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From: [EMAIL PROTECTED]
[mailto:[EMAIL PROTECTED]]On Behalf Of Charles Lewis
Sent: May 27, 2002 4:16 AM
To: [EMAIL PROTECTED]
Subject: NITF ICT Forum: News: DRC cellular / SNO


Mobile operators' rumble in the jungle [News24]

http://www.news24.com/News24/Finance/Features/0,4186,2-8-133_1185680,00.html

Kinshasa - When Africa's biggest mobile operator Vodacom offered US$5 of
free airtime to new clients in the Democratic Republic of Congo it sparked a
mini-riot.

Security guards were called in to break up shoving matches between hundreds
of people in the lobby of a flashy Kinshasa hotel, where Vodacom booths had
been set up ahead of the launch earlier this month.

And when Celtel, currently Congo's leading provider, cut its rates by 20% in
anticipation of Vodacom's launch, traffic shot up and clogged the company's
networks for days.

Demand for mobiles is huge in the war-torn central African country and
Vodacom Congo will become the eighth network provider. Most arrived in the
past 18 months.

The former Zaire was the first African country to have mobile phones with
the launch of a small, costly network in the mid-1980s, but only about 150
000 of Congo's 55 million people currently use them.

Congo's state-run fixed network, numbering around 20 000 landlines according
to the most recent estimates, is unreliable. Users complain of regular
interruptions to services and say numbers can be arbitrarily assigned to new
users, making mobiles a more popular option.

Executives like Henry Stephan, Vodacom Congo's chief operating officer, are
betting on a surge of new users.

"We expect the number of mobile phone users to jump to about 600 000 in the
next five years and then reach one million within a decade," Stephan told
Reuters. Others estimate the market could reach three million users.

Vodacom plans to spend $370 million in the first year of operations - the
largest non-mining investment in Congo's history according to a report on
the country's telecoms by BMI-TechKnowledge, an African IT and telecoms
research house.

Africa-wide explosion

The rapid growth in Congo reflects an Africa-wide explosion in mobile use,
with user numbers rocketing from two million in 1998 to more than 30 million
by the end of 2001, according to the United Nations' International
Telecommunication Union.

The organisation predicts 100 million Africans will own cellphones by 2005
and says the number of mobile users has already outpaced that of fixed-line
phones.

Africa has had mobiles since the 1980s, but they only really took off in the
mid-1990s with the arrival of pre-paid billing.

Pre-paid cards allow companies to collect money in places where steady
incomes, fixed addresses, credit checks, reliable banking and postal systems
don't exist.

Under the late dictator Mobutu Sese Seko, who was ousted in 1997, mobiles
were the preserve of an elite of barely 20 000 in the former Zaire who paid
up to $3 per minute for local calls.

"We've tried to make phones more accessible to the masses," says Vic
Subramanian, marketing manager for Celtel, which serves two thirds of
Congo's users.

Industry analysts say that not only can better communications encourage
business and drive economic growth, but they also lead to greater democratic
freedom in countries like Congo that have known decades of dictatorship.

"There is a correlation between mobile communications and the spread of
democracy," said Dobek Pater, a senior analyst with BMI-TechKnowledge.

Tough environment

Democracy still looks some way off in Congo.

The big challenge for the Congolese is bringing the vast mineral-rich
territory back together after four years of war that have seen it carved up
into fiefdoms ruled by rebel factions and an unelected government.

Recent peace talks fuelled hopes that the former Belgian colony might turn
the corner, but after eight weeks they broke up without an overall agreement
and some analysts warned of a possible return to all-out war.

"With the war and the constant government hassles it's a high risk market
and a difficult environment to work in.

"How do you explain to your head office that you have to give 100 free
phones to government ministers and their assistants and friends?" said one
telecoms official who asked not to be identified.

Vodacom is half owned by South Africa's Telkom. Britain's Vodafone owns
31.5% of Vodacom, South African group VenFin holds 13.5% and the investment
holding company Hosken Consolidated Investments the remaining 5%.

It began its operations in the three major markets in Congo - the capital
Kinshasa, the diamond-mining city of Mbuji-Mayi and Lubumbashi, capital of
the mineral-rich southeastern province of Katanga.

It has plans to roll out into new markets over the coming year, including
rebel-held areas like Goma in the east.

"If we can get it so that people in Goma can talk to people in Kinshasa it
will only help bring the country together," said Vodacom's Stephan. "This
country has such potential it's incredible."

~~~~~~~~~~~~~~~~~~~~~~~~~~~~~~~~~~~~~~~~

Telkom rival must offer the Web [News24]

http://www.news24.com/News24/Finance/Economy/0,4186,2-8-25_1189982,00.html

Johannesburg - The government's stalled plans to introduce a competitor to
Telkom got back on track on Friday when operators were invited to bid for a
51% stake in a new network.

The invitation comes more than six months behind schedule after delays in
telecoms policy and regulation. But industry players welcomed the release of
draft details on the likely conditions the new operator will have to meet.

Telkom's privatisation is billed to be South Africa's biggest to date.

Communications Minister Ivy Matsepe-Casaburri told a briefing the 25-year
licence would cost R300 million, payable over 10 years. The new operator
would also have to pay an annual licence fee of 0.1% of revenue.

She said bids for the majority stake in a Telkom rival should be in by
August 30, 2002. But analysts say it is uncertain whether the new operator
will be up and running this year.

"The successful bidder will be announced later in the year, possibly in
December," the minister said.

The new phone company, which will share Telkom's facilities for two years,
will have to meet a series of obligations.

Within five years of getting the licence, the operator's services must cover
all metropolitan areas. Within 10 years, the operator must have covered 80%
South Africa.

It must also set up 15 000 community service phones in rural areas over 10
years.

To help make children web-savvy, the new operator must establish and
maintain 2 500 computer rooms with internet connections in 2 500 schools
outside cities over 10 years.

"I think there's really an opportunity in this," said Irene Charnley, the
commercial director of M-Cell. "But I think one will have to look at the
details and business case," she added, when asked if M-Cell was likely to
bid for a stake in the licence.

30% of the new network is being set aside for the telecoms arms Transnet and
Eskom. Another 19% will be awarded to a black empowerment group.

Matsepe-Casaburri said the winner of the 19% stake - whose bids went in on
April 15 - would be announced before bids close for the 51% share on August
30.





Charley Lewis

Lecturer, LINK Centre

E-mail:     [EMAIL PROTECTED]
               [EMAIL PROTECTED]
Tel:         + 27 + 11 + 717-3784
Fax:        + 27 + 11 + 717-3910
Mobile:    + 27 + 83 + 539-5242
Post:       Box 81185, Parkhurst, 2120
URL:       http://link.wits.ac.za

School of Public & Development Management
Wits Business School
University of the Witwatersrand
2 St David's Place
Parktown

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