FWers might be interested in a letter I wrote to day to the Daily Telegraph
and also to the writer of an article referred to below.

Keith Hudson

>>>>
Dr John Casey,
Fellow,
Gonville and Caius College,
Cambridge

Dear John Casey,

"There is no justification for waging war against Iraq"

I agree with your above article in today’s Daily Telegraph. But have you
not considered that the reason for the war-talk has less to do with Iraq
but with the condition of Saudi Arabia?

There is little direct evidence about the situation within Saudi Arabia but
reports from the few who have been able to travel around the country agree
on one thing: that the country is at the point of insurrection, either by
the fundamentalists or by the frustrated intelligentsia (or both,
initially). There are over a million young men without a job and besides
being in a wretched condition are also without any possibility of saving
for a dowry in order to get married. (A recent Channel 4 documentary talked
of a brief uprising in Jeddah by 300 young men which was put down by the
security forces.) State benefits to poor families have declined from
$25,000 to $7,000 p.a. in the last few years.

I believe that America is looking for an excuse to land a sizeable force in
southern Iraq within the next few months in order to be on hand when Saudi
Arabia implodes. Otherwise, if American troops in sufficient numbers are
not nearby, Saddam Hussein would undoubtedly roll his tanks right through
Kuwait to occupy the Saudi Arabian oil fields. He could probably do this
within a couple of weeks. America could not employ nuclear weapons (or
sufficient numbers of conventional missiles) against the Iraqi troops
during the attack because they would be too dispersed, and they could not
bomb the Iraqi troops when at the oil wells because because 13% of American
imports come from Saudi Arabia and the US economy would thereby be in
jeopardy.

This seems to me to be the only reason for the recent turn of policy. 
 
Yours sincerely,

Keith Hudson  
>>>>
__________________________________________________________
“Writers used to write because they had something to say; now they write in
order to discover if they have something to say.” John D. Barrow
_________________________________________________
Keith Hudson, Bath, England;  e-mail: [EMAIL PROTECTED]
_________________________________________________

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