On Monday, March 10, 2003, at 06:06 PM, Kevin Stevens wrote:

>> even if you ordered only a few hours after the keynote, can
>> you imagine the number of people who ordered before you?
>
> Damned few, based on the reports from www.pbcentral.com.  To be 
> precise,
> I've only seen one report that was earlier than 3/20, and I suspect 
> that
> person got their months confused, since they said "February 20".

Apple has a pretty good record of shipping a few days before their 
stated ship date, first off. OS X 10.0 started reaching people's 
mailboxes several days before the official release date of 03/24/2001, 
even though the AppleStore showed the 24th as the ship date all along 
for me (mine ARRIVED on the 23rd). My G4 Cube arrived THREE full days 
before the quoted ship day -- i ordered as his Steveness was walking 
off the stage. Apple has always been very cautious about ship dates.

that said, this is exactly why i refuse to get riled up or ticked off 
about anything i read ANYWHERE on mac news and rumors sites. why? 
because too many people take these sites as gospel. some people post to 
pbcentral.com, and you suddenly assume that "damned few" people ordered 
ahead of you. what percentage of Apple's customers do you think read 
pbcentral? of THAT percentage, how many do you think post or submit 
articles? if your answer constitutes anything that would be construed 
as a statistically valid sample, you're deluding yourself.

also, how many -resellers- do you think got in orders ahead of you? how 
many do you think each one ordered? one? two? try "as many as apple 
would let them order."

my local mac reseller, for instance, is telling me that they're getting 
them in earlier than anything i've seen online, but that they're 
already sold out.


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