Ed,

At 09:42 21/10/02 -0400, you wrote:
>I must admit that I didn't read the original posting on Hikikomori, and what
>Pete's posting (below) says about it puts a different interpretation on it
>than the one I took.  It is not simply "dropping out to the labour market",
>which implies a certain amount of rationality, but a neurotic condition
>somewhat like, as Pete suggests, anorexia.  The kid is simply overwhelmed
>by, and cannot face, the world beyond the walls of his room or his house.
>This is not rational and would not therefore involve the intellect, except
>in a very screwed-up way.

The behaviour of the Japanese boys is far from being irrational. It is
highly rational. Once they felt themselves forced out of their peer group
at school (far more important in Japan than in other cultures) -- almost
always because they couldn't keep up the academic pace (millions are having
to have additional cramming) -- then they don't want to shame their parents
by allowing the whole neighbourhood to know. They simply disappear (into
their bedrooms) and thus allow their parents to save face. And there are
well over a million of these young men in Japan (according to the expert
quoted on the programme).

My original point is that this phenomenon is not just confined to Japan
(even though, in other countries, the young men don't hide themselves in
their bedrooms but simply laze about at home) but is becoming widespread
and significant -- Italy, Germany, England (and France, and other western
European countries more than likely).

These young men are not just "dropping out" for all sorts of reasons. There
has never been a more serious teenager generation in history. There haven't
been any student high jinks (of any significance) for decades and certainly
no demonstrations such as we saw in the late 60s and the 70s. The only
young people who "drop out" in the usual sense are those who tend to be the
better students and take a gap year, often in voluntary service overseas,
before attending university. Many tens of thousands of teenagers (almost
exclusively boys) are dropping out of school in England every year from
about the age of 13 or 14 but, once again, this is not for lifestyle
reasons but because they are alienated from the school system -- they can't
cope.

OK, I'm not going to push the IQ divide (even though it's quite clear to me
that the proportion and number of high-skill jobs are increasing in all
developed societies) until there's more evidence. But the point is that the
job structure of western economies is changing more rapidly now than ever
before. It would be surprising if these trends were not accompanied by big
changes in skill levels (with the middle skills being elbowed out by
machinery and computers).

Keith
 


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Keith Hudson,6 Upper Camden Place, Bath BA1 5HX, England
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