Harry the happy consumer! I wonder just how clear and just how pristine
the pictures and sound will get? As Rome burns Harry watches.

Happy New Year,
Brian



> Keith,
>
> You will be interested in this - a (relatively) free market at work.
> In an
> LA Times story, a graph shows that in the last five years, DVD players
> have
> increased in sales from about 350,000 to 20,100,000.
>
> Their prices have dropped from $491 to $132.
>
> I can get one from a reputable manufacturer for as low as $49.
>
> Instead of cursing corporate darkness, perhaps we should light a free
> market candle!
>
> Here is the story.
>
> Harry
>
> ----------------------------------------------------------------------
> ------
>
> Los Angeles Times - latimes.com
>
> SUCCESS OF DVD PLAYERS PROVES A MIXED BLESSING
>
> By Jon Healey, Times Staff Writer
>
> No product has been as bittersweet for the consumer electronics
> industry as
> the DVD player.
>
> Drawn to the sharp pictures and cinematic sound, consumers have bought
> up
> DVD players faster than any other electronic device in history. Even
> though
> the players became widely available in the United States only 5 1/2
> years
> ago, more than 46 million homes now have one attached to a TV or a
> computer
> monitor.
>
> But sales have skyrocketed in large part because prices have
> plummeted. In
> turn, so have manufacturers' profits. As no-name, no-frills brands
> have
> flooded stores, the Japanese and European electronics giants that
> invented
> DVD have watched their profit margins get squeezed in record time.
>
> Retailers' profits have mostly evaporated, too, as the average price
> of a
> DVD player has fallen from $491 in 1997 to an estimated $118 today,
> according to NPD Intelect, a research firm. Entry-level units sell for
> $59
> or less.
>
> "The joke is you're going to get a free DVD player with the purchase
> of a
> DVD [movie] pretty soon," said Noah Herschman, vice president for
> video at
> Tweeter Home Entertainment Group of Canton, Mass.
>
> "You can buy a DVD player that has a laser and all sorts of advanced
> technology ... for less money than it costs to buy a necktie," he
> added.
> "It doesn't make any sense."
>
> Even worse for consumer electronics makers and retailers, the DVD
> experience may be a harbinger of things to come. Competition at the
> market's low end is intensifying for all sorts of digital gear, fueled
> in
> part by low-wage assembly plants sprouting up across China.
>
> Faced with this difficult situation, many manufacturers and merchants
> hope
> to widen their profit margins again by enticing consumers to buy
> something
> more than just a budget DVD player.
>
> "You survive by making new technologies," explained Andy Parsons, a
> senior
> vice president at Pioneer Electronics Inc. in Long Beach.
>
> One area with potential is DVD recorders. Mike Mohan, director of
> audio-video merchandising for Good Guys Inc. of Alameda, predicts that
> more
> DVD recorders than players will be on the market within two years. And
> he
> expects them to sell for $200 to $300 per unit.
>
> Meanwhile, at the International Consumer Electronics Show this week in
> Las
> Vegas, an array of more expensive DVD machines will be on display.
> Among
> their features:
>
> * High definition: At least two companies -- Samsung Electronics Co.
> and
> Philips Electronics -- plan to introduce DVD players this year that
> convert
> standard DVD movies into simulated high-definition pictures when
> viewed on
> an HDTV set.
>
> Next year, the first DVD players capable of playing true
> high-definition
> discs are expected to arrive. But manufacturers have split into two
> camps
> that are backing incompatible high-definition formats, potentially
> slowing
> the emergence of the new generation of discs.
>
> * Hard-drive recording: Several manufacturers, including Toshiba Corp.
> and
> Apex Digital Inc., have or soon will offer DVD recorders with built-in
> hard
> drives for temporarily storing programs. And Thomson, which makes RCA
> products, has two types of hard-drive-equipped DVD players in the
> works:
> one for recording TV, the other for storing music in a digital
> jukebox. The
> latter also will play radio stations from the Internet.
>
> * Home networking: Sonicblue Inc. plans to introduce a DVD player soon
> that
> can connect to a home network. The device lets consumers move digital
> music
> and movies from their computers or the Internet to their stereos and
> TV sets.
>
> Herschman of Tweeter Home Entertainment, a retailer that caters to a
> high-end clientele, said gadget lovers and videophiles are willing to
> pay a
> premium for DVD players that offer extra features or boast superior
> picture
> quality.
>
> So far, however, most consumers have resisted paying more for such
> enhancements. And low-cost manufacturers already are setting their
> sights
> on DVD recorders, threatening to slash prices and profit margins in
> that
> arena as well.
>
> Fierce competition has long been a hallmark of the consumer
> electronics
> market. Prices have dropped over time in virtually every product
> category.
> According to some industry executives, though, DVD players have taken
> that
> trend to an extreme, with prices falling faster and further than ever
> before.
>
> In many cases, DVD technology has been reduced to an add-on in other
> products, such as TV sets and digital video recorders. "Probably
> quicker
> than we wanted to, we've been pushed into making DVD a feature of
> other
> things," said David H. Arland, director of government and public
> relations
> for Thomson.
>
> It wasn't supposed to be like this.
>
> Sony Corp., Pioneer and Thomson were three of the nine consumer
> electronics
> companies that developed the DVD format in 1995 with Time Warner.
> Sales of
> TV-oriented DVD players took off, hitting 1 million in the first year
> of
> widespread availability.
>
> "It was the savior of the industry," said Claude Frank, director of
> audio-video product marketing for Samsung Electronics America Inc.
> "Everyone was touting how great it was, that it would bring
> profitability
> back."
>
> Instead, the high-priced players lured new manufacturers into the
> fray,
> many of them setting slim profit margins for the sake of high volume.
> These
> companies typically bought components from independent suppliers and
> even
> their competitors.
>
> And with so much of a DVD player based on industry standards, the
> upstarts
> could build models that were hard to differentiate from the
> established
> firms' basic offerings, said Sharon Taylor, a video product manager
> for
> Santa Clara, Calif.-based Sonicblue.
>
> Take, for instance, Apex Digital of Ontario. Using low-cost Chinese
> factories and lean operations, it was able to grab chunks of the DVD
> market
> with players priced far below those of its bigger rivals.
>
> Yet Apex hasn't been solely a cheap provider. Its devices also caught
> the
> attention of music-loving gadget freaks by playing homemade CDs with
> tunes
> downloaded from the Internet. As a result, noted Apex spokesman Colton
> Manley, electronics chain Circuit City Stores couldn't keep the Apex
> players on the shelves.
>
> The company's low-margin, high-volume strategy has worked: Since
> November
> 2001, Apex has sold more DVD players than any other firm, Manley said.
>
> Many retailers have tried to use the Apex players and other low-price
> entries as "loss leaders" -- a way to draw people into stores, in the
> hopes
> of selling them either a more expensive DVD player or a bunch of DVD
> movies. The movies have sold well, but the souped-up DVD players
> haven't.
>
> Frank, the Samsung executive, said he recently discussed the situation
> with
> a regional consumer electronics dealer known for selling higher-end
> gear.
>
> "The gentleman referred to the product as 'a sewer of a category.'
> That's
> how it's progressed in five years -- from a savior of the industry to
> a
> sewer of a category."
>
>
> ******************************
> Harry Pollard
> Henry George School of LA
> Box 655
> Tujunga  CA  91042
> [EMAIL PROTECTED]
> Tel: (818) 352-4141
> Fax: (818) 353-2242
> *******************************
>
>
>
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