We call it Free Market Fundamentalism or militant economists.

REH


----- Original Message -----
From: "Darryl and Natalia" <[EMAIL PROTECTED]>
To: <[EMAIL PROTECTED]>
Sent: Monday, July 28, 2003 10:13 PM
Subject: [Futurework] Fw: Socio-Political: Betting on Terrorism -- We've
Just Entered The Twilight Zone


> So, who remembers Poindexter?
> The real terrorists are going legitimate--er, well...
> And behind the scenes, when there's big money
> involved, manipulation of outcome will be rewarding.
> I'm sure people running things have done this all along,
> and this is a trickle-down effect because they didn't
> diversify.
>
> Shall we wager on whether or not it gets approved?
>
> Natalia
>
> ----- Original Message -----
> From: Larry Morningstar <[EMAIL PROTECTED]>
> Sent: Monday, July 28, 2003 4:00 PM
> Subject: Socio-Political: Betting on Terrorism -- We've Just Entered The
> Twilight Zone
>
>
> > >>Socio-Political Report
> > >  Betting on Terrorism -- We've Just Entered The Twilight Zone
> >
> > http://abcnews.go.com/wire/Politics/ap20030728_1660.html
> >
> > Senators Say Pentagon Plan Would Allow Betting on Terrorism,
> > Assassinations.
> >
> > July 28th, 2003
> > By KEN GUGGENHEIM
> > Associated Press Writer, Washington
> >
> > The Pentagon is setting up a commodity-market style trading system in
> > which investors would be able to bet on political and economic events in
> > the Middle East including the likelihood of assassinations and terrorist
> > attacks.
> >
> > Two Democratic senators said Monday they want the project stopped before
> > investors begin registering this week.
> >
> >
> >
> > The Pentagon office overseeing the program said it was part of a
research
> > effort "to investigate the broadest possible set of new ways to prevent
> > terrorist attacks." It said there would be a re-evaluation before more
> > money was committed.
> >
> > The Policy Analysis Market is intended to help the Pentagon predict
> > events in the region based on investors' information or analyses.
> >
> > A graphic on the market's Web page showed hypothetical futures contracts
> > in which investors could trade on the likelihood that Palestinian leader
> > Yasser Arafat would be assassinated or Jordanian King Abdullah II would
> > be overthrown.
> >
> > Although the Web site described the Policy Analysis Market as "a market
> > in the future of the Middle East," the graphic also included the
> > possibility of a North Korea missile attack.
> >
> > That graphic was apparently removed from the Web site hours after the
> > news conference by Sens. Ron Wyden of Oregon and Byron Dorgan of North
> > Dakota criticizing the market.
> >
> > "The idea of a federal betting parlor on atrocities and terrorism is
> > ridiculous and it's grotesque," Wyden said.
> >
> > Dorgan described it as useless, offensive and "unbelievably stupid."
> >
> > "Can you imagine if another country set up a betting parlor so that
> > people could go in ... and bet on the assassination of an American
> > political figure, or the overthrow of this institution or that
> > institution?" he said.
> >
> > According to its Web site, the Policy Analysis Market would be a joint
> > program of the Pentagon's Defense Advanced Research Projects Agency,
> > known as DARPA, and two private companies: Net Exchange, a market
> > technologies company, and the Economist Intelligence Unit, the business
> > information arm of the publisher of The Economist magazine.
> >
> > DARPA has received strong criticism from Congress for its Terrorism
> > Information Awareness program, a computerized surveillance program that
> > has raised privacy concerns. Wyden said the Policy Analysis Market is
> > under retired Adm. John Poindexter, the head of the Terrorism
Information
> > Awareness program and, in the 1980s, a key figure in the Iran-Contra
> > scandal.
> >
> > In its statement Monday, DARPA said that markets offer efficient,
> > effective and timely methods for collecting "dispersed and even hidden
> > information. Futures markets have proven themselves to be good at
> > predicting such things as elections results; they are often better than
> > expert opinions."
> >
> > The description of the market on its Web site makes it appear similar to
> > a computer-based commodities market. Contracts would be available based
> > on economic health, civil stability, military disposition and U.S.
> > economic and military involvement in Egypt, Iran, Iraq, Israel, Jordan,
> > Saudi Arabia, Syria and Turkey.
> >
> > Contracts would also be available on "global economic and conflict
> > indicators" and specific events, for example U.S. recognition of a
> > Palestinian state.
> >
> > Traders who believe an event will occur can buy a futures contract.
Those
> > who believe the event is unlikely can try to sell a contract. The Web
> > site does not address how much money investors would be likely to put
> > into the market but says analysts would be motivated by the "prospect of
> > profit and at pain of loss" to make accurate predictions.
> >
> > Registration would begin Friday with trading beginning Oct. 1. The
market
> > would initially be limited to 1,000 traders, increasing to at least
> > 10,000 by Jan. 1.
> >
> > The Web site says government agencies will not be allowed to participate
> > and will not have access to the identities or funds of traders.
> >
> > The market is a project of a DARPA division called FutureMAP, or
"Futures
> > Markets Applied to Prediction." FutureMAP is trying to develop programs
> > that would allow the Defense Department to use market forces to predict
> > future events, according to its Web site.
> >
> > "The rapid reaction of markets to knowledge held by only a few
> > participants may provide an early warning system to avoid surprise," it
> > said.
> >
> > It said the markets must offer "compensation that is ethically and
> > legally satisfactory to all sectors involved, while remaining attractive
> > enough to ensure full and continuous participation of individual
parties."
> >
> > Dorgan and Wyden released a letter to Poindexter calling for an
immediate
> > end to the program. They noted a May 20 report to lawmakers that cited
> > the possibility of using market forces to predict whether terrorists
> > would attack Israel with biological weapons.
> >
> > "Surely such a threat should be met with intelligence gathering of the
> > highest quality not by putting the question to individuals betting on an
> > Internet Web site," they said.
> >
> > Wyden said $600,000 has been spent on the program so far and the
Pentagon
> > plans to spend an additional $149,000 this year. The Pentagon has
> > requested $3 million for the program for next year and $5 million for
the
> > following year.
> >
> > Wyden said the Senate version of next year's defense spending bill would
> > cut off money for the program, but the House version would fund it. The
> > two versions will have to be reconciled.
> >
> >             ___
> >
> > On the Net:
> >
> >     Policy Analysis Market:
> >          http://www.policyanalysismarket.org
> >
> >     DARPA's Future Map
> >          http://www.darpa.mil/iao/FutureMap.htm
> >
> > Copyright 2003 Associated Press
> >
> > *****
> > Courtesy of Richard Diamond
> >
> > Larry Morningstar
> > Socio-Political Report
> > [EMAIL PROTECTED]
> > http://www.freeyourself.net/Prosperity4U
> > http://www.gmtiassociate.com/larrymorningstar.htm
> >
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