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What do you
think? This is my commentary on
the new poll data presented below.
KWC
Growing Number in U.S.
Back War, Survey Finds
By Adam Nagourney and Janet Elder, NYT,
031103 Americans are growing impatient with the United Nations and say they would support military
action against Iraq even
if the Security
Council refuses to support an invasion, according to the latest New York
Times/CBS News Poll. The poll found that 58 percent of Americans said the United Nations was doing a
poor job in managing the Iraqi crisis, a jump of 10 points from a month ago. And 55 percent of respondents in the
latest poll would support an American invasion of Iraq, even if it was in defiance of a vote of
the Security Council. But
a majority of respondents, 52 percent, say inspectors should be given more time to search for evidence of nuclear,
biological or chemical weapons on the ground in Iraq. Still, that number has dropped over the past month, and there has been an increase in the number of Americans who say the United
States has done
enough to find a
diplomatic solution in Iraq. Taken
together,
the Times/CBS News findings suggest
that President Bush has made progress, at least at home, in portraying Saddam Hussein as a threat to peace
while rallying support for a war over rising objections in the international
community.
They also signal that the nation
may be moving toward the traditional
wartime rallying
around the president that the White House — and
Mr. Bush's Democratic opponents — have anticipated. At
the same time, there was evidence that many Americans remain perplexed about
what Mr. Bush is doing and why he is doing it.
While Mr. Bush says his main goal is disarming Iraq, Americans are more
likely to say he is motivated by a desire to oust Mr. Hussein from power. A majority of Americans say the White House has failed to tell them what they need to know about the justification for a pre-emptive attack. Respondents were nearly evenly divided when asked if Mr. Bush was being guided by the memory of
his father's dealings with Mr. Hussein in prosecuting what would be the
nation's second war against Iraq in 12 years. Nearly
half said Mr. Bush
was driven by the personal desire to accomplish what his father did not when he
cut off his invasion of Iraq in 1991 without ousting Mr. Hussein. Younger men in the poll were more apt to
see a familial motivation for the president. There
is clear concern among Americans that the United States is paying a price
internationally for Mr. Bush's aggressive posture. The number of Americans who believe that their
president enjoys the respect of world leaders has dropped to 45 percent from 67 percent in the
space of a year. And for all of Mr. Bush's focus on Iraq, there is growing
evidence of concern among Americans about the dangers posed by North Korea. The number of Americans who disapprove
of how Mr. Bush is handing the situation with North Korea jumped to 35 percent from 25 percent in a month. The nationwide telephone poll of 1,010 adults was conducted
from Friday night
through Sunday night.
It had a margin of sampling error of three percentage points. The poll began the day after Mr. Bush pressed his views
on Iraq in a nationally televised news conference from the East Room of the White House, and after Hans Blix, the chief inspector for chemical and
biological weapons, delivered
a report on Iraqi compliance
to the United Nations on Friday. The poll found that the economy continues to be a concern,
with 35 percent of the respondents saying it is the most important problem
facing the nation, compared with 23 percent who pointed to Iraq. But with Mr. Bush continuing to enjoy a relatively high
approval rating in this poll — 56 percent — it is clear that his presidency is
being judged largely by his conduct of foreign affairs and the potential war. By
many measures, the poll found that the nation is behind Mr. Bush on Iraq. And for all the signs of dissent and protest around the nation, it would appear that
support for war is on the rise. In the poll, 44 percent of respondents said the United
States should take military action against Iraq soon, compared with 36 percent just two weeks ago. Although a
majority of respondents still support giving weapons inspectors more time, that
number has decreased to 52 percent from 62 percent two weeks ago. Over
all, Americans
support using military force to remove Mr. Hussein by 66 percent to 30 percent.
But that sentiment breaks down
sharply along partisan lines that could have ramifications for next year's
presidential election, depending on the outcome of a war. The poll found that 86 percent of Republicans and 64 percent of
independents
supported military action to oust Mr. Hussein, while 51 percent of Democrats said they supported it. "We should act now because by waiting we give them more
time to prepare, and there will be loss of life," said John Nicholas, 53,
a Republican who is a sales manager in Gentryville, Ind., in a follow-up
interview. "Are
we going to wait until we have another 9/11?" Sue Kiesau, 58, a Republican from Neenah, Wis., said:
"We have the evidence and I don't think having the troops over there twiddling their thumbs is good psychologically. We need to go in and do it, and we don't need U.N. approval to do it." That just 51 percent of Democrats said they supported
military action to remove Mr. Hussein is potentially worrisome, if not
surprising, for the Democratic presidential contenders, many of whom have in
recent days been pressed while campaigning in early Democratic primary states
to speak out against Mr. Bush. "As far as the United Nations goes, I feel it is the
last hope of our humanity, our last hope of order," said Allan Gold, 81,
of Lynbrook, N.Y., a Democrat. "I think they have to be in charge of our
decisions. If the weapons inspectors have more time, they may uncover something
dangerous." And Lawrence Stanecker, 72, a Democrat from Goode, Va.,
said: "There are too many inconsistencies. We contained Saddam Hussein for
12 years. We contained the Soviet Union for lots of years during the cold war
and we didn't go to war." Mr. Stanecker, reflecting the reservations some expressed
about Mr. Bush's motivation, suggested that the president was trying "to
finish what his father didn't do in the Persian Gulf war and to retaliate for
Saddam's assassination attempt on George Bush Sr.'s life." The poll found concern about repercussions from Mr. Bush's policies. For example, 43 percent said that ousting Mr. Hussein was not
worth "the potential loss of American life and other costs," compared
with 50 percent who said it was. And
by 49 percent to 29 percent, Americans said the White House had failed to
develop a clear plan about how it would manage a postwar Iraq. who have been
demonstrating with increasing vigor across the nation in recent weeks. At his news conference on Thursday, Mr.
Bush said the protests would not affect his thinking on a war. In a finding that could prove to be of concern to Congress
if a war does not go well, 48 percent said the Senate and House of
Representatives had not been aggressive enough in challenging Mr. Bush on his
war policies. Among Democrats, that figure was 66
percent. The
findings are nevertheless not a green light for Mr. Bush, who wants to set a deadline of March 17
for Mr. Hussein to comply with the United Nations. The poll found that 60 percent of respondents wanted the
administration to take the views of allies into account. "I think the United States shouldn't go it alone if the
allies don't join us," said Catherine Renfroe, a Republican and retired
elementary school teacher from Amarillo, Tex. "The inspectors are doing
their job." Although Mr. Bush's statements at his news conference last
week appear to have increased the nation's support for a war, he apparently did
not succeed with one argument: convincing more Americans that Mr. Hussein had a
role in the attacks on the World Trade Center and the Pentagon. The poll found that 45 percent of Americans said Mr. Hussein
was "personally involved" in the attacks, a number essentially
unchanged from a month ago. http://www.nytimes.com/2003/03/11/politics/11POLL.html Outgoing mail
scanned by NAV 2002 |
- Re: [Futurework] Indecision fatigue Karen Watters Cole
- Re: [Futurework] Indecision fatigue Harry Pollard
