Bill wrote:  What was interesting about Jonathan Chait was that it is
similar to havin Tom Hayden offer advice to Richard Perle. Here are a couple
of paragraphs by Chait:

VOICE: Jonathan Chait, The New Republic
Why Liberals Should Support the War by Jonathan Chait @
http://www.thenewrepublic.com/doc.mhtml?i=20021021&s=chait102102
It's Working (Complete Text)

There is a virtual consensus in the American media that Israel's military
operation in the West Bank will invariably fail. "Even as Israeli officials
flooded the airwaves Friday to cast the military operation in Ramallah as a
defense against future terrorist attacks," reports Time, "a 16-year-old
Palestinian girl blew herself up outside a Jerusalem supermarket, killing
two Israelis." An editorial in today's Washington Post condemns "Ariel
Sharon's futile attempt to end terrorist attacks with a military invasion
and confinement of Yasser Arafat."

A funny thing, though--everybody was so busy talking about the futility of
the Israeli operation that nobody has noticed its one, unambiguous success:
a sharp decline in the suicide bombings. There hasn't been a suicide bombing
since Monday, and that one injured one person and killed nobody. This
suggests that the assumption underlying all the coverage of the West
Bank--that Sharon's operation is bound to fail--may be entirely wrong.
Indeed, if the Israeli campaign can substantially reduce suicide bombings,
the entire moral calculus underlying it changes.

No suicide bombings since Monday?  That's a short streak.  Of course, there
was one recently of over 4 weeks, and that's the progression we want to see.

I'm still unconvinced that reprisal for reprisals is the answer, and we
sadly see in N. Ireland that even good negotiations, signed agreements and
length of time in relative peace don't last if the underlying cause is not
addressed so that all parties begin to imagine a better way to live and work
to that end instead of terrorism either by suicide bombs or tanks.  Ireland
was in recover, but religious bigotry dies hard.  Of course, those who don't
believe that peaceful resolution will work in the I-P crises will jump on
the N. Ireland news this week that only military deterrence will resolve the
situation.

Let's briefly - and generally - look at Japan and the Koreas.  After
invading Korea, occupying the country, raping their resources and their
women, the two countries, Japan and S. Korea, were forced by treaty and
eventually the realities of mutual trade to become allies in an evolving
post-WW2 environment.  This did not happen overnight, and they do not share
borders or contested ancestral land.  However, there has been a historical
racial animosity and cultural gap, so for the purpose of my argument here
I'm trying to establish that economic incentives, demographics and native
inventiveness can overcome decades of compelling and overriding fear between
peoples.  As far as I can tell, the economics of the ME is light except for
oil and a little manufacturing, agricultural and dot.com business, otherwise
it's tourism.  I wait to be inundated with relevant material from FWers.

Why isn't the capitalist West aggressively pursuing viable Marshall Plans
for the region?  Because it's too unstable!  They fear for their
investments, if not their lives.  Look what happened to the Irish economy
while they weren't bombing each other to pieces!  Bullets and barbed wire do
not a thriving economy make.  This is the danger Al Qaeda seems posed to
exploit: turbulent third world countries with struggling economies and
turbulent demographics.  I would hate to see Israel sustain itself as
Indonesia did under Suharto, a military regime in camouflage with few
liberties and less prosperity.  For the Palestinians, it can't get much
worse, or at least I hope we are going to turn a corner soon.
Karen Watters Cole
East of Portland, West of Mt. Hood
Outgoing Mail Scanned by NAV 2002


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