the region have
widespread resonance and will likely result in new recruits
for terrorist networks unless and until the U.S. changes its
policies.


Stephen Zunes is an associate professor of politics and chair
of the Peace & Justice Studies Program at the University of
San Francisco. He serves as a senior policy analyst and Middle
East editor for the Foreign Policy in Focus Project.


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