Ray,

Very interesting -- thanks.

Keith

At 11:59 03/12/03 -0500, you wrote:
Hey Keith,

Your point is well made,

Here is an article from Molly Ivins with more informations for both you and
Harry.

REH

The Uncompassionate Conservative
It's not that he's mean. It's just that when it comes to seeing how his
policies affect people, George W. Bush doesn't have a clue.

Molly Ivins , November/December 2003 Issue

In order to understand why George W. Bush doesn't get it, you have to take
several strands of common Texas attitude, then add an impressive degree of
class-based obliviousness. What you end up with is a guy who sees himself as
a perfectly nice fellow -- and who is genuinely disconnected from the impact
of his decisions on people.

On the few occasions when Bush does directly encounter the down-and-out, he
seems to empathize. But then, in what is becoming a recurring, almost
nightmare-type scenario, the minute he visits some constructive program and
praises it (AmeriCorps, the Boys and Girls Club, job training), he turns
around and cuts the budget for it. It's the kiss of death if the president
comes to praise your program. During the presidential debate in Boston in
2000, Bush said, "First and foremost, we've got to make sure we fully fund
LIHEAP [the Low Income Home Energy Assistance Program], which is a way to
help low-income folks, particularly here in the East, pay their high fuel
bills." He then sliced $300 million out of that sucker, even as people were
dying of hypothermia, or, to put it bluntly, freezing to death.

Sometimes he even cuts your program before he comes to praise it. In August
2002, Bush held a photo op with the Quecreek coal miners, the nine men whose
rescue had thrilled the country. By then he had already cut the coal-safety
budget at the Mine Safety and Health Administration, which engineered the
rescue, by 6 percent, and had named a coal-industry executive to run the
agency.

The Reverend Jim Wallis, leader of Call to Renewal, a network of churches
that fight poverty, told the New York Times that shortly after his election,
Bush had said to him, "I don't understand how poor people think," and had
described himself as a "white Republican guy who doesn't get it, but I'd
like to." What's annoying about Bush is when this obtuseness, the
blinkeredness of his life, weighs so heavily on others, as it has
increasingly as he has acquired more power.

There was a telling episode in 1999 when the Department of Agriculture came
out with its annual statistics on hunger, showing that once again Texas was
near the top. Texas is a perennial leader in hunger because we have 43
counties in South Texas (and some in East Texas) that are like Third World
countries. If our border region were a state, it would be first in poverty,
first in the percentage of schoolchildren living in poverty, first in the
percentage of adults without a high school diploma, 51st in income per
capita, and so on.

When the 1999 hunger stats were announced, Bush threw a tantrum. He thought
it was some malign Clinton plot to make his state look bad because he was
running for president. "I saw the report that children in Texas are going
hungry. Where?" he demanded. "No children are going to go hungry in this
state. You'd think the governor would have heard if there are pockets of
hunger in Texas." You would, wouldn't you? That is the point at which
ignorance becomes inexcusable. In five years, Bush had never spent time with
people in the colonias, South Texas' shantytowns; he had never been to a
session with Valley Interfaith, a consortium of border churches and schools
and the best community organization in the state. There is no excuse for a
governor to be unaware of this huge reality of Texas.

Take any area -- environment, labor, education, taxes, health -- and go to
the websites of public-interest groups in that field. You will find page
after page of minor adjustments, quiet repeals, no-big-deal new policies,
all of them cruel, destructive, and harmful. A silent change in regulations,
an executive order, a funding cutoff. No headlines. Below the radar. Again
and again and again. Head Start, everybody's favorite government program, is
being targeted for "improvement" by leaving it to the tender mercies of
Mississippi and Alabama. An AIDS program that helps refugees in Africa and
Asia gets its funding cut because one of the seven groups involved once
worked with the United Nations, which once worked with the Chinese
government, which once supported forced abortions.

So what manner of monster is behind these outrages? I have known George W.
Bush slightly since we were both in high school, and I studied him closely
as governor. He is neither mean nor stupid. What we have here is a man
shaped by three intertwining strands of Texas culture, combined with huge
blinkers of class. The three Texas themes are religiosity,
anti-intellectualism, and machismo. They all play well politically with
certain constituencies.

Let's assume the religiosity is genuine; no one is in a position to know
otherwise. I leave it to more learned commentators to address what
"Christian" might actually mean in terms of public policy.

The anti-intellectualism is also authentic. This is a grudge Bush has
carried at least since his college days when he felt looked down on as a
frat rat by more cerebral types. Despite his pedigree and prep schools, he
ran into Eastern stereotypes of Texans at Yale, a common experience at Ivy
schools in that time. John F. Kennedy, the consummate, effortlessly
graceful, classy Harvard man, had just been assassinated in ugly old Dallas,
and Lyndon Johnson's public piety gave many people the creeps. Texans were
more or less thought of as yahoo barbarians somewhere between the Beverly
Hillbillies and Deliverance. I do not exaggerate by much. To have a Texas
accent in the East in those days was to have 20 points automatically
deducted from your estimated IQ. And Texans have this habit of playing to
the stereotype -- it's irresistible. One proud Texan I know had never owned
a pair of cowboy boots in his life until he got a Nieman Fellowship to
Harvard. Just didn't want to let anyone down.

For most of us who grow up in the "boonies" and go to school in the East,
it's like speaking two languages -- Bill Clinton, for example, is perfectly
bilingual. But it's not unusual for a spell in the East to reinforce one's
Texanness rather than erode it, and that's what happened to Bush. Bush had
always had trouble reading -- we assume it is dyslexia (although Slate's
Jacob Weisberg attributes it to aphasia); his mom was still doing flash
cards with him when he was in junior high. Feeling intellectually inferior
apparently fed into his resentment of Easterners and other known forms of
snob.

Bush once said, "There's a West Texas populist streak in me, and it
irritates me when these people come out to Midland and look at my friends
with just the utmost disdain." In his mind, Midland is the true-blue
heartland of the old vox pop. The irony is that Midland along with its twin
city, Odessa, is one of the most stratified and narrow places in the
country. Both are oil towns with amazingly strict class segregation. Midland
is the white-collar, Republican town; Odessa is the blue-collar, Democratic
town. The class conflict plays out in an annual football rivalry so intense
that H.G. Bissinger featured it in his best-selling book, Friday Night
Lights. To mistake Midland for the volk heartland is the West Texas
equivalent of assuming that Greenwich, Connecticut, is Levittown.

In fact, people in Midland are real nice folks: I can't prove that with
statistics, but I know West Texas and it's just a fact. Open, friendly, no
side to 'em. The problem is, they're way isolated out there and way limited
too. You can have dinner at the Petroleum Club anytime with a bunch of them
and you'll come away saying, "Damn, those are nice people. Sure glad they
don't run the world." It is still such a closed, narrow place, where
everybody is white, Protestant, and agrees with everybody else. It's not
unusual to find people who think, as George W. did when he lived there, that
Jimmy Carter was leading the country toward "European-style socialism." A
board member of the ACLU of Texas was asked recently if there had been any
trouble with gay bashing in Midland. "Oh, hell, honey," she drawled,
"there's not a gay in Midland who will come out of the closet for fear
people will think they're Democrats."

The machismo is what I suspect is fake. Bush is just another upper-class
white boy trying to prove he's tough. The minute he is questioned, he
becomes testy and defensive. That's one reason they won't let him hold many
press conferences. When he tells stories about his dealings with two of the
toughest men who ever worked in politics -- the late Lee Atwater and the
late Bob Bullock -- Bush, improbably, comes off as the toughest mother in
the face-down. I wouldn't put money on it being true. Bullock, the late
lieutenant governor and W's political mentor in Texas, could be and often
was meaner than a skilletful of rattlesnakes. Bush's story is that one time,
Bullock cordially informed him that he was about to fuck him. Bush stood up
and kissed Bullock, saying, "If I'm gonna get fucked, at least I should be
kissed." It probably happened, but I guarantee you Bullock won the fight.
Bush never got what made Bullock more than just a supermacho pol -- the old
son of a bitch was on the side of the people. Mostly.

The perfect absurdity of all this, of course, is that Bush's identification
with the sturdy yeomen of Midland (actually, oil-company executives almost
to a man) is so wildly at variance with his real background. Bush likes to
claim the difference between him and his father is that, "He went to
Greenwich Country Day and I went to San Jacinto Junior High." He did. For
one year. Then his family moved to a posh neighborhood in Houston, and he
went to the second-best prep school in town (couldn't get into the best one)
before going off to Andover as a legacy.

Jim Hightower's great line about Bush, "Born on third and thinks he hit a
triple," is still painfully true. Bush has simply never acknowledged that
not only was he born with a silver spoon in his mouth -- he's been eating
off it ever since. The reason there is no noblesse oblige about Dubya is
because he doesn't admit to himself or anyone else that he owes his entire
life to being named George W. Bush. He didn't just get a head start by being
his father's son -- it remained the single most salient fact about him for
most of his life. He got into Andover as a legacy. He got into Yale as a
legacy. He got into Harvard Business School as a courtesy (he was turned
down by the University of Texas Law School). He got into the Texas Air
National Guard -- and sat out Vietnam -- through Daddy's influence. (I would
like to point out that that particular unit of FANGers, as regular Air Force
referred to the "Fucking Air National Guard," included not only the sons of
Governor John Connally and Senator Lloyd Bentsen, but some actual black
members as well -- they just happened to play football for the Dallas
Cowboys.) Bush was set up in the oil business by friends of his father. He
went broke and was bailed out by friends of his father. He went broke again
and was bailed out again by friends of his father; he went broke yet again
and was bailed out by some fellow Yalies.

That Bush's administration is salted with the sons of somebody-or-other
should come as no surprise. I doubt it has ever even occurred to Bush that
there is anything wrong with a class-driven good-ol'-boy system. That would
explain why he surrounds himself with people like Eugene Scalia (son of
Justice Antonin Scalia), whom he named solicitor of the Department of
Labor -- apparently as a cruel joke. Before taking that job, the younger
Scalia was a handsomely paid lobbyist working against ergonomic regulations
designed to prevent repetitive stress injuries. His favorite technique was
sarcastic invective against workers who supposedly faked injuries when the
biggest hazard they faced was "dissatisfaction with co-workers and
supervisors." More than 5 million Americans are injured on the job every
year, and more die annually from work-related causes than were killed on
September 11. Neither Scalia nor Bush has ever held a job requiring physical
labor.

What is the disconnect? One can see it from the other side -- people's lives
are being horribly affected by the Bush administration's policies, but they
make no connection between what happens to them and the decisions made in
Washington. I think I understand why so many people who are getting screwed
do not know who is screwing them. What I don't get is the disconnect at the
top. Is it that Bush doesn't want to see? No one brought it to his
attention? He doesn't care?

Okay, we cut taxes for the rich and so we have to cut services for the poor.
Presumably there is some right-wing justification along the lines that
helping poor people just makes them more dependent or something. If there
were a rationale Bush could express, it would be one thing, but to watch him
not see, not make the connection, is another thing entirely. Welfare,
Medicare, Social Security, food stamps -- horrors, they breed dependency.
Whereas inheriting millions of dollars and having your whole life handed to
you on a platter is good for the grit in your immortal soul? What we're
dealing with here is a man in such serious denial it would be pathetic if it
weren't damaging so many lives.

Bush's lies now fill volumes. He lied us into two hideously unfair tax cuts;
he lied us into an unnecessary war with disastrous consequences; he lied us
into the Patriot Act, eviscerating our freedoms. But when it comes to
dealing with those less privileged, Bush's real problem is not deception,
but self-deception.

Ever since their paths crossed in high school, Mother Jones contributing
writer Molly Ivins has been an observer of our president. Her books about
Bush include Bushwhacked: Life in George W. Bush's America and Shrub: The
Short but Happy Political Life of George W. Bush

http://www.motherjones.com/news/feature/2003/11/ma_559_01.html


----- Original Message ----- From: Keith Hudson To: Harry Pollard Cc: [EMAIL PROTECTED] Sent: Wednesday, December 03, 2003 9:25 AM Subject: Bush the confidence trickster (was RE: [Futurework] Blair's curious illnesses


Harry,


At 12:33 02/12/2003 -0800, you wrote:


Keith,


The part that bothers me about your post is:

"Yet I think Bush is intellectually stunted and is a confidence trickster
through and through. And he's vengeful, so some of his former contacts say."

What evidence to have that he is intellectually stunted?

Harry, once again, I'm trusting the evidence of my own eyes and ears, having
seen Bush on TV often enough and knowing the context from which he comes.


I remember that when Bush came to office, he was unpracticed in the art of speaking. This evinced jeers and catcalls from the not so loyal opposition. He is a quick learner and he has adapted to his new position. His London speech was excellent, delivered without a slip from his notes rather than from reading a Teleprompter.

Why do you say he is a confidence trickster?

Because he's told lies. And we've found out about several of them. His track
record is now such that you would have to be very naive to believe anything
that Bush says without thinking carefully of why he might be saying them.


We can certainly argue that the WMD didn't materialize. Yet, both Bush and Blair were more than confident they existed. Indeed, most of the people concerned with Iraq, including the inspectors, were sure they existed. If they were moved, where did they go? There were some early reports that they were buried in Syria.

No! With the present sort of satellite photography (down to 6 inches visual
resolution) and many years of satellites going overhead, the CIA would know
the whereabouts of every single piece of fixed military or industrial
technology in the whole country. Not only visual methods, but infra red,
X-ray and so forth mean that any sort of significant underground
installations would also be a doddle to discover.


When the presence of 100,000 troops at his borders persuaded Saddam that he had better provide greater (if unenthusiastic) cooperation with the UN inspectors, it could well be that any remaining WMD would be better off elsewhere.

What evidence shows that he is vengeful, other than the words of former
contacts -- whatever that means? One of the problems of thinking about these
matters is that every movement, every gesture, every decision, is analyzed
and overanalyzed by people who do not really know. They are guessing.
Authoritative guesswork is now well-paid, so there is no shortage of
guessers and guesses.

I think that Bush has accepted a Herculean task. He may not be up to it, but
one must wonder who is? If the situation in Iraq comes off the boil, if
Syria mends its ways, if Saudi Arabia takes the necessary antiterrorist
action, if Iran continues the policy (that may have already started) of
rapprochement with the US, Bush will become the president of the
21st-century.

Lots of "ifs", but at least they are positive "ifs" -- a little different
from the constant prognostications of doom and disaster.

I really don't know how to express myself after reading the above
paragraphs!  So I won't.

Keith





Harry

********************************************
Henry George School of Social Science
of Los Angeles
Box 655  Tujunga  CA  91042
Tel: 818 352-4141  --  Fax: 818 353-2242
http://haledward.home.comcast.net
********************************************





From: Keith Hudson [mailto:[EMAIL PROTECTED]
Sent: Tuesday, December 02, 2003 1:16 AM
To: Harry Pollard
Subject: RE: [Futurework] Blair's curious illnesses

Harry,

At 16:47 01/12/2003 -0800, you wrote:

Keith,

Long before Iraq, Gwen and I used to be amused by Presidential
hair color transitions. Hair that came in black, goes out gray.
Gray heads become white. The job is not an easy one.

I remember a science fiction yarn about the future Presidency.
There were actually three Presidents - each with a specific area
to cover - to handle the complexities.

Maybe there should be several prime Ministers.

That's precisely what I think is going to happen in the longer term future.
We'll need (democratic) forums in each policy area.


I only see Blair in action at Question Time and Press Conferences. He seems to handle things well in those arenas.

He's a very good perfomer. And that's all he is. He's intelligent but he has
no intellectual depth. Two opposition leaders ago, William Hague used to
best him at Question Time three times out of five. Hague is an intellectual
(he is writing a biography of  William Pitt at present and learning to play
the piano) though he doesn't seem it because he has a broad Yorkshire
accent. (He was the chap who spoke at the Conservative Party Conference when
he was 14! Remember?) This, plus the fact that he is still young, and bald,
ditched him as leader of the Tories. He resigned very gracefully without
hanging on too long. In 5 - 10 years' time with a good book behind him he'll
go straight into the Tory leadership again.  The main thing that bothers me
about Hague is that his ideas (a year ago, anyway) don't seem to have
changed since he was 14. But maybe they will as he writes about English
history in depth. He doesn't seem to be enmeshed at all with big business
(thgough I'm sure he has a few directorships) and keeps away from the London
scene, living an idyllic life (it would seem) in his constituency in
Yorkshire with his lovely wife Fiona (an intellectual who was one of the
brightest fast-track civil servants. She taught Welsh to Hague when he was
Secretary of State for Wales and she was his senior civil servant).


I must say, your usually excellent analyses seem to falter when you cover Bush (and perhaps Blair).

Come on Harry!  I'm now 68. I've knocked around with people from all
classes -- in the army , shop floor workers (at two factories for some
years), several Peers of the Realm and several politicians of all three
parties of entirely different abilities and motivations. I've negotiated
with civil servants at the highest level. If I can't judge the calibre of
politicians from their speech, gestures and bearing after a sufficient
number of viewings on TV (and, moreover that my estimation fits in with
those of other observers I have time for) then I'm ready for the knacker's
yard. I'm not prejudiced against Bush. My general ragbag of policies is
slightly more stocked with Republican policies than with Democratic
policies. Yet I think Bush is intellectually stunted and is a confidence
trickster through and through. And he's vengeful, so some of his former
contacts say.


Note the Economist about Blair:

" . . . he became blind to any evidence or arguments that might
have forced him to think twice."

Harry Junior's reaction to the Presidential Thanksgiving trip was
"it showed class".

Could that be a reasonable reaction to it?

It was a disaster. But Bush got his photos with the Queen. That's what the
trip was planned for 18 months ago long before the invasion was planned and
that's what he got. The rest was humiliation, but Bush is so thankful that
Blair -- his only friend in the non-American world -- is supporting him that
he was prepared to be humiliated as no-one has ever been before.


Are you saying the Economist doesn't have a "party line".


Isn't that good?

It doesn't have a party line, which is good -- it has too many bright people
on the staff. But its leaders chop and change about too much in recent years
under the present editor. You really cannot be certain what it's general
line is going to be on new issues. It's so often quixotic. As I wrote
before, the Economist is extremely good at gleaning the informational world
and grabbing the latest idea before most other publications, and that's why
I buy it.

Best wishes,

Keith



Harry

********************************************
Henry George School of Social Science
of Los Angeles
Box 655  Tujunga  CA  91042
Tel: 818 352-4141  --  Fax: 818 353-2242
http://haledward.home.comcast.net
********************************************


-----Original Message----- From: [EMAIL PROTECTED] [mailto:[EMAIL PROTECTED] On Behalf Of Keith Hudson Sent: Saturday, November 29, 2003 11:46 AM To: [EMAIL PROTECTED] Subject: [Futurework] Blair's curious illnesses

Harry,

This is especially for you. Here's the Economist going back on
itself
(again!) concerning Iraq. The view below is the safer one, I
think, because The World in 2004 has got to last, unlike
ephemeral editorials.

-------
Waiting for Lord Hanson's Report on his Enquiry into the reasons
for Dr David Kelly's suicide, promised for this month, is as
interminable as waiting for Godot. Unless I've missed some news
there are only two days left in which it can be published --
Monday or Tuesday next (today being Saturday).

It is just a little odd that the Hanson Report is being left to
the last moment. One wonders, ever so gently, whether someone has
been trying to postpone its publication. One can only admire the
rigour with which Lord Hanson has conducted his enquiry and, to
the surprise of most people, the cornucopia of textual evidence,
e-mails and all, that he's extracted from the Ministry of
Defence, 10 Downing Street and other high-flown places --
information which would normally be regarded as sancrosanct for
at least the next 50 years. And then, too, there was the curious
incident when Lord Hanson suddenly decided to extend the enquiry
by a further day in order to call the Permanent Secretary of the
Ministry of Defence to give evidence.
To my surprise, this mandarin unequivocally contradicted the
statement given previously by the prime minister that he'd had no
hand in deciding that Dr Kelly should be named. But, according to
the civil servant, the decision was taken at a meeting at 10
Downing Street, and chaired by the prime minister. Curious.

Curioser and curioser, there has been a succession of doctors
visiting 10 Downing Street (going through the front door three
times in the last month if I remember rightly), twice for stomach
troubles, and once for heart palpitations -- the sort that every
middle-aged man gets from time to time.
Then his much publicised his visit to the hospital to have some
checks.
They've all been trivial complaints. What's curious is not that
Blair might be suffering from a variety of stress-linked
complaints, but why have we been told about them?  This is quite
unlike what normally happens when prime ministers or presidents
are ill. They don't wish to be thought weak or vulnerable. But
here we have a prime minister, while saying that he's raring to
lead his party into the next general election, is allowing the
whole world to know. Is he preparing us for news of a more
serious complaint, and grounds for medical retirement when Lord
Hanson's report is published? I don;t know and I don't intend to
guess, but it's very curious all the same.

A recent editorial in the Economist was quite in favour of
Blair's support of Bush and adduced all sorts of reasons for the
invasion of Iraq. Here, though, the political editor of the
Economist takes a different line. I've extracted just two
paragraphs from his recent article in The World in 2004 which is
punished by the Economist.

Keith Hudson

<<<<
WHEN TRUST IS GOING, THE GOING GETS TOUGH

Matthew Symonds

In 2003 Tony Blair gambled his reputation on leading his country
into a war with Iraq. He did so in opposition to public opinion
and despite the deep discomfort of most of his own MPs. Although
the war itself went as well as even the most fervent optimist
could have hoped, nearly everything associated with it has since
gone pretty badly. The long failure to unearth weapons of mass
destruction, the fragile security situation in Iraq and the
bitterly slow progress in healing the war's diplomatic wounds
have combined to make the successful military campaign look
increasingly like a strategic blunder. The fallout will cast its
shadow over 2004.

The prime minister's collapsing ratings for "trust" are an
indication that almost everyone, even supporters of the war,
suspects him of having exaggerated the case for military action.
Not in the sense, as his more extreme critics claim, of having
cynically deceived both Parliament and people. The more
substantive charge against Mr Blair is that, having made up his
mind about what was the right thing to do, he became blind to any
evidence or arguments that might have forced him to think twice.

The World in 2004 (The Economist)
 >>>>

Keith Hudson, Bath, England, <www.evolutionary-economics.org>

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