> commenting on ancient tribal survival behavior?
> Ed seems to be commenting on current behavior in the present tense.
> Are today's population of First Nation peoples concerned about dwindling
> numbers? Anxiety about mixed breeding? Is there a baby boom?
> Anyone know?
> - KWC
Executive SummarySocial opportunity costs, expressed in this study as the value of forgone output, accrue to society as a whole for a variety of reasons. We examine costs which arise because Aboriginal people do not participate in the economy as fully as they might, and because they are unemployed, undereducated, often in poor health, incarcerated at far higher rates than other Canadians, and lack economic opportunities.
We have used data from a number of sources to derive reasonable estimates of forgone output for 1991. These have been projected over a 25 year period to 2016 as Base Case, Best Case and Worst Case Scenarios. Net Present Values were derived from the 25 year stream of costs using a discount rate of 10%.
The estimation of forgone output raises the question of the extent to which Aboriginal people should participate in the economy, how fully they should be employed, what level of education they should have attained, how healthy they should be, and what life-spans they should have attained. We address this by assuming that they should have attained average Canadian standards. What we then measure, and apply dollar values to, is the gap between the standards they have in fact attained and what they would have attained had average Canadian standards been met. In doing this, we are not saying that Aboriginal people should be like other Canadians, but merely that they should be as well educated and as healthy as other Canadians. The extent to which they are not is a measure of the ineffectiveness of the policies and programs which have been applied to them.
In our analysis, we first estimate forgone output, all causes, which is the overall productivity gap between Aboriginal and other Canadians. We then try to account for this gap by examining two sets of factors which we describe as general and specific. General factors consist of participation in the economy, unemployment, and differences in earnings. Specific factors include education, health, justice and economic development. The general factors are, essentially, measurements of economic performance, while the specific factors account for why performance is at the measured levels, not higher or lower.
Forgone output, all causes, for 1991 is estimated at about $ 3.2 billion, exclusive of the costs of premature mortality. Base Case estimated net present value of forgone output, all causes, for the whole of the forecast period, is in the order of $ 37 billion.
The tables which follow summarize forgone output for 1991 and net present values for the stream of costs projected for the 1991-2016 period. It will be seen that all three general factors, under-participation, unemployment, and lower wages are important in accounting for the overall output gap between the Aboriginal and all-Canadian populations. In total these factors account for 79% of the output gap. The remaining 21% occurs because the participation and employment gaps were evaluated using Aboriginal wage levels, and the wage gap was estimated using Aboriginal participation and employment levels. If Aboriginal people were to move to national rates of participation, employment and earnings, the additional employed persons would have employment earnings at national rates rather than Aboriginal rates.
> commenting on ancient tribal survival behavior?
> Ed seems to be commenting on current behavior in the present tense.
> Are today's population of First Nation peoples concerned about dwindling
> numbers? Anxiety about mixed breeding? Is there a baby boom?
> Anyone know?
> - KWC
>
> I didn't say that males actually got away with having as much sex as they
> wanted. What I'm saying is that a high ranking male has more choice. Or,
> rather, that he is likely to be selected by the best females. I'm not
> suggsting a free-for-all. Just as boys soon settle down into a rank order
> after their adoloescence, so will adults settle down into something very
> close to monogamy.
>
> >I've worked with hunters-gatherers in northern Canada, and it really isn't
> >like that. The ones I know are really quite monogamous, and by their own
> >ancient traditions. There would have been hell to pay if, in there small
> >communities, every guy was trying to have sex with every girl. There
> >undoubtedly was experimentation, as in our societies, and there may even
> >have been wife exchanges, but the overall objective was to keep the peace
> >for the sake of group cohesiveness. Testostrone had to be kept firmly in
> line.
>
>