Yes you did.   You also wrote a nice thing about novelty and the human
spirit.

REH


----- Original Message -----
From: "Keith Hudson" <[EMAIL PROTECTED]>
To: <[EMAIL PROTECTED]>
Sent: Thursday, August 14, 2003 9:00 AM
Subject: [Futurework] The real target of the war in Iraq was Saudi Arabia


> It amazes me just how long it is taking the penny to drop. The following
> (except for the penultimate paragraph) is much the same as I was writing
to
> FW roughly this time last year when it became apparent that, whatever the
> UN or anybody else said, the US were going to invade Iraq.
>
> KH
>
>
> <<<<
> The real target of the war in Iraq was Saudi Arabia
> Jeffrey Sachs
>
>
> The crucial question regarding Iraq is not whether the motives for war
were
> disguised, but why. The argument that Iraq posed a grave and imminent
> threat was absurd to anybody not under the spell of round-the-clock White
> House and 10 Downing Street spin. But the actual reasons for launching the
> war remain obscure. The plot thickened with the release last month of the
> US Congressional investigation into September 11. It seems increasingly
> likely that Iraq was attacked because Saudi Arabia was deeply implicated
in
> the terrorist attacks.
>
> Two truths have long governed US energy security. The first is that Saudi
> Arabia is the key to world oil stability, the accommodating supplier when
> markets get too tight. It would be a potential threat to the world economy
> if Saudi oil flows were disrupted. In 1973-74, with the Arab oil embargo,
> the Ford presidency was brought down by the disruption of the US economy,
a
> point not lost on two young senior officials at the time, Donald Rumsfeld
> and Richard Cheney, respectively Gerald Ford's defence secretary and White
> House chief of staff. Pentagon and academic planners began making
> contingency plans for the military seizure of the Middle East oilfields.
>
> The second truth is that Saudi Arabia has been a spigot of private wealth
> for key US figures, and for the Bush extended family in particular. The
> Saudi royal family lacks political legitimacy at home, so it buys US
> protection from abroad. The Saudis purchase Washington influence through
> consultancy contracts, big defence outlays on US military hardware,
> lucrative speeches for Washington insiders, investments in US businesses
> with influential figures, and the like. A long line of US senior officials
> has benefited, with the Ford, George H.W. Bush and George W. Bush White
> House and Pentagon at the front of the line. Saudi business has helped to
> make multi-millionaires of Henry Kissinger, Frank Carlucci, James Baker,
> George H.W. Bush, Mr Cheney and dozens of other insiders.
>
> September 11 threatened these two truths. Within hours of the attack, the
> White House apparently understood that senior Saudi intelligence officials
> were probably involved and that 15 out of the 19 terrorists were from
Saudi
> Arabia. They were no doubt stunned to realise that parts of the vast Saudi
> royal family were not only corrupt, but also deeply intertwined with
> anti-American terror and extremist fundamentalism. A new book by former
CIA
> agent Robert Baer, Sleeping with the Devil*, details how the US government
> had systematically turned away from the growing evidence of Saudi
> complicity in fundamentalist terrorism, thereby frustrating the kind of
> investigations that might have headed off September 11.
>
> To say that Saudi complicity in September 11 led the White House to war in
> Iraq is speculative, but several insiders have suggested that the conflict
> was incubated, perhaps hatched, in the immediate aftermath of the attacks.
> There are at least four plausible channels that together might explain the
> speed with which the decision on Iraq was taken after September 11. First,
> September 11 was a dramatic confirmation that the stability of Saudi oil
> was in jeopardy. The regime was unstable and perhaps even a lethal threat
> to the US. The only quantitatively significant alternative to Saudi oil
was
> Iraqi oil, but that option was barred as long as Saddam Hussein remained
in
> power. The long-standing contingency plans to seize Middle Eastern oil
were
> probably rolled out within days of September 11.
>
> Second, a substitute had to be found for the US military bases in Saudi
> Arabia. Like Saudi oil, the bases too were now under threat, especially
> because the US presence in the Saudi kingdom was known to be the principal
> irritant for al-Qaeda. Iraq would become a new base of US military
> operations. Paul Wolfowitz, deputy defence secretary, has already
explained
> during an interview with
>
> Vanity Fair that Iraq's weapons of mass destruction were but a
bureaucratic
> pretext that hid other core motives for war, including the reduction of
the
> US military presence in Saudi Arabia. Mr Wolfowitz's remarkable statement
> seemed bizarre at the time it became public but was allowed to pass in the
> US without scrutiny. But it makes full sense in the context of a White
> House debate about the US's response to a teetering Saudi regime.
>
> Third, the Bush White House needed to issue a powerful threat to the Saudi
> leadership: one more false step and you're finished. Attacking the
> next-door neighbour was no doubt judged to be quite persuasive. A direct
> diplomatic attack was probably ruled out by the deep and inextricable
links
> between the White House and the Saudi leadership. Finally, there was
> probably a strong hope that the public could be diverted from the true
> roots of September 11. The Bush administration needed to turn the public's
> eyes away from the intelligence failures and head off the danger, however
> slight, that Saudi associates of the Bush family and friends would be
> implicated in the attacks. Mr Hussein was the perfect target: a true
> despot, long-standing public enemy of the US and a wastrel of energy
> resources needed by US consumers.
>
> Perhaps the Iraq war had roots other than September 11 and Saudi Arabia.
> There is even a tiny, if fading chance, that the ostensible motive --
> weapons of mass destruction -- had merit. But if the Iraq war was an
> opportunistic response to September 11, it is crucially important that we
> know it. Thousands of lives and perhaps $100bn have gone into this war,
> with little to show for it except an enraged Iraqi public and enormous
> costs of occupation extending into the future.
>
> The US media have so far shown little interest in connecting the dots.
> Meanwhile, the administration continues to play on the public's
> post-September 11 fears and its pride and comfort in US military might.
Yet
> the questions do not fade away. The administration's seeming unwillingness
> to examine the Saudi connections and the enormous costs of Iraqi
occupation
> are now causing concern even among the president's stalwarts in Congress.
> The issues are too big to be swept aside, even by the powerful currents of
> patriotism, fear and spin.
>
> Financial Times; Aug 13, 2003
>
> * Sleeping With the Devil: How Washington Sold our Soul for Saudi Crude,
by
> Robert Baer (Crown Publications) The writer is director of the Earth
> Institute at Columbia University
>
>
> Keith Hudson, 6 Upper Camden Place, Bath, England
>
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