FWers - If you haven't seen this, it certainly offers food for thought.
Sally
http://www.nwc.navy.mil/newrulesets/ThePentagonsNewMap.htm


Sally, thanks for posting this for review.

It appears at first reading that the new paradigms Barnett uses, the Core
countries vs the Gap countries, are economic and political terms more
familiar to some as Good vs Evil.

The Core nations have mutual interests that prevent or restrict them from
terrorism and unilateral actions against one another.  The Gap nations do
not have a network and as such are "disconnected" from the "fruits of"
globalization and stabilization.  I purposely use biblical language.

You will notice that for the most part the Gap nations that Barnett maps out
on the globe correspond roughly to Philip Jenkins' outlines about the future
struggles between the global North and the global South.  Even when he
listed them individually, the Balkans are in the north but they have
substantial Muslim populations.

EXCERPT:  "So how do we distinguish between who is really making it in
globalization's Core and who remains trapped in the Gap?  And how permanent
is this dividing line?

Understanding that the line between the Core and Gap is constantly shifting,
let me suggest that the direction of change is more critical than the
degree.  So, yes, Beijing is still ruled by a "Communist party" whose
ideological formula is 30 percent Marxist-Leninist and 70 percent Sopranos,
but China just signed on to the World Trade Organization, and over the long
run, that is far more important in securing the country's permanent Core
status.  Why?  Because it forces China to harmonize its internal rule set
with that of globalization-banking, tariffs, copyright protection,
environmental standards.  Of course, working to adjust your internal rule
sets to globalization's evolving rule set offers no guarantee of success.
As Argentina and Brazil have recently found out, following the rules (in
Argentina's case, sort of following) does not mean you are panicproof, or
bubbleproof, or even recessionproof.  Trying to adapt to globalization does
not mean bad things will never happen to you.  Nor does it mean all your
poor will immediately morph into stable middle class.  It just means your
standard of living gets better over time.

In sum, it is always possible to fall off this bandwagon called
globalization.  And when you do, bloodshed will follow.  If you are lucky,
so will American troops." (end of excerpt)

Barnett's operating assumptions seem to be that all nations will think and
dream in homogenous concert following the American ideal of free market
capitalism and democratic institutions.  EXCERPT: "In many ways, the
September 11 attacks did the U.S. national-security establishment a huge
favor by pulling us back from the abstract planning of future high-tech wars
against "near peers" into the here-and-now threats to global order.  By
doing so, the dividing lines between Core and Gap were highlighted, and more
important, the nature of the threat environment was thrown into stark
relief" (end of excerpt).

These are scary words for those of us who fear any global institutional
hegemony but also the limits of independent thought.  It is one thing to
have a current philosophy in power within your government, which still can
be unelected or weakened by democratic means (or so we still believe).
National moods and institutionalized philosophies have waxed and waned
through many national histories.  But what I interpret here is much deeper,
a conversion to a philosophy that the one superpower in the position to do
so must now act not only in an aggressive manner to preserve what it beliefs
to be global security, but do so with a self-congratulatory
self-righteousness - "you are lucky that we can do this for you, people"
Even Caesar answered to the Senate in Rome but the US Congress gave Pres.
Bush carte blanche and the idealogues that have been groomed for this moment
for perhaps 25 years are in place to make it happen.

EXCERPT: "The Middle East has long been a neighborhood of bullies eager to
pick on the weak.  Israel is still around because it has become-sadly-one of
the toughest bullies on the block.  The only thing that will change that
nasty environment and open the floodgates for change is if some external
power steps in and plays Leviathan full-time.  Taking down Saddam, the
region's bully-in-chief, will force the U.S. into playing that role far more
fully than it has over the past several decades, primarily because Iraq is
the Yugoslavia of the Middle East-a crossroads of civilizations that has
historically required a dictatorship to keep the peace.  As baby-sitting
jobs go, this one will be a doozy, making our lengthy efforts in postwar
Germany and Japan look simple in retrospect.

But it is the right thing to do, and now is the right time to do it, and we
are the only country that can.  Freedom cannot blossom in the Middle East
without security, and security is this country's most influential
public-sector export.  By that I do not mean arms exports, but basically the
attention paid by our military forces to any region's potential for mass
violence.  We are the only nation on earth capable of exporting security in
a sustained fashion, and we have a very good track record of doing it." (end
of excerpt)

With examples such as this highly trained man expounding a righteous global
empire is it any surprise that the POTUS is confident in the decision he has
made?  There is no nuance here, no acknowledgment of the decades of slow
evolutionary change in cultures, or other forces at work here besides
commerce and military power, just the assurance that all of our efforts have
been worthy and positive in the long run and so shall they ever be, once
again promising that the ends justifying the means.

Karen Watters Cole
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