Harry,

Thank you for your interesting biographical posting (which I'll now delete
for brevity).

As you have possibly inferred from my ramblings about education, I've been
thinking recently that the whole matter of education for future jobs is a
great deal more problematical than merely casting state education (at least
in the highly centralised form as in England) as the devil. 

There seem to be two inescapable facts about modern developed society: (a)
the proportion of high-grade jobs is growing and becoming increasingly
necessary; (b) the evidence from America, England and Germany (representing
three of the half-dozen most advanced economies which I know more about
than the others) is that developed countries don't seem to be able to find,
or educate, sufficient numbers of high-grade people from their own
populations and have to recruit from abroad.

A corollary of this is that a highly stratified meritocracy seems to be
developing already -- a prospect that various eminent commentators such as
Michael Young and Richard Herrnstein have been warning us about for some 30
or 40 years past. An hourglass (or brandy-glass) structure of job-skills
seems to be developing apace. Despite all the egalitarian opportunities
created by educationalists in England since WWII, working-class children
are less likely to get into our 'Top Ten' universities today than ever
before. The conventional wisdom that has dominated most of the "chattering
classes" of our lifetime is being overturned by reality.

Can anyone doubt that stratification -- of ability, incomes and lifestyles
-- will continue so long as high-tech economic development continues?

It seems to me that western civilisations face a clear choice in the coming
years, even though they may not be aware of it at present. It's either: (a)
Stop further development, or (b) Be prepared for further stratification and
disparities both within and between countries. It's not as though it hasn't
happened before. Both the Chinese and Islamic civilisations, far larger and
more prosperous than European civilisation in the 15th century, both
consciously stopped further progress, the former by Imperial edict, the
latter from the teachings of the mullahs and imams, both trying to reach
back to "purer" forms of their traditions.

This, to my mind, is the great drama that is being played out just under
the surface. In western countries one symptom of this is the growing
tension between the intelligentsia and Christian fundamentalists (and
allied secular ideologists). But there are other symptoms, too -- for
example, the increasing disarray of our education systems, the increasing
lack of credibility in politicians and nation-state government, an
increasing sense of cultural and regional identities, etc.   

Keith   
 
----------------------------------------------------------------------------
--------------

Keith Hudson,6 Upper Camden Place, Bath BA1 5HX, England
Tel:01225 312622/444881; Fax:01225 447727; E-mail: [EMAIL PROTECTED]
________________________________________________________________________

Reply via email to