Karen,

I'd already replied to Ed this morning when I read your very interesting
posting referring to Phillip Jenkins' article in the next Atlantic Monthly.
In my reply to Ed I've already given my reason why I think we shouldn't try
to suppress fundamentalism. Let it exhaust itself or do something silly
which discredits itself. 

In today's Sunday Telegraph, Christina Lamb, writing from Riyadh, describes
the recent infamous incident at Mecca where 15 girl students, fleeing from
a fire in their school, but not having time to put on their shrouds and
veils, were turned back by the mutawa'a -- the Wahhabi religious police --
and perished in the flames. Even in Saudi Arabia this caused an uproar and
gave an opportunity to Crown Prince Abdullah to propose withdrawing control
of female education away from the religious establishment. (Perhaps this is
the first step in the modernist revolution, so desperately needed in SA,
and which I believe Bush is trying to bring about.)

(Also, I don't know how strong the pro-life movement is in America these
days but I seem to remember that they discredited themselves some time ago
when they shot a doctor at an abortion clinic.)  

Also, in the same paper this morning there's an interesting article by
Fareer Zakaria, editor of Newsweek International, "The threat of radical
Islam is on the wane", in which he's making the case that violence and
terrorism are the last gasp of fundamentalism that's actually lost the real
fight for the hearts and souls of the masses. I think he's right in the
case of Islamic fundamentalism right now, though I wouldn't say he's right
about terrorism in other places and at other times. Despite what
politicians say, terrorism is sometimes the only way by which the need for
reform is brought to general notice. In Northern Ireland, for example,
where the Catholics were severely deprived of decent jobs and opportunities
by the 'Prods' for generations (and where, for example, the police force
was 96% Protestant), then it can be argued that support for IRA terrorism
was the only way forward for them.

I believe that there is indeed a widening gap within western society but I
don't believe it's religious or ideological. It's about intelligence. It's
about what I fear has been a period of Counter Enlightenment during the
latter half of the last century rather than a Counter Reformation. In this
period we've experienced a general dumbing down of schools, arts, pastimes
and entertainment in western countries. We are seeing an increasing social,
cultural, employment -- and intellectual -- divide.

The divide reveals itself in a slowing down of social advancement between
the generations, an increase in earnings differentials and a necking of the
job structure so that it's less like a diamond shape and more like an
hourglass. At anecdotal level in England I can instance the incredibly wide
gap in quality between newspapers such as The Guardian, The Times, Daily
Telegraph, Financial Times, Independent and all the remainder, variously
known as the gutter press or the tabloids. One or two of the tabloid papers
occasionally try to make for the middle-ground (typical of most newspapers
50 years ago) but they inevitably fall back to the usual fare of photos of
nude women, crime and stories of sex perverts and so on. The proportion
between these two groups of readers is something like 1:5 (and about one
third of the latter are illiterate and their papers are really only bought
for the football and horse racing results). 

The reason is that we're moving into a much more complex, technical society
in which sophisticated skills are at a premium more than ever before in
man's history. And, as Richard Herrnstein pointed out several times, the
more egalitarian we try to make our education systems the more stratified
it ultimately becomes at its higher levels after repeated stages of
testing, selection and peer review.

I think that the best phrase to describe the dichotomy is 'Science versus
Fundamentalism' -- though I'd settle for Arthur's 'Modernism versus
Fundamentalism' because not all those in the modernist box are scientists.
(But the science tag points up something quite paradoxical. Opinion polls
and journalists are constantly saying that there's a growing public trend
against science and that fewer school-leavers are going into science, and
yet populist-science books -- often brilliantly written and of great
educational value-- has been one of the fastest growing segments in book
publishing in recent years.)

So there we are. I don't think there's much to fear from fundamentalism
because it's on the other side of what appears to be a yawning intelligence
divide. The main problem -- as you mention -- is the matter of fertility.
In most western countries, the lower fertility rate among high IQers means
that they are not reproducing themselves and will be a steadily contracting
minority within the economy in the coming years -- but yet so necessary to
run it as it becomes increasingly complex.

This is the divide that really worries me.

But, having rambled on like this and then re-reading your piece below, I'm
really agreeing with you. 

Keith 
  
(KWC)
 . . but wanted to mention to you that in the October issue of The Atlantic
Monthly, but not yet online, is a provocative article called The Next
Christianity which details the author's exposition that the world is
diverging more into what Arthur Cordell earlier referred to as WW3, or the
Fundamentalists vs the Modernists.

. . .

The author, Phillip Jenkins, a religion prof. at Penn. State Univ, says
"the 21st century will be regarded by future historians as a century in
which religion replaced ideology as the prime animating and destructive
force in human affairs".  Basically, the Pentecostals and fundamentalists
are gaining ground in the southern hemisphere (the global South/Southern
churches) and the more liberal denominations are in decline but holding
their ground in the northern, more industrialized nations (the global
North/Northern churches).  He spends a lot of time in the set up to his
premise explaining the contributions of the first Reformation, to conclude
that this new division will create a 2nd Reformation -- so we are warned.
I also learned to think of the Roman Catholic Church as historically the
first global corporation in this article.  

The scary part of this to me, as a lover of history and raised but now a
lapsed S. Baptist, is that the phenomenal growth of the
fundamentalists/Pentecostals replaces a belief in the sovereignty of the
independent nation state (which would not have occurred in history without
the Reformation).  Since the Southern demographics are projected to overrun
the Northern demographics, the prospect of 'world Christianity' falling
under the sway of anti-intellectual fundamentalism is growing.  In poor
countries where governments, famine and its diseases and traditional
authorities have continually failed or caused great suffering, there is a
counter-Reformation underway that can transfer native allegiances and
interests to the authority of what these believers would describe as a
return to the 'primitive Church'.
>>>>  

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Keith Hudson,6 Upper Camden Place, Bath BA1 5HX, England
Tel:01225 312622/444881; Fax:01225 447727; E-mail: [EMAIL PROTECTED]
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